Congratulations to Sekiwake Kiribayama on his first yusho! A double-digit winning record in May should see him rise to Ozeki. In the meantime, let’s take a look at how the rankings might get reshuffled for the Natsu basho.
The Named Ranks
Y1e Terunofuji (0-0-15) will remain the sole Yokozuna; barring any setbacks, we hope to see him mount the dohyo in May. O1w Takakeisho (3-4-8) will be the only Ozeki; his losing record means that he’ll be kadoban and needs 8 wins to retain his rank.
We should have 4 Sekiwake: incumbents Kiribayama (12-3) and Hoshoryu (10-5) by virtue of their winning records, and Komusubi Daieisho (12-3) and Wakamotoharu (11-4) by virtue of reaching the requisite 11 wins. K1w Kotonowaka (9-6) will remain at Komusubi, where he will be joined by injured S1e Wakatakakage (7-7-1).
With no regular slots open, I think M1w Shodai (10-5) did enough to create an extra Komusubi position, but this is not a slam-dunk.
Upper Maegashira
This is where things get tricky. With the san’yaku piling up wins, the upper maegashira ranks were once again the zone of death, with only 3 winning records at M1-M5, and the seven rikishi with losing records all only managing 6 wins or fewer. If Shodai is promoted, M2 Abi (9-6) and M5w Midorifuji are the obvious candidates for M1, but then, it gets really thin. M7w Takayasu (10-5), M6e Endo (9-6), K2w Tobizaru (6-9), M8w Ura (9-6), and M10w Nishikifuji (10-5) all belong at M2-M5, but that fills only 5 of the 8 slots. M3w Nishikigi (6-9) is probably looking at a very mild demotion, and M14e Kinbozan (11-4) at a very generous promotion. But the next-best placed rikishi with a winning score is M11w Takanosho (8-7). Do they demote M5e Kotoshoho only half a rank after a 6-9 performance? Place Asanoyama or Ichinojo higher than any promotion from Juryo in history?
Overall, only 13 rikishi “deserve” to be ranked in the top half of the maegashira, and 20 in the bottom half; obviously, that math doesn’t work, creating many conundrums in addition to where to place the strongest Juryo promotion candidates in a long time and how far to drop members of the joi with terrible records (I’m looking at you, 3-12 M1e Tamawashi and 2-13 M2w Ryuden).
Makuuchi-Juryo Exchanges
J1e Asanoyama (13-2) and the Juryo yusho winner J3e Ichinojo (14-1) have definitely earned promotion. They will take the spots of M14w Bushozan (5-10) and M11e Azumaryu (4-11).
M17e Mitoryu (8-7) and M16w Tsurugisho (8-7) reached the safety of 8 wins on the final day. I don’t see M12e Kagayaki (5-10) or M15w Oho (7-8) being sent down in favor of J6e Gonoyama (11-4) or J3w Shonannoumi (9-6), so two exchanges should be all we get.
Juryo-Makushita Exchanges
The promotion queue looks like this:
Ms2w Chiyosakae (5-2)
Ms2e Fujiseiun (4-3)
Ms3e Tokihayate (4-3)
Ms3w Kawazoe (4-3)
Ms5e Chiyonoumi (4-3) or Ms6e Shiden (6-1)
J14e Tokushoryu (4-11), J12e Tochimusashi (4-11), and J10e Kotokuzan (4-11) are toast without a doubt, making room for Chiyosakae, Fujiseiun, and Tokihayate. J11e Shimanoumi (5-10) and J9e Tsushimanada (4-11) have rank-record combinations that have nearly always meant demotion, so I think that Kawazoe and Shiden (or, less likely, Chiyonoumi) will be promoted to Juryo, but this is not absolutely certain. Fortunately, we don’t have to wait to find out until the May banzuke is released on May 1—Juryo promotions will be announced in a couple of days.
We conclude a fine tournament in great style, with a playoff and a yusho for Sekiwake Kiribayama. He was able to beat Daieisho twice today to take him the cup, and score his second consecutive double digit tournament score. His finish in January was 11-4, and earned him the jun-yusho for Hatsu, along with the gino-sho special prize.
Naturally talk will begin to swirl about him being one good tournament away from a possible Ozeki promotion, already have 23 wins over two tournaments. One win each in the last two tournaments have been fusensho, so I am going guess that guidance from the kyokai will be for a strong performance in May.
