Natsu Day 5 Preview

Welcome to the final day of Act 1! As you may recall, act 1 is all about bringing the rikishi up to tournament performance while getting the ring-rust knocked off and scraped away. It’s clear that there are some rikishi who are in terrible condition coming into the end of act 1, and a surprisingly small number who have managed to remain undefeated. I think this portends a very flat, even competition for act 2 of the basho, where we sort the survivors from the damned. So far it looks like we will get to keep Kakuryu, and avoid the “No-kazuna” situation that was scandalous and unthinkable 2 years ago.

Meanwhile, shin-Ozeki Takakeisho is in unknown condition following him injuring himself in his day 4 match against Mitakeumi. Team Tachiai’s best medical consultants have declared that the attempt to graft even the smallest element of yotsu-sumo onto his body has resulted in a kimarite malfunction, and the damage could be extensive. Reports from Japan have stated that Chiganoura Oyakata is taking special care of his Ozeki. They are going to have a medical work-up done, and he is inclined to keep Takakeisho out of competition if he’s not 100%. Good Oyakata! EDIT: News reports from Japan now indicate that Takakeisho will be absent tomorrow. It is unclear at this point whether he will return later in the tournament. -lksumo

One of the aforementioned 4-0 score-holders is Ozekiwake Tochinoshin, who is on a mission to rack up 10 wins and reclaim his Ozeki rank. When he’s healthy, as he seems right now, the man is a force of nature. As with most other sumo fans around the world, we are eager to see him overcome the challenge in front of him and regain his title.

What We Are Watching Day 5.

Terutsuyoshi vs Kyokushuho – Kyokushuho visits from Juryo to face off against Terutsuyoshi, who may, at long last, be finding a working formula for his sumo in the top division. Mongolian Kyokushuho is looking for a path that returns him to the top division, with his last posting being as Maegashira 14 during Osaka 2017!

Chiyoshoma vs Enho – Oh this has train-wreck written all over it. You have the highly maneuverable Enho facing off for the first time against a known henka master. Not only henka, but flying henka! Will Chiyoshoma take flight before Enho can catch a grip, or will Enho find a way to lock his feet to the clay?

Tokushoryu vs Yago – Bottom-heavy Tokushoryu will square off against Yago in this battle of the twos. Both men have 2-2 records, and their career record is tied 2-2. Math-oriented fans can only hope that the first match is indecisive, and after a monoii, a torinaoshi is called, resulting in there being 2 matches between these 2.

Chiyomaru vs Tochiozan – I might say “keep on rolling!” to 3-1 Chiyomaru, but that is actually possible, and probably dangerous. In fact it has been learned by Tachiai that Chiyomaru is forbidden to climb hills or even steep sidewalks, as any slip or fall could cause damage to local buildings, parked cars and any nearby fishing fleet.

Shimanoumi vs Onosho – At Maegashira 10, Onosho should be cleaning up handily. Instead he is still struggling. So today’s match against Shimanoumi looks like a favor, as Shimanoumi has yet to find a way to beat the Mighty Tadpole on the dohyo.

Kagayaki vs Asanoyama – Oh, what a great match. Clearly the schedulers want to throw a wrinkle at Asanoyama, who has only beaten Kagayaki one time in their 6 prior meetings. Asanoyama comes in undefeated, and frankly looking to be executing the best sumo of his top-division career. Can Mr. Fundamentals make it 6 by putting the leading member of the Freshmen on the clay?

Shodai vs Yoshikaze – How is Shodai at 3-1? I am going to guess Yoshikaze is going to have a tough time with this match, as Yoshikaze has been hampered by a shocking lack of mobility this basho, and Shodai seems to be bouncing around every match, win or lose.

Myogiryu vs Abi – After it seemed that Abi-zumo had run out of useful life earlier this year, somehow it’s back to being quite potent. Maybe it’s the oddball “Chanko Napolitan” they serve at the heya. Myogiryu still seems to be looking for his sumo in a box somewhere at the heya, and needs to find it soon.

Okinoumi vs Ryuden – Only one rikishi in active competition still has zero wins: Okinoumi. Which is odd because he is fighting well. Maybe he can work out some of his frustrations against Shin-Ikioi / Ryuden, as Ryuden is quietly putting together quite a winning streak when you consider Osaka as well.

Endo vs Kotoshogiku – Both men are 1-3, and need to start turning things around if they want to avoid a typical Maegashira 1 / 2 outcome for this basho. Kotoshogiku’s attacks are still wonderfully effective, but he seems to lack the strength to get them to pay against the named ranks.

Hokutofuji vs Tochinoshin – The key to this match will be if Hokutofuji can land his nodowa before Tochinoshin can get that left hand grip. Hokutofuji will want to hit and shift; Tochinoshin will want to hold and lift. Hokutofuji holds a slight career advantage (3-2), and I think he may be the first rikishi to put dirt on the Ozekiwake.

Ichinojo vs Mitakeumi – I think we may see Ichinojo revert to his Osaka form sooner rather than later. Mitakeumi likes to rush in, and so the stand them up / knock them down tactic might carry this match. Of course it’s possible that Mitakeumi is still trying to figure out what happened against Takakeisho, and will be too baffled 24 hours later to execute proper sumo.

Goeido vs Daieisho – Engineers worked frantically to patch that Endo bug, and Goeido is now running GoeiDOS 2.4.1, which should be more than effective against Daieisho. (Perhaps surprisingly, Daieisho holds a 2-1 career edge, including the upset that derailed Goeido after his strong start last basho. -lksumo)

Takakeisho vs Tamawashi – I would say 50/50 chance this match does not take place, and Tamawashi ends up with a fusensho to boost him to 2-3. If it does take place, I am going to expect a real roaming oshi-battle with a lot of force, and maybe a couple of crowd-pleasing haymakers.

Chiyotairyu vs Takayasu – It’s clear that we likely won’t be talking about how Takayasu is finally going to get his first yusho. In fact, I am still trying to decide what he is up to these days. He is still winning, but he’s frankly all over the sumo spectrum every day. While it makes it tough on his opponents to guess what he’s going to do, it’s not really helping his score.

Kakuryu vs Aoiyama – Kakuryu is a delightful contrast to Hakuho, as Kakuryu allows his opponent to dictate the terms of the match to start, and them brutally applies his magic. The net result in terms of Aoiyama is a 17-1 career advantage that may not in fact improve on Natsu day 5.

Natsu Day 4 Highlights

The Tadpole War Took An Unexpected Turn

A surprising match that came late in the day’s torikumi – we got to see a pair of tadpoles go chest to chest, with a unexpectedly good yotsu-zumo battle from… Takakeisho?

Highlight Matches

Chiyoshoma defeats Terutsuyoshi – Terutsuyoshi comes in low, but can’t generate any forward pressure against Chiyoshoma, who grabs a shoulder and swings him down to the clay.

Tokushoryu defeats Ishiura – Ishiura attempts a hit-and-shift mini henka, and Tokushoryu is having none of it. After Ishiura’s opening gambit fails, he spends the next few moments dodging Tokushoryu who runs him down and tosses him out.

Kotoeko defeats Wakatakakage – Wakatakakage took the tachiai, and got inside to take initiative and dictate the match. But he took too low of a body position, and while Kotoeko’s attempt at a pull down failed, it did disrupt Wakatakakage enough for Kotoeko to go on offense. Kotoeko kept his head, stayed focused and seized his chance.

Enho defeats Daishoho – It looks like Enho attempts another leg-pick, but Daishoho keeps moving, and so Enho settles for a unique shoulder-to-mawashi hold that he converts to a shitatenage. It’s almost an entirely different form of sumo that most of the giants are completely helpless to stop.

Sadanoumi defeats Shimanoumi – Shimanoumi continues to struggle, to the dismay of his fans. Although Shimanoumi seems to get the better for the tachiai, Sadanoumi gets a shallow left hand inside grip that he uses to carry the match.

Yago defeats Chiyomaru – Chiyