M1e Takayasu leads with 12 wins, followed by O1e Takakeisho and M9w Abi with 11. If the leader can beat Abi tomorrow, he finally takes his long-awaited maiden yusho. If Abi prevails, they go to a playoff, which can be joined by Takakeisho if he bests Wakatakakage.
San’yaku
We have three confirmed Sekiwake for January: S1e Wakatakakage (8-6), S1w Hoshoryu (10-4) and O1w Shodai (6-8), who will have the customary one shot to regain his rank with 10 wins. Of the four Komusubi, only K1w Kiribayama (8-6) will get to stay; K1e Tamawashi (5-9), K2e Tobizaru (6-8) and K2w Daieisho (6-8) are all make-koshi.
S2w Mitakeumi (6-8) will be Komusubi with a final-day win, but maegashira with a loss. Tournament leader M1e Takayasu (12-2) will return to san’yaku; while recent precedents suggest that he’ll only be Komusubi, there’s a chance that he gets fast-tracked to Sekiwake in order to set him up for a potential early Ozeki promotion in January.
A loss by Mitakeumi and a Sekiwake slot for Takayasu would open up K1w for M1w Kotonowaka (8-6); otherwise, he is out of luck and will once again have to settle for only a half-rank promotion despite deserving better. Wins by Meisei, Wakamotoharu, and Abi would also give them records deserving of Komusubi, but they’ll have to wait unless the banzuke committee is in an uncharacteristically generous mood.
Makuuchi to Juryo
Chiyotairyu’s retirement opens up one slot in the top division. M16e Terutsuyoshi (0-14) and M15w Atamifuji (3-11) will be vacating two more. M8e Takarafuji (2-12) will go down for certain with a loss, and may drop even with a win depending on the strength of the promotion cases. So we’ll have at least three promotions, and at most four, as all other incumbents are safe. J3e Tsurugisho (10-4) is definitely coming back up. The other contenders, in a virtual tie, are J1w Chiyomaru (8-6), J3w Mitoryu (9-5), and J5e Akua (10-4). Just behind is J6e Hokuseiho (10-4), who must win and have at least one of the trio ahead of him lose tomorrow to have a shot at a Makuuchi debut.
Ah, day 14 – you did your job well. As we previewed last night, there were so many great things queued up for today. While only some of them played out, the drama of today’s competition was enhanced. First on the list, the large and wonderful clade of Darwin rikishi. While there could have been as many at 14, we will happily take the 9 who earned a 7-7 record at the end of day 14. Congrats boys, you get to show the world that sumo is a zero-sum sport. There will be four Darwin matches on day 15, with Takanosho lucking out and drawing 3-11 Atamifuji instead.
The matter of Mitakeumi has been further clarified, as Shodai dispatched him with a bit of trouble. Now make-koshi, he will step out of the Sekiwake rank created for him, only to turn it over to Shodai. This match served as a symbolic and perverse passing of some kind of “loser lottery” torch. I feel bad for Mitakeumi, he has not been genki since March, and goes on record has having one of the shortest Ozeki reigns in history.
But we can’t forego the yusho race. Takayasu took care of Kagayaki, but looked like hell on toast doing it. He was off balance, out of control, but managed to get a win, and that what counts. Oho proved no match for the only real Ozeki left on the banzuke, and Abi exploited Hoshoryu’s rushed attack plan. The cup is Takayasu’s tomorrow if he can beat Abi, otherwise its going to be a playoff with as many as 3 men fighting it out for the yusho.
Highlight Matches
Okinoumi defeats Chiyoshoma – Okinoumi grabs Chiyoshoma with a left hand outside grip, and waits. And waits. Then decides… to wait some more. Chiyoshoma keeps trying to get something offensive going, while Okinoumi convinces him to.. wait. When he has had enough waiting, and Chiyoshoma has worn himself down, Okinoumi advances and wins. That’s his 8th and he is kachi-koshi at 8-6, while Chiyoshoma picks up his 8th loss and is make-koshi for November.
Takanosho defeats Azumaryu – These “Darwin qualifiers” really worked out well. Takanosho is able to keep Azumuaryu centered and ahead, and powers forward for the win. Both end the day at 7-7, and qualify for a Darwin match tomorrow.
Kotoshoho defeats Myogiryu – A hybrid match, started oshi and finished yotsu. Compliments to Kotoshoho for keeping his cool and keeping his feet under Myogiryu’s thrusting attacks. Both end the day at 7-7, and qualify for a Darwin match tomorrow.
Nishikigi defeats Ichiyamamoto – Ichiyamamoto opens with a strong thrusting attack, but Nishikigi is able to capture him by the third volley, and they lock up chest to chest. Twice Ichiyamamoto rallied and drive forward, and Nishikigi shut it down the first time, and walked Ichiyamamoto out the second time. Both end the day at 7-7, and qualify for a Darwin match tomorrow.
Hiradoumi defeats Nishikifuji – Hiradoumi’s first win in 5 attempts against Nishikifuji. He came off the shikiri-sen at full power, and never backed off for a moment. A double inside grip, and a leaping forward charge, it was all Nishikifuji could do to keep his feet. Hiradoumi improves to 10-4 from the bottom of the banzuke.
Wakamotoharu defeats Kotoeko – The two go chest to chest at the tachiai, and Kotoeko is completely out-classed. It’s a fast walk for Wakamotoharu to send Kotoeko out by oshidashi, and improve to 9-5. Kotoeko finishes the day at 7-7 and joins the Darwin group.
Sadanoumi defeats Tochinoshin – Tochinoshin starts strong, but tries a pull early on. Sadanoumi is ready for that release of forward pressure and runs Tochinoshin out, dropping him to 6-8 while Sadanoumi is up to 7-7 and joins the Darwin group.
Ura defeats Terutsuyoshi – The zenpai run remains intact, with just one more loss needed to secure the rare perfect losing record. Today Terutsuyoshi put a lot into this match, but is just too hurt even to overcome the injured Ura. Ura eventually tosses him out the West side, improving to 4-10. In true Ura style, the moment after he launches Terutsuyoshi, Ura is alarmed at his actions, and concerned for his opponent.
Midorifuji defeats Endo – Midorifuji makes this a direct and simple match. He grabs Endo, and walks him back. Endo tries to pivot away, Midorifuji thrusts him down. Endo is now make-koshi at 6-8, Midorifuji joins the Darwin group at 7-7.
Ichinojo defeats Atamifuji – Atamifuji successfully captures Ichinojo at the tachiai, then realizes the problems is; he has captured Ichinojo. It’s a bit like hugging a bus. Congratulations, now what? Atamifuji takes a few minutes to think it through as he and Ichinojo are locked up in the center of the dohyo. Eventually even a bus has to move, and I am going to guess Ichinojo needs to be somewhere in an hour, so he puts his massive body in forward gear, and Atamifuji gets a lesson in physics. Both end the day 3-11.
Takayasu defeats Kagayaki – The big match of the day, I give my compliments to Kagayaki for putting up a surprisingly strong fight. In fact, he had Takayasu on the run when Takayasu applied the hatakikomi that won the match. Never good to win a match moving backward, but Takayasu made it work today. He remains the sole leader at 12-2.
Meisei defeats Kotonowaka – If Kotonowaka had fought a bit better, we could have had Meisei join the Darwin group, but instead Kotonowaka attempted a pull, giving up any defense at a flimsy chance to gain advantage. Meisei converted this to his advantage and set up the yorikiri that won the match. Meisei gets his 8th win, and is kachi-koshi for November.
Tamawashi defeats Takarafuji – Takarafuji kept trying to get any kind of hold on Tamawashi, but was keeping his balance and staying in the match. At least until he caught a big left hand push to the middle of his chest from Tamawashi, and went staggering back and out. Tamawashi improves to 5-9.
Ryuden defeats Daieisho – Magnificent ballet from an enormous man. Daieisho gets a good thrusting attack going, disrupts Ryuden’s balance, and he nearly tumbles down. Daieisho lunges in to finish him, but Ryuden maintains his footing. Amazing. Ryuden gets a right hand outside grip, and after a brief struggle, walks Daieisho out, to improve to 9-5.
Tobizaru defeats Aoiyama – Aoiyama fails to join the Darwin crew, and picks up his make-koshi. Tobizaru absorbed the initial Aoiyama thrusting attack, was able to get him chest to chest, and gradually worked his way into shitatenage. Both end the day 6-8.
Onosho defeats Kiribayama – Solid choice of tactics from Kiribayama, and it was working well until the moment he let Onosho slip just a half step to the side. This came with an immediate tsukiotoshi that caught Kiribayama off balance. Kiribayama drops to all fours, and Onosho improves to 9-5.
Wakatakakage defeats Hokutofuji – The last of the Darwin qualifier matches did not result in a pair of 7-7 scores. Hokutofuji went into an arm-bar hold against Wakatakakage’s right, and found that to be a dead end about the moment that Wakatakakage pushed him back with the right. A second combo a moment later, and Hokutofuji was out, earning him, yet again, “The most powerful make-koshi in all of sumo!”. Wakatakakage improves to 8-6, and is kachi-koshi for Kyushu.
Abi defeats Hoshoryu – Hoshoryu took the attack to Abi, seeking to disrupt his double arm thrusting sumo. This mostly worked, but left Hoshoryu too far forward. Abi stepped to the side and slapped Hoshoryu down to improve to 11-3, remaining one behind Takayasu.
Takakeisho defeats Oho – It was great to see Oho fight an Ozeki, he has earned respect for actually giving Takakeisho a decent fight. But it’s early days for him, and he’s not close to ready to compete at this left – yet. Takakeisho uses a fair amount of mobility, and a lot of forward power to turn Oho, then push him out of the ring. Takakeisho now 11-3, and joins Abi one behind Takayasu.
Shodai defeats Mitakeumi – In the perfect musubi-no-ichiban for day 14 of this tournament, we saw Shodai summon enough sumo to dispatch an underperforming Mitakeumi. Mitakeumi had one good forward surge, but Shodai rallied and ran him out. Mitakeumi now make-koshi and will vacate the Sekiwake slot for Shodai to occupy in January. Both end the day 6-8.
It’s time to kick off the final weekend of this last basho of the year. In spite of some high profile dud performances, we manage to find ourselves with some great themes for the last two days. First off is the yusho race, which is far from decided. Takayasu has solo possession of the lead, but absent any surprise developments, needs to win his last 2 to ensure claiming his first yusho. There are 4 rikishi one win behind him, eager to try and grab the cup for themselves, if somehow someone can put dirt on Takayasu.
We have the unresolved question of Wakatakakage, who is not going to get his double digit score, and probably needs to restart his Ozeki run in January. He needs one more win for kachi-koshi, so his disposition is still undecided. He should be able to get that 8th win today, but with this crowd, never assume things will go the direction they were pointed in.
And gloriously, we have what could be an overflowing vessel of Darwin matches. There could be as many as 8 of those things on the final day, if the stars align. Given how middling everyone’s scores have been all year, it’s a fitting tribute to 2022 to have the whole thing end with a flurry of 7-7 matches competing for survival.
Up for a try at kachi-koshi today: Wakatakakage, Meisei, Myogiryu, Kotoeko, Okinoumi, Ichiyamamoto, Azumaryu
Kyushu Leaderboard
Takayasu controls the outcome. Stay in the ring, stay off the clay and you take home that cup at long last. As I have said since week 1, watch for Takakeisho, who if he gets the chance will be tough to stop.
We will see this all day, a 6-7 vs a 7-6. Call it a “Darwin Qualifier”, either both men end the day 7-7, or one is kachi-koshi and the other make-koshi.
Okinoumi vs Chiyoshoma – Darwin qualifier match, we have Chiyoshoma with a narrow lead, and 6 wins looking to stay in the hunt for kachi-koshi. Okinoumi has won 3 of the last 4, so I am looking for.. dare I say it… a henka?
Takanosho vs Azumaryu – Another Darwin qualifier. An Azumaryu win would be his first kachi-koshi in the top division, after 3 failed attempts. He’s got Takanosho who has been surprisingly lack-luster this November.
Kotoshoho vs Myogiryu – A third Darwin qualifier, Kotoshoho has never beaten Myogiryu, but he needs to today if he wants to try for his kachi-koshi on day 15. Myogiryu broke a 3 match losing streak yesterday with his win over Kotoshoho’s stable mate, Kotoeko.
Nishikigi vs Ichiyamamoto – The fourth and final Darwin qualifier match of the first group, it’s Nishikigi trying for his 7th win against Ichiyamamoto looking for his kachi-koshi. Ichiyamamoto has had a bit of a week 2 fade, having lost 3 of his last 4 matches.
Hiradoumi vs Nishikifuji – We take a bit of a break from Darwin qualifiers for a Hiradoumi test match. The banzuke gap between these two is 10 full ranks. Hiradoumi (9-4) have never won a match against Nishikifuji (8-5), with four prior attempts.
Wakamotoharu vs Kotoeko – With an odd number of Darwin candidates, someone had to fight outside of that group, and the schedulers picked Kotoeko (7-6) to take on Wakamotoharu (8-5). I like this match because both have strong yotsu-zumo abilities, and Kotoeko loves a good fight. I like that Wakamotoharu has a 3 match winning streak going, which includes his day 12 win over Tobizaru.
Tochinoshin vs Sadanoumi – This match is “Darwin or make-koshi”. Both men are 6-7, so whomever loses will end the tournament with a losing record. The winner gets a day 15 Darwin match. Tochinoshin holds a 7-5 career lead.
Ura vs Terutsuyoshi – A sad match, both are double-digit make-koshi this November, with Terutsuyoshi still in the hunt for the rarely seen zenpai. Given how he has been fighting, I don’t give Terutsuyoshi any chance of winning today.
