Mitakeumi (9-2) will remain East Sekiwake in January. West Sekiwake Meisei (5-6) needs 3 more wins to retain his rank, and 2 to limit his fall to Komusubi. The two incumbents at the 4th rank, Ichinojo (4-7) and Kiribayama (4-7), both need to win out to avoid a drop into the rank-and-file.
M2w Takanosho (7-4) and M6w Tamawashi (9-2) lead the race for any open promotion slots.
Makuuchi/Juryo
We should have at least three open slots in the top division: one due to Hakuho’s retirement, one due to Asanoyama’s suspension, and one to be vacated by the lowest man on the banzuke, M17w Shohozan (2-8). M17e Kaisei (5-6) and M14e Kagayaki (3-8) each need 3 wins for safety. Fun fact: this is Kagayaki’s 7th straight basho in which he is ranked at maegashira and is make-koshi. That’s not easy to do! In fact, he now shares the all-time record with Sadanoumi, who “accomplished” this feat in 2015. Sadanoumi ended his streak with a kachi-koshi; should Kagayaki dodge demotion, he can go for an unprecedented 8th in January!
M13w Tochinoshin and M13e Yutakayama, each with 4 wins, likely need 2 wins for safety. Several other rikishi still need another win to guarantee a return. There are not many Juryo men with strong promotion cases, so we may see some lenient stays.
Who is in contention down in the second division? J1w Wakamotoharu (8-3) has almost certainly done enough to join his brother in Makuuchi. The next best promotion case belongs to J4w Ichiyamamoto (9-2), who can probably clinch it with another win, followed by J7e Oho (9-2), who needs two more. Top-ranked J1e Tsurugisho (5-6), who lost an epic bout to Midorifuji, can still guarantee a return to the top division with three wins; he faces Oho tomorrow. Fading J6e Kotoshoho (7-4) now probably needs to win out, and everyone else still hoping to move will need banzuke luck.
Juryo/Makushita
Two slots are already open in Juryo, one also due to Hakuho’s retirement and the other due to his protege Hokuseiho’s disappointing early withdrawal in his long-awaited sekitori debut. J14e Kyokushuho (5-6) and J9w Kyokutaisei (2-9) are in the worst shape of those participating, and need 3 wins apiece to retain their salaries, while J10e Yago (4-7) needs 2.
Seven of the ten wrestlers in the Ms1-Ms5 promotion zone can still finish with a winning record. Four have already clinched it, while the others have 3-3 scores. Top-ranked Ms1e Jokoryu (3-3) can force promotion tomorrow by beating J12e Tohakuryu (6-5), while a loss drops him from contention. The rest of the contenders are not in action on Day 12.
Ms13e Roga (5-1) dropped out of the race with a hard-fought loss to recent Juryo regular Ms33e Chiyonoumi (6-0), who will face former Komusubi Ms47w Ryuden (6-0) for the Makushita yusho and a spot in the promotion zone for January.
Hello sumo fans. Tight day for myself, so I will hold back the sumo banter and just get straight to the matches. Some notables
10 rikishi at 4-7. Expect tomorrow to be “make-koshi day” 15 rikishi in the funnel at 5-6 / 6-5. This could be an epic Darwin match roster if the schedulers can keep it up.
Highlight Matches
Hokutofuji defeats Chiyomaru – One of the underlying themes of this basho is that Hokutofuji is one some kind of sumo “Bonus level”. Over-demoted, he is fighting rikishi far below his actual level, and more or less running amok down there. Today it was Chiyomaru who got to play with him, and supply his 9th win. I love me some Hokutofuji, but I am pretty sure there is no boss fight in his future, so its a bit mindless.
Sadanoumi defeats Ishiura – Ishiura took the attack straight to Sadanoumi’s forward quarter, and found he lacked the power to move Sadanoumi at all. After consolidating his stance, Sadanoumi pushed to the front, found he could move Ishiura, and proceeded to march him out. Sadanoumi improves to 7-4.
Terutsuyoshi defeats Kagayaki – Two matta: this match was a mess before it even started. Once they got underway, neither man could find a solid hold, a usable stance, or any clear advantage. The traded offense until Terutsuyoshi got low enough, raised Kagayaki high enough, and gave a lateral shove to take the win. Kagayaki’s picks up his 8th loss, and is make-koshi, Terutsuyoshi improves to 5-6 and remains in the funnel. Kagayaki has not had a winning tournament since September of 2020. How is this guy still in the top division?
Kotonowaka defeats Akua – Kotonowaka absorbed Akua’s initial combo, and managed to hold the middle of the ring as the two locked up chest to chest. Akua was slow to switch to a defensive posture, and in that gap, Kotonowaka moved forward, tossing both of them into the east side rikishi. A mono-ii affirm’s the gyoji’s call, and Kotonowaka improves to 4-7.
Kaisei defeats Hidenoumi – Low speed, calm match between these two. It was Kaisei who was in control from the tachiai. He was able to take his time, and slowly work his way to a left hand mawashi grip. Once that left hand hit silk, it was three short steps to the win, and Kaisei ends the day 5-6.
Chiyonokuni defeats Aoiyama – Well, Aoiyama showed about 4 seconds of offense, and some of it was working. Chiyonokuni rallied, and Aoiyama gave ground, then tried to pull. The match ended with Aoiyama falling down, losing his footing on the bales. Hell, that was a mess. Aoiyama picks up loss number 8, and is make-koshi for November, Chiyonokuni advances to 6-5.
Shohozan defeats Kotoeko – Shohozan had never lost to Kotoeko, and he kept that rule in force today. A quick hit, hold and stride forward took care of Kotoeko in about 4 steps. Almost looked like Shohozan doing it too. Shohozan finishes 3-8.
Tochinoshin defeats Chiyoshoma – Tochinoshin used a side step at the tachiai, but it had very limited effect, as Chiyoshoma knows all about such moves. The big question was what happens when they go chest to chest. I guess Chiyoshoma wanted to find out, too. It turns out Tochinoshin does have just enough strength left in that leg to use a very limited form of his “sky crane” to heave Chiyoshoma out. Tochinoshin picks his 4th win, and is 4-7. I have to wonder if Tochinoshin may actually be able to rescue himself from the Juryo barge after all.
Abi defeats Ura – This match had a lot of potential to be a crazy running battle between two high mobility rikishi. But Abi was able to connect on the first two volleys, and Ura was never able to recover his balance. A quick walk forward, and Mr. Pink mawashi was in Konosuke’s lap. Abi improves to 10-1 and remains on the leader board.
Tamawashi defeats Chiyotairyu – The key to a win against Chiyotairyu is to survive the first 5 seconds, when Chiyotairyu’s power is at its maximum. Tamawashi gave ground into Chiyotairyu’s advance, but was able to move aside at the bales, leaving Chiyotairyu on his face dangling over the west side. Tamawashi improves to 9-2.
Yutakayama defeats Shimanoumi – Against the odds, as I saw them, Yutakayama beat Shimanoumi, staving off make-koshi, and pushing Shimanoumi back into the funnel. Yutakayama kept his feet, in spite of having balance issues the entire match. It was enough to get Shimanoumi, and finally out, to improve to 4-7.
Hoshoryu defeats Tobizaru – This one did live up to its potential, with both rikishi trading blows, launching combo attacks, and employing a good amount of lateral movement while maintaining balance. Tobizaru only really hand control for a moment out of all of that, but not convert it to a win. Hoshoryu looking quite solid in that win, and both finish the day at 5-6.
Takanosho defeats Takarafuji – As has been the problem with Takarafuji’s sumo this November, he has all of the same mechanics as his “good” basho, but it seems he can’t stick his stance. A mono-ii following the fight ruled that a rematch was needed, with the second bout running more or less as the first, save with less defensive power from Takarafuji the that time. Takarafuji had to release his feet repeatedly in the face of Takanosho’s forward pressure in both matches today. Maybe lower back issues with the Isegahama man? Takanosho takes control the second time, and keeps the attack to the front, improving to 7-4.
Wakatakakage defeats Okinoumi – Solid tachiai from both, but Okinoumi’s first step lost traction, and he went down to the clay. A classic slippiotoshi, as the great Kintamayama would put it, and Wakatakakage staves off make-koshi another day, ending at 4-7.
Daieisho defeats Onosho – This was anticipated to be a deluxe thrusting battle, with both rikishi preferring to go for big, double arm shoves. They traded blows with great effect, but it was Daieisho that won the match, as the two tried to pull / slap each other down at nearly the same time. Both end the day 4-7.
Kiribayama defeats Myogiryu – Kiribayama got to the side on the second step, and locked his left hand at Myogiryu’s mawashi knot. With this manner of grip, and keeping his stance oblique, it was time for Kiribayama to have some fun. He consolidated this stance, and lifted Myogiryu up, carrying him to the curb like a bin of green glass on Wednesday morning in Sumida. Kiribayama joins the outsize crowd at 4-7 (10 of them!).
Mitakeumi defeats Takayasu – Mitakeumi expertly disrupted Takayasu’s balance, never letting him set up either offense or defense. When Mitakeumi released his nodowa, he drove a left hand inside, and eased Takayasu over the bales. Mitakeumi improves to 9-2.
Takakeisho defeats Endo – That was the best example of wave action tsuppari from Takakeisho in a while. It was configured to keep Enod back, away from the Ozeki’s mawashi, and incrementally win the match. Once Takakeisho gets into that cyclic attack, most folks are going down. Takakeisho impoves to 10-1.
Shodai defeats Meisei – We got Ozeki Shodai today, and we got a fine display of that “Wall of Daikon” offensive-defense. He kept Meisei to the front, and nibbled a way a piece at a time to move him back. Shodai improves to 7-4, and may have escaped the funnel.