Congratulations to Kiribayama on a fantastic tournament.
Highlight Matches
Tsurugisho defeats Kagayaki – Kagayaki lost this match when he allowed Tsurugisho to capture him. Yes, Kagayaki did have a double inside grip, but he could not muster enough power to do much against Tsurugisho’s ponderous bulk. Tsurugisho ends Osaka with a kachi-koshi at 8-7.
Kinbozan defeats Takanosho – Kinbozan had the inside hand position from the second step, and never really allowed Takanosho an opening to attack. There was a brief moment where Takanosho almost landed a good thrust, but it left him off balance, and Kinbozan finshed him with a sukuinage to finish Osaka 11-4 with a Kanto-sho special prize.
Azumaryu defeats Daishoho – A final win for Azumaryu, they went chest to chest at the tachiai, settling into a mutual right hand inside position. As they struggled for position, you could see Azumaryu working to set up the throw. He never quite completed rotation, but it was enough to get Daishoho stumbling, and he stepped out of the ring. Azumaryu finishes 4-11.
Nishikifuji defeats Kotoeko – Nishikifuji able to finish in double digits at 10-5. He was able to set up a right hand inside grip on the second step, and quickly drove forward to send Kotoeko out.
Bushozan defeats Myogiryu – Bushozan had his hands inside and in contact with center mass by the second step. He immediately dialed up the forward pressure, and rammed Myogiryu out of the ring and into Oho’s lap. Both finish Osaka 5-10.
Hiradoumi defeats Oho – Oho is denied his kachi-koshi after Hiradoumi attacks well on the first step, and never lets up the pressure for a moment. Oho has no escape plan, and finds himself escorted from the ring in short order. Both finish the basho 7-8.
Mitoryu defeats Aoiyama – Mitoryu is able to end the tournament with a kachi-koshi thanks to his quick ring sense and reaction time. Both are pushing forward with all they can deliver, but Aoiyama momentarily loses traction. Mitoryu reacts with an immediate slap down to pick up his 8th win, and finishes Osaka 8-7.
Ura defeats Chiyoshoma – Ura continues his unquestioned dominance of Chiyoshoma, extending his career record to 8-0. That could have been a matta as Chiyoshoma launched a tad early, but the fight was on. They battled for hand placement until Ura was able to duck inside and attack. He put power forward, and launched himself and Chiyoshoma out of the ring, taking out at least 3 cameramen. Both end the tournament 9-6.
Hokuseiho defeats Ichiyamamoto – Ichiyamamoto had a brief window at the start of this match where he could have won, but Hokuseiho was able to capture Ichiyamamoto with his right hand, and shut down any further offense. They enter a battle hug, and that’s where things stay for a while, with just a few struggle sessions as Ichiyamamoto tries to improve his grip. But lets be honest, there is no way he’s moving Hokuseiho, he’s only making himself tired. After a long time, Hokuseiho decides he’s done. He powers forward and runs Ichiyamamoto out of the ring to finish 9-6.
Takarafuji defeats Hokutofuji – Our only Darwin match, and I am both surprised and delighted to announce that Takarafuji managed to squeeze out a kachi-koshi with an 8-7 finish. There were times last week where I worried he would be back in Juryo in May, but he’s going to stick around the top division for a while longer. Sadly the winning move may have injured Hokutofuji’s already injured right knee. Not what I was hoping he would take him from Osaka, to go with his 7-8 make-koshi.
Nishikigi defeats Kotoshoho – Excellent work by Nishikigi to methodically work his hands to Kotoshoho’s mawashi. Once he had both hands attached, he was in charge and he attack with power, eventually brining Kotoshoho down with an uwatenage. Both end Osaka 6-9.
Ryuden defeats Mitakeumi – Ryuden finds only his second win of the tournament on the final day. Mitakeumi had a solid defense running until a missed move caused him to turn his back on Ryuden for just a moment, and Mitakeumi only recovered with his feet on the bales, but soon had to step out. Ryuden finishes 2-13.
Abi defeats Endo – Endo continues to struggle with Abi-zumo, again we saw him leave Abi to attack at will, and suffered a potent oshitaoshi as a result. Both end Osaka with 9-6.
Shodai defeats Midorifuji – One time yusho race leader Midorifuji suffers his 5th consecutive loss. He had a double inside grip against Shodai by the second step – it was both a blessing and a curse. Once Shodai had his heels on the bales, out came the “Wall of Daikon”, and Shodai bodily rammed forward. With his arms now locked around Shodai, Midorifuji had no escape. The resulting kimedashi pushed him into the front row, and both end the tournament 10-5.
Meisei defeats Tamawashi – Meisei snaps a 6 match losing streak with solid, aggressive sumo. Tamawashi really can’t generate or tolerate any forward pressure this month, and has been a fairly easy mark. Meisei pushes him out into a shimpan, and its a 5-10 finish for him.
Tobizaru defeats Sadanoumi – An even tachiai evolved into Tobizaru’s superior foot work setting up an uwatenage that sent Sadanoumi tumbling to the clay. Fast and effective, both end the tournament 6-9.
Wakamotoharu defeats Kotonowaka – An impressive 11-4 final score for Wakamotoharu, and it’s his third double digit finish in the past year. Consistency – check. A quick tachiai saw them lock up yotsu-zumo style to fight it out. The finishing move was a tumbling rescue utchari at the edge that saw Wakamotoharu land on his neck. A monoii was called, but the judge’s decision was affirmed, Wakamotoharu had won.
Takayasu defeats Hoshoryu – Ah, Hoshoryu. Never change you numb skull. Takayasu has stared down plates of food at his mother’s restaurant more potent than you. Delighted to see Takayasu in good form today. He took his time and dismantled Hoshoryu a piece at a time. He seldom fights like this any more, but this is the form that took him to Ozeki, coupled with almost inhuman endurance. Hoshoryu gives him a good fight, but by about 20 seconds in, it’s clear Takayasu has been building an uwatenage. The throw has to overcome Hoshoryu’s excellent mobility, but Takayasu has ample strength to make it stick. Both end the tournament 10-5.
Kiribayama defeats Daieisho – The decider, and Kiribayama does what he needs to and takes out the yusho race leader to end the tournament with a 12-3 tie. Kiribayama played Daieisho perfectly, letting him get his mega-thrust train running, then stepping out of the way. Both win the technique prize, and we have a playoff for the yusho.
Yusho Playoff
Kiribayama defeats Daieisho – Kiribayama takes his first Emperor’s Cup, of what I hope will be several. Oddly enough it’s quite similar to their prior match, Daieisho is all power forward, Kiribayama absorbs two volleys then steps to the side. Kōnosuke calls it for Kiribayama, but they want a monoii to make sure. Clearly they are not up against a news break on NHK, so they have plenty of time. But of course Kōnosuke was right, and it’s time for Kiribayama to hoist a big fish.
Thank you, dear readers for sharing the 15 days of Haru with Team Tachiai. We hope you have enjoyed our daily coverage as much as we enjoyed bringing it to you. We hope to see you all again during the Natsu basho in May, and please check back for commentary, and sumo news as it happens.
We have come to it, the final day of the Haru basho. It’s been a wild and crazy ride to this point, and there has been a lot of fantastic sumo to enjoy. My heart goes out to all the rikishi who suffered through injuries to keep fighting this March: Ryuden, Azumaryu, and Tamawashi. I suspect Bushozan and Ichiyamamoto too, with a dash of Meisei, and Mitakeumi. I don’t pretend to understand sumo culture, but I have to wonder about how the sport manages its talent.
We have an exciting end to this tournament, the last match on the last day will be the decider. Either Daieisho wins and takes home the cup, or Kiribayama wins, and forces a playoff. Given that Wakamotoharu lost his day 14 match, as did Midorifuji, there is no chance for a multi-way “brawl to end it all” that was a tantalizing hope 24 hours ago.
There is only a single Darwin match, which is kind of a let down, but hey, can’t have ice cream for supper every day, or you end up too much like Ichinojo. On to the bouts.
What We Are Watching Day 15
Kagayaki (5-9) vs Tsurugisho (7-7) – Tsurugisho needs to win to reach kachi-koshi. He will need to best already make-koshi Kagayaki, who holds a 4-2 career lead. There prior match was a year ago on Osaka day 6, and that went to Tsurugisho by yorikiri.