Endo vs Midorifuji – Another “Darwin or make-koshi” match, call it a “Mini-Darwin” if you want, the winner is rewarded with a Darwin match tomorrow, and the loser a make-koshi. First time match between these two.
Atamifuji vs Ichinojo – Another double-digit make-koshi fight, with both men fighting well below their capabilities. I would actually give 3-10 Atamifuji a slight edge over 2-11 Ichinojo in this, their first ever match.
Takayasu vs Kagayaki – Takayasu, having run out of high rankers to beat on, is pretty far down the banzuke to take on Kagayaki, who is 2 wins behind Takayasu. Of course the outcome that everyone is looking for is a Takayasu win, and Kagayaki’s removal from the hunt group. But I would like to think that maybe he has a chance. A slim one, but a chance. He has only beaten Takayasu once in 4 attempts, in September of 2020 when Takayasu was struggling to recover from injury.
Meisei vs Kotonowaka – Meisei at 7-6 needs a win today over 8-5 Kotonowaka to avoid a Darwin match on day 15. He holds a 3-1 career lead, but Kotonowaka is on a bit of a hot streak, having one 3 of his last 4.
Tamawashi vs Takarafuji – Another battle of the make-koshi, its 4-9 Tamawashi, hoping to avoid double digit losses, against 2-11 Takarafuji, who has already embraced his growing doom.
Ryuden vs Daieisho – The schedulers are trying hard to get Daieisho (6-7) one more win to put him into the Darwin pool. He’s up against 8-5 Ryuden, who at 8-5 is already kachi-koshi. Daieisho has an 8-4 career advantage.
Tobizaru vs Aoiyama – Ah, Tobizaru. You had a strong start to this basho, but now at 5-8 you are looking less formidable. You have the man-mountain that is Aoiyama today (6-7) who will either win and go on to a Darwin match tomorrow, or lose and be make-koshi for November.
Onosho vs Kiribayama – Both men are 8-5 kachi-koshi to start today, so this fight is really all about rank. They have split their six prior matches 3-3, so maybe a big fight here.
Wakatakakage vs Hokutofuji – Last of the Darwin qualifiers, and you could not ask for two better candidates to end the series. We have former Ozeki hopeful Wakatakakage up against Hokutofuji, owner of “The most powerful make-koshi in all of sumo” title. Wakatakakage needs a win to avoid a day 15 Darwin match, and further deflation of his once grand aspirations.
Abi vs Hoshoryu – With the preliminaries out of the way, it’s time to make all of the 10-3 guys fight each other, starting with these two. This match set will ensure only 2 rikishi remain in the hunt for the cup should Takayasu lose a match. Hoshoryu has never lost to Abi, with 4 prior fights. Abi is looking better than he has in some time, but his sumo is so one dimensional, if Hoshoryu has a formula for shutting him down, it may be certain that Abi will lose.
Takakeisho vs Oho – I can’t see this first time battle being much more than a rapid, short flight down range for Oho once he catches a full blast. I am certain he will try for a mawashi grab as a route to upset the Ozeki, but the chances of him getting there are remote.
Mitakeumi vs Shodai – What could be more “Sumo 2022” than ending the day with these two head to head? Shodai, I present you with your future. The best Mitakeumi can hope for right now is to beat Shodai and qualify for a Darwin match tomorrow. He has a 13-16 career deficit against booger-boy, but maybe Shodai is ready to throw in the towel.
Well, we needn’t have feared—former Ozeki Asanoyama, ranked Ms4e, easily defeated Ms10w Kamito to improve his record to 6-1 and stamp his return to the salaried ranks. He was helped by a combination of other results, notably a loss by Ms1e Shiden, which dropped him to 3-4 and out of the promotion picture. Ms1w Shonannoumi won and improved to 5-2, so he will certainly make his sekitori debut, but no other promotion contenders can now leapfrog Asanoyama.
One slot in Juryo is open due to Chiyotairyu’s retirement. J14e Tsushimanada (5-8) now has a demotable record, as does J12e Tokushoryu (4-9), so there will be room for both Shonannoumi and Asanoyama. J10w Kaisho (4-9), J13e Shimazuumi (6-7), and J14w Gonoyama (7-6) are not out of the woods yet, and the most endangered ones after tomorrow should face Ms2w Fujiseiun (3-3) and Ms5w Hakuyozan (5-1) in exchange bouts. The other promotion contender, Ms3e Tokihayate (3-3), must beat Tochikamiyama tomorrow and hope for a favorable combination of other results to have any shot at Juryo.
Oh, by the way, Ms23e Tamashoho is the Makushita champion after defeating Ms41w Mineyaiba. After this result, Tamawashi’s brother-in-law and attendant will move up into the promotion zone and have a shot at earning a Juryo debut at Hatsu.