Looking Ahead to the May Banzuke

With an incredibly exciting Haru basho in the books, let’s take our bimonthly look at how the results will shuffle the rankings for Natsu.

Yokozuna and Ozeki

Our sole Yokozuna Terunofuji will maintain his Y1e position at the top of the rankings, and I hope that we will see him in fighting trim. O2w Mitakeumi had an excellent debut at the rank, and his 11 wins will see him jump to O1e. Who would have thought that O1e Shodai, who started 1-5, would end up with a better record (9-6) than O1w Takakeisho (8-7), who started 8-3? Both cleared kadoban, with Takakeisho dropping his final four bouts after picking up that crucial 8th win and Shodai going 8-1 after his rough start and “making his presence felt” in the yusho race. As a consequence, Shodai will be ranked O1w, while Takakeisho will occupy O2w.

Sekiwake

After his breakthrough performance, S1e Wakatakakage (12-3) will continue at his current rank (and aim higher). S1w Abi (8-7) defeated runner-up Takayasu on senshuraku to defend his rank.

Komusubi

K1e Takanosho (4-11) will be fighting in the maegashira ranks in May. K1w Hoshoryu (8-7) beat Kotonowaka on senshuraku to defend his rank, and he will move over to the East side. So we have one open slot at K1w. Who gets it?

The contenders are M7e Takayasu (12-3), M2e Ichinojo (9-6), M4e Kiribayama (10-5), M6w Kotonowaka (11-3), and M1e Daieisho (8-7). Although Daieisho has the worst case “by the numbers”, it’s close enough that he should take the slot by virtue of his status as the top maegashira. I don’t think any of the other performances are strong enough to force extra Komusubi slots, so the rest of this group will have to settle for occupying the M1-M2 ranks.

Upper Maegashira

The ranks from Ms3e to M6e will be filled by a mix of rising and falling rikishi. Joining the group that can expect to see some san’yaku bouts are M9e Tobizaru and M9w Wakamotoharu, both 9-6. Staying in these ranks but moving up are M4w Endo (8-7) and M6e Hokutofuji (9-6). Dropping, but not too far, are K1e Takanosho (4-11), M2w Tamawashi (7-8) and M3e Onosho (6-9).

Biggest Banzuke Moves

Two rikishi finished Haru with fewer than 3 wins: M3w Meisei (1-14) and M5w Ishiura (2-7-6). Unsurprisingly, the pair should see the biggest falls; my first draft has them tumbling 9-10 ranks. The other banzuke movements should be a lot less extreme, with something like a 5-rank drop for Ura and similar rises by Takayasu and perhaps Tochinoshin being the most dramatic.

Makuuchi/Juryo Exchanges

We ended up with a clear captain for the Juryo barge: M15e Akua (4-11). Three rikishi have final records that are just short of safety: M17e Kagayaki (7-8) and the M13 duo of Chiyonokuni (5-6-4) and Chiyomaru (5-10).

Meanwhile, down in Juryo, there are two very clear promotions—the J1 duo of Oho and Azumaryu, both 10-5. Runner-up Midorifuji (12-3) has a strong promotion case, while J2w Hidenoumi (8-7) and the champion, J13e Ryuden (13-2), finished a win short. I think that Chiyonokuni and Kagayaki will go down along with Akua to make room for Oho, Azumaryu and Midorifuji, while Chiyomaru will just survive by virtue of being half a rank above Chiyonokuni.

Juryo/Makushita Exchanges

There are two clear demotions, and two clear promotions to the salaried ranks. J14w Kotoyusho (4-11) should have gone down last time, and will now do so for sure, as will J12e Hakuyozan (4-11) after two straight years in Juryo. Taking their place will be the last man to be demoted last time, Ms1e Chiyoarashi (4-3), and Ms1w Tochimaru (4-3), who was unfairly denied last time in favor of keeping Kotoyusho and will finally make his sekitori debut after missing out on promotion with winning records in the Ms1-Ms5 ranks on five occasions.

The other demotion candidates are J10w Churanoumi (5-10) and J14e Takakento (7-8). I think the former will be exchanged with last basho’s winner Ms3e Nishikawa (4-3), while the latter will probably get to stay over promotion candidates Ms4e Tsushimanada (4-3) and Ms5w Hokuseiho (5-2). I suppose Ms6e Chiyonoumi (6-1) deserves a mention, but as he is ranked just below Ms5, his only realistic promotion route was to take the yusho, which he lost to Ms34 Kinbozan (7-0), who himself will be vying for promotion in May.

And that’s a wrap. As usual, I’ll post a full banzuke prediction closer to its official release on April 25, and we’ll learn about promotions to Juryo in a couple of days. In the meantime, let me know your thoughts and questions in the comments and I’ll do my best to answer.

Haru Day 15 Highlights

It came down to a playoff. The playoff was tremendous sumo, possibly the best match of the year so far. The right man won. The loser was clearly heart broken, and I feel for him, but his sumo was fantastic this month, and he has another try in May.

Highlight Matches

Ichiyamamoto defeats Hidenoumi – Ichiyamamoto abandoned pushing and thrusting fairly early on, and went chest to chest with Hidenoumi. They then proceeded to try and pull on each other’s heads back and forth a few times before they decided that it was not going to work at all. Hidenoumi was unhappy with grip, went to change it up, and reduced his forward pressure, letting Ichiyamamoto run him out to the West. Both finish the day 8-7, with Ichiyamamoto reaching kachi-koshi on the final day.

Kagayaki defeats Terutsuyoshi – Kagayaki finished well, he shut down Terutsuyoshi’s opening moves, kept his pushing focused center mass, and quickly moved Terutsuyoshi out. He finishes 7-8, and I will leave it to lksumo to guess if he’s going to be on the Juryo barge back to Tokyo.

Myogiryu defeats Tochinoshin – A bit of a leap tp the left at the tachiai by Myogiryu had what was probably the desired effect – keep Tochinoshin away from Myogiryu’s mawashi. Tochinoshin eventually closes the gap, but insists on repeated pulling atttempts. Myogiryu tosses him back, then tosses him out to finish Haru 7-8.

Shimanoumi defeats Kotokuzan – The first Darwin match goes to Shimanoumi, but the offense was nearly all from Kotokuzan. But all it takes it the right moment, and Shimanoumi finds his opening, gets a body hold and moves Kotokuzan out. Shimanoumi kachi-koshi at 8-7, Kotokuzan 7-8 and make-koshi.

Wakamotoharu defeats Nishikigi – I love that Nishikigi decided to give Wakamotoharu an endurance check. They set up left hand inside at the tachiai, and there they stood, waiting the other out. Wakamotoharu whats the right hand outside grip, and eventually finds it, then gets to down to business. He moves Nishikigi to the edge of the ring and throws him down with an uwatenage. Both men finish with 9-6.

Kotoshoho defeats Chiyoshoma – Chiyoshoma hits first, but Kotoshoho gets his hands inside. Chiyoshoma could have made a fight of it, but was pulling Kotoshoho instead. Without an resistance to his forward motion, Kotoshoho made fast work of getting Chiyoshoma out. He finishes Haru 9-6.

Hokutofuji defeats Yutakayama – I liked this match because it’s been a while since we saw Hokutofuji’s lower body decide it was winning a match, no matter what. Outstanding offensive footwork form Hokutofuji, and I just have to wonder where is this sumo the other days of this basho. Yes, he smoked Mitakeumi on day 10 to knock him out of the yusho, but this should be his every-day sumo. Yutakayama takes his 8th loss, his third consecutive make-koshi.

Akua defeats Ishiura – Well, that was dumb. Not sure Ishiura wanted to even compete today. Go home and heal up. Akua improves to 4-11.

Takarafuji defeats Chiyonokuni – Also in the “no condition to fight” category, Chiyonokuni has little offensive power, and finds himself unable to move Takarafuji. Takarafuji takes control and drives Chiyonokuni from the ring to finish Haru 6-9.

Kiribayama defeats Kotoeko – Kotoeko still can’t find a formula to beat Kiribayama, it seems. He starts strong, but Kiribayama wraps him up, then gets him to all fours with what they labeled a kotenage. Kiribayama finishes Haru strong at 10-5.

Chiyotairyu defeats Meisei – At this point, Meisei is little more than a loss sponge. Meisei did manage one win, but maybe he should have gone for a spotless 0-15 instead. Chiyotairyu hit large at the tachiai, hit again to stand Meisei up, then pulled him down. Chiyotairyu’s final score: 7-8.

Onosho defeats Chiyomaru – Onosho locked on target center-mass at the tachiai, and all Chiyomaru could do was try to pull into his powerful advance. This sped up the process of sending Chiyomaru into the front row, giving Onosho has 6th win to finish Haru 6-9.

Endo defeats Tamawashi – Ah, time for the next Darwin match. Tamawashi opened strong, lost his footing, and that was all Endo needed. He kept Tamawashi off balance, and drove him around the ring before sending him past the waiting Okinoumi and into a conclave of brown-coats. Endo kachi-koshi at 8-7, Tamawashi make-koshi at 7-8.

Tobizaru defeats Ichinojo – Ichinojo stayed strong, patient and nearly immobile against Tobizaru’s high mobility antics. He had total dominance over Tobizaru, until he tried an arm lock throw, and Tobizaru used the weight shift to get him moving, then moved him out. Both end the day with worthy 9-6 records for March.

Ura defeats Okinoumi – Ura finds the inside lane ofter Okinoumi bats Ura’s head around a few times. Ura rushes forward, sending Okinoumi out, Ura finishes 4-11, and needs to regroup from a lower spot on the banzuke.

Daieisho defeats Aoiyama – Next Darwin match! Aoiyama got one partially effective thrust in, his chest was open and the inside route was Daieisho’s for the taking. Three steps later, Daieisho had Big Dan out, handing him a losing record for Haru, and taking home a 8-7 kachi-koshi.

Hoshoryu defeats Kotonowaka – Hoshoryu had a tall order to finish with a winning record, but he made it work. Kotonowaka opened well, but he gave Hoshoryu an opening, which Hoshoryu filled with a hearty shitatedashinage. This knocks Kotonowaka out of yusho contention, as Hoshoryu finishes 8-7.

Sadanoumi defeats Takanosho – Both men took a turn at dominating this match, with both having a left hand outside mawashi grip. Neither could find a way to finish the other. The match ended when Takanosho tried an off balance throw as Sadanoumi was backing away, and both men went out. A monoii took place to try to sort the mess out. Review showed that Takanosho hit first, and Sadanoumi picks up his 5th win of March to finish 5-10.

The final three, it’s time for Big Sumo

Abi defeats Takayasu – Abi opened strong, had full impact on Takayasu’s face and neck, and Takayasu could not hold his ground. Abi got him turned, and then pushed him out quickly from behind. Sad news for Takayasu fans as he picks up his 3rd loss, but Abi manages to put the finishing win into his kachi-koshi to end Haru 8-7. The yusho is Wakatakakage’s if he can beat Shodai.

Mitakeumi defeats Takakeisho – The Ozeki battle was quite anti-climatic. Takakeisho hits hard, Mitakeumi steps to the side, and Takakeisho hits the deck. Mitakeumi finishes Haru 11-4. Kind of a dud match.

Shodai defeats Wakatakakage – Wakatakakage opens strong, and has Shodai defensive. But Shodai summons the Wall of Daikon, and Wakatakakage’s offense crumbles as Shodai uses his big body to plow the dohyo clear of any trace of Wakatakakage. Shodai found his sumo at least, finishing 9-6 for Haru, and sending the yusho to a playoff.

Playoff Match

Wakatakakage defeats Takayasu – Dear lord what a battle! Takayasu saved his sumo for this brawl to end it all, and he was attacking very well against Wakatakakage. I give Wakatakakage high marks for staying on his feet and staying in the match under Takayasu’s withering barrage. Too many times Wakatakakage tried to pull Takayasu, and points to Takayasu, he remained patient, worked to keep his balance centered, and did not advance too rapidly into the pull. His footwork was poor and his balance all over the place. Takayasu found Wakatakakage’s feet on the tawara, and gave him a mighty one arm shove to send him out. But a lingering Wakatakakage hold on Takayasu’s left wrist pulled him forward and down, hitting the clay a moment before Wakatakakage stepped out. Wakatakakage wins the Haru yusho in glorious style. Well done to both competitors.

This ends Tachiai’s daily coverage of the Haru basho. What a great tournament this has been. Thank you all for sharing your time with Team Tachiai, and stopping by to read our write ups. It’s been a lot of fun, and I look forward to sharing my love of sumo with all of you again soon.

Haru Special Prizes

Special prize deliberations and voting

Sanshō 三賞, literally “three prizes” are the three special prizes awarded to top (Makuuchi) division sumo wrestlers for exceptional performance during a sumo honbasho or tournament. The prizes were first awarded in November 1947. The three prizes are:
Shukun-shō (殊勲賞), Outstanding Performance prize
Kantō-shō (敢闘賞), Fighting Spirit prize
Ginō-shō (技能賞), Technique prize

Wikipedia

Who will get the trophies and the ¥2 million that comes with each one? The prizes are voted on before the final day’s bouts take place, but some are conditional on a rikishi winning his last bout or on more exotic outcomes, such as winning the yusho.

The March prizes have just been announced, and unsurprisingly, all will go to our leading trio. Kotonowaka will get his second consecutive fighting spirit prize, Takayasu gets one as well, and Wakatakakage snags the prestigious technique prize. He also gets a conditional outstanding performance prize, with the condition, I assume, being winning the yusho (or, perhaps, just his final bout?). I’m surprised that this prize hasn’t been conditionally given to whichever of the three lifts the Emperor’s Cup.

Shukun-sho(Outstanding Performance Award)

East Sekiwake Wakatakakage(Atsushi Onami)  conditionally
(12-2)
Arashio Beya
Date of Birth: December 6, 1994 (27 years old)
Place of Birth: Fukushima
2017 March Debut

Kanto-sho(Fighting Spirit Prize)

West Maegashira #6 Kotonowaka(Masakatsu Kamatani)  
(11-3)
Sadogatake Beya
Date of Birth: November 19, 1997 (24 years old)
Place of Birth: Chiba
2015 November Debut

Kanto-sho(Fighting Spirit Prize)

East Maegashira #7 Takayasu(Akira Takayasu)  
(12-2)
Tagonoura Beya
Date of Birth: February 28, 1990 (32 years old)
Place of Birth: Ibaraki
2005 March Debut

Gino-sho(Technique Prize)

East Sekiwake Wakatakakage(Atsushi Onami)  
(12-2)
Arashio Beya
Date of Birth: December 6, 1994 (27 years old)
Place of Birth: Fukushima
2017 March Debut

Promotion/Demotion Picture, Day 14

He did it!

Yusho Race

Three men are still in the race on the final day: Wakatakakage and Takayasu, both 12-2, and Kotonowaka (11-3). A win by one of the leaders would give him the yusho if combined with a loss by the other; any other outcome sends them to a playoff, which could be joined by Kotonowaka if he wins and both leaders lose.

Ozeki

O2w Mitakeumi has his 10 wins in his debut at the rank. O1e Shodai (8-6) and O1w Takakeisho (8-6) have cleared kadoban, so all three Ozeki will be fighting at Natsu with a clear slate.

Sekiwake

S1e Wakatakakage (12-2) will continue at his current rank (and aim higher). S1w Abi (7-7) needs to beat Takayasu on senshuraku to hold rank, but can fall no lower than Komusubi.

Komusubi

K1e Takanosho (4-10) will be fighting in the maegashira ranks in May. K1w Hoshoryu (7-7) needs to beat Kotonowaka on senshuraku to out avoid joining him.

So we’ll have either one or two open san’yaku slots, one of which could be at Sekiwake. The contenders are M7e Takayasu (12-2), M2e Ichinojo (9-5), M6w Kotonowaka (11-3), M4e Kiribayama (9-5), M2w Tamawashi (7-7), and M1e Daieisho (7-7), who must win but would jump to the head of the queue with a kachi-koshi by virtue of his status as the top maegashira. Depending on how the final day plays out, extra Komusubi slots may be in play. I’ll try to sort out how this is likely to shake out in my wrap-up post tomorrow or Monday.

Makuuchi/Juryo Exchanges

Going down for certain: Akua.

Needs a win and banzuke luck to stay up: Kagayaki.

Need one win for safety: Ichiyamamoto, Chiyonokuni, Chiyomaru, Kotokuzan. Everyone else should be safe.

Coming up: Oho, Azumaryu.

Chance of promotion: Midorifuji, Hidenoumi, Mitoryu. I don’t think Ryuden or Kitanowaka would go up even with wins, regardless of how the incumbents perform.