Terunofuji defeats Ichinojo – I did not expect Ichinojo to put up that much of a fight. The Boulder did well to keep Terunofuji’s left hand out of the early portion of the match. Once the Yokozuna landed that left hand, Ichinojo lost most attack routes, and the count down clock to the yorikiri started. When Terunofuji moved forward to finish him, Ichinojo surprised with an escape! Not easy to do when you are that big. Terunofuji chased him down, and put him on the clay. Solid effort from Ichinojo, but Terunofuji remains unbeaten at 11-0.
In the matchup of Jonokuchi’s unbeaten, Inoue’s experience dominated the young Chiyoshishi. After several solid slaps at the tachiai, both men latched onto each others’ belts in a bit of a surprising change of pace for Inoue. Inoue powered through Chiyoshishi as the young lion backed and circled around the ring. However, Inoue pursued swiftly and forced Chiyoshishi down, yoritaoshi. As the lion went down, he let out a roar…which sounded suspiciously like an F-bomb to me. Hear for yourself in the clip below. I hope you enjoy a little chuckle.
This is a surprising shift for Inoue as it’s only the third yoritaoshi win of his career as he favors an oshi-tsuki style in an effort to set up a slapdown. The most common kimarite among his wins hatakikomi. While he has won more than 20 bouts using oshidashi, he’s won 28 bouts via slapdown. It’s still too early in Chiyoshishi’s career to pin down his style but I will need to keep an eye on Inoue and his rise back up the banzuke. It will be helpful if he has another effective tool in the toolbox.
Though Inoue won his bout and is in sole possession of the lead, he must win his next bout to win the yusho outright. If he loses, the yusho will come down to a playoff. His next bout will likely be against the winner of the Kawamura/Raiho bout. Chiyoshishi has already defeated both, so he will likely face the winner of the Goseiryu/Wakaonehara fight.
Raiho took no chances against Kawamura, pulling a henka, and then spinning poor Kawamura clear off the dohyo with the final shove delivered from behind, okuridashi. The athleticism of Raiho against the experience and power of Inoue will be a fitting highlight bout on Day 13 (probably).
Goseiryu forced Wakaonehara to the side with a powerful right-hand at the initial charge. He quickly grabbed Wakaonehara and yanked him down for the hikiotoshi win. Goseiryu will thus probably be paired with Chiyoshishi with the winner having a shot at a three-way playoff with Raiho and Inoue, if Raiho wins. That playoff would be fought on senshuraku.
Mitakeumi (8-2) will remain East Sekiwake in January. West Sekiwake Meisei (5-5) needs 3 more wins to retain his rank, and 2 to limit his fall to Komusubi. Of the two incumbents at the 4th rank, Ichinojo (4-6) is in slightly better shape than Kiribayama (3-7), but both will most likely drop into the rank-and-file.
It’s a close race for any open promotion slots among M2w Takanosho (6-4), M6w Tamawashi (8-2), and M7e Ura (8-2).
Makuuchi/Juryo
We should have at least three open slots in the top division: one due to Hakuho’s retirement, one due to Asanoyama’s suspension, and one to be vacated by the lowest man on the banzuke, M17w Shohozan (2-8). M17e Kaisei (4-6) needs to win 4 of 5 to reach safety, while M14e Kagayaki, M13w Tochinoshin, and M13e Yutakayama, all (3-7), each need 3 wins for safety. Several other rikishi still need 1 or 2 wins to guarantee a return. However, it’s not clear that there will be many Juryo men with strong promotion cases, so we may see some lenient stays.
Who is in contention down in the second division? J1w Wakamotoharu (7-3) is probably one win away from joining his brother in Makuuchi. The next best promotion cases belong to J7e Oho (9-1) and J4w Ichiyamamoto (8-2). J1e Tsurugisho (5-5) needs 3 wins to return to the top division, while J6e Kotoshoho (7-3) probably needs 4. Beyond that, the list of contenders is pretty thin.
Juryo/Makushita
Two slots are already open in Juryo, one also due to Hakuho’s retirement and the other due to his protege Hokuseiho’s disappointing early withdrawal in his long-awaited sekitori debut. J14e Kyokushuho (4-6) is in the worst shape of those participating, so we may see only one or two other slots open up, though both J9w Kyokutaisei (2-8) and J10e Yago (3-7) have not looked good and may drop from relatively high ranks.
Eight of the ten wrestlers in the Ms1-Ms5 promotion zone can still finish with a winning record, but only two have already clinched it: veteran Ms2w Shiba and former high school Yokozuna Ms3e Kitanowaka, both 4-1. I don’t think either is quite guaranteed a sekitori promotion yet though. Kitanowaka visits Juryo tomorrow to take on somewhat endangered J13w Hiradoumi (5-5). Also in contention is Ms13e Roga (5-0), the only undefeated man in the extended promotion zone, who can only earn promotion by going 7-0. He faces recent Juryo regular Ms33e Chiyonoumi (5-0) in one of the Makushita semifinals. The other matches former Komusubi Ms47w Ryuden (5-0) and Ms57e Makushita veteran Aozora (5-0), whom I’d never heard of but who does have two Sandanme yusho to his name.