Kinbozan (10-4) vs Takanosho (8-6) – First time match between these two kachi-koshi rikishi. I am happy that Takanosho has his 8, but I would love to see him elevate his score. That’s going to be tough against Kinbozan, who could finish Haru with 11 wins.
Azumaryu (3-11) vs Daishoho (8-6) – I don’t see this one as a “donor” match at all. It’s just that Azumaryu has to fight someone, and Daishoho got the draw. He has a 7-4 career advantage, and he won their prior bout on day 7 of Nagoya 2022.
Kotoeko (8-6) vs Nishikifuji (9-5) – Nishikifuji suffered a mid-basho drought, where he went 1-5, before he resumed winning style, winning his last 3 in a row. He’s only fought Kotoeko once before, on day 1 of Aki 2022. He won by hatakikomi. Both are kachi-koshi.
Myogiryu (5-9) vs Bushozan (4-10) – Both are make-koshi in this first ever match between them. Both have deep make-koshi records, and I think Bushozan is likely to be on the Juryo barge tomorrow night.
Oho (7-7) vs Hiradoumi (6-8) – Well, well, well. Look who it is, our Oho the HoHo, dumpling supreme for March. He decides make-koshi or kachi-koshi with this final match against already make-koshi Hiradoumi. I imagine Hiradoumi may have some frustrations to work out, given he fought pretty well in Osaka, but still is going home with a losing record. He holds a 2-1 career lead over Oho.
Aoiyama (6-8) vs Mitoryu (7-7) – Repeating the pattern above, its Mitoryu with a make or break fight against already make-koshi Aoiyama. I think Aoiyama did pretty well given that his sumo has been hampered by what is probably an injury.
Chiyoshoma (9-5) vs Ura (8-6) – I am happy that both of these guys are kachi-koshi, and can just crank it up and brawl for their final match. Ura holds a 7-0 career record against Chiyoshoma, with a spread of oshidashi and yorikiri in the mix. But my eye catches on that tottari from November 2021.
Ichiyamamoto (4-10) vs Hokuseiho (8-6) – Last match for the Tokyo Skytree this March. He managed to get his kachi-koshi, but I think this was an eye opener for Hakuho’s giant prodigy. He can finish off with a fight against injured Ichyamamoto, and maybe end with 9 wins.
Hokutofuji (7-7) vs Takarafuji (7-7) – The only Darwin match on the final day, and it happens to fall on two well loved veterans of the dohyo. Hokutofuji dominates their career record at 9-4, and I can’t see him losing to an injured Takarafuji today. Frankly, I am amazed that Takarafuji was able to battle back to 7-7, given his condition. Winner gets a kachi-koshi.
Kotoshoho (6-8) vs Nishikigi (5-9) – Both are make-koshi, and this is really about who gets the bigger shove down the banzuke for May. Kotoshoho has a bit of an edge, with a 6-4 career record, but Nishikigi has won 2 of the last 3 matches.
Mitakeumi (4-10) vs Ryuden (1-13) – In the scratch and dent bin, it’s one last chance to see if Ryuden can finish with more than one win. Given that he suffers from chronic hip problems, and that seems to be bothering him now, I don’t thing chances are good for him today. He does have a 6-1 career record against Mitakeumi, including his most recent fight on day 11 of Hatsu which Ryuden won by oshidashi.
Abi (8-6) vs Endo (9-5) – Both are already kachi-koshi, and Endo for some reason struggles to shut down Abi-zumo and the double arm thrusting attack. Nearly everyone else on the top half of the banzuke solved this one in 2020 or before, but Endo still is trying to work it out. Endo did win against Abi on day 14 of Hatsu 2023.
Midorifuji (10-4) vs Shodai (9-5) – Hopefully Midorifuji will get a special prize, as he did quite well this basho, and for a time was leading the yusho race. He gets to fight Shodai, who managed to not only reach kachi-koshi, but may finish with double digits as well if he prevails.
Tamawashi (3-11) vs Meisei (4-10) – It’s painful to watch Tamawashi fight, I can’t imagine what it is like for him. But he’s just got to endure one more – against Meisei. Meisei is likely in bad condition as well, so maybe these two can go have a nice drink and try to relieve their pain once this match is over. Both are make-koshi.
Sadanoumi (6-8) vs Tobizaru (5-9) – Another make-koshi pair, they both suffered with being just shy of potent enough to win a handful of their matches, and that left them with losing records. I think we will see them regroup, and hopefully recover for May.
Wakamotoharu (10-4) vs Kotonowaka (9-5) – This is Wakamotoharu’s third double digit winning tournament in the last year. I find his sumo more consistent than his injured brothers, and he might in fact end up being the first of the two to become Ozeki. An 11th win today might help make that case too. I am sure Kotonowaka has something to say about that, wanting to hit 10 himself. Kotonowaka also has a 6-1 career advantage, winning every match since 2020.
Takayasu (9-5) vs Hoshoryu (10-4) – A chance for Takayasu to finish with double digits too, if he can take a final white star from Hoshoryu. He has a 5-1 record against the Sekiwake on the clay, so it’s possible.
Kiribayama (11-3) vs Daieisho (12-2) – The final match of the day, the final match of the tournament. It may decide the yusho, if Daieisho can get his mega-thrust sumo on target and full power before Kiribayama can grab a piece of him and toss him about. Both have performed exceptionally well this March, and either would be a fine champion.
Komusubi Daiesho (12-2) is the sole leader, chased by Sekiwake Kiribayama (11-3). Everyone else is out of the running. And the leaders face off in the musubi-no-ichiban! Kiribayama must win to force a playoff rematch for the cup.
The San’yaku
We’ll have at least 3 Sekiwake: S1w Hoshoryu (10-4) and S2e Kiribayama (11-3) by virtue of their winning records, and K2e Daieisho (12-2) by virtue of reaching the requisite 11 wins. K1e Wakamotoharu (10-4) can join them by winning tomorrow against K1w Kotonowaka (9-5), who will remain at Komusubi, where he will be joined by injured S1e Wakatakakage (7-7-1).
So the incumbents will sort themselves into 3S/3K or 4S/2K, leaving no open slots. If M1w Shodai (9-5) can beat erstwhile leader M5w Midorifuji (10-4), 10 wins might be enough to create an extra Komusubi position; otherwise, I don’t think we’ll see any promotions.
Makuuchi-Juryo Exchanges
J1e Asanoyama (12-2) and J3e Ichinojo (13-1) have definitely earned promotion. The Juryo yusho race also comes down to these two; Asanoyama has to beat boy wonder J14w Ochiai (10-4) and hope that J9e Tsushimanada (4-10) is sufficiently motivated to avoid demotion to Makushita to hand a loss to Ichinojo—a big ask indeed. If this transpires, the two head to a playoff in a rematch of their Day 4 bout won by Ichinojo; any other outcome hands the title to the big man.
Whose spots will they take? M14w Bushozan (4-10) is definitely on his way back to Juryo. M11e Azumaryu (3-11) has a demotable record, and must win and hope for a loss by Mitoryu for any chance of a reprieve. M17e Mitoryu (7-7) and M16w Tsurugisho (7-7) each need a win for safety, while losses would put them in serious danger. I think M12e Kagayaki (5-9) has done enough, but I’d be trying hard to beat Tsurugisho to make certain if I were him.
If those in danger start piling up losses, the door could open to J1w Tohakuryu (7-7) if he wins, J6e Gonoyama (10-4), or J3w Shonannoumi (8-6).
Juryo-Makushita Exchanges
The promotion queue looks like this:
Ms2w Chiyosakae (5-1)
Ms2e Fujiseiun (4-3)
Ms3e Tokihayate (4-3)
Ms3w Kawazoe (4-3)
Ms5e Chiyonoumi (4-3) or Ms6e Shiden (5-1) with a win
J14e Tokushoryu (4-10) and J12e Tochimusashi (4-10) are toast, making room for Chiyosakae and Fujiseiun. J10e Kotokuzan (4-10), J11e Shimanoumi (5-9), and J9e Tsushimanada (4-10) will all be toast with a loss. Tsushimanada and Shimanoumi will be safe with a win. For Kotokuzan, a win would put him on the bubble, depending on where he is in the demotion queue. I think he’d go down for Tokihayate if he’s 3rd, maybe for Kawazoe if he’s 4th, and almost certainly not for Shiden or Chiyonoumi if he’s 5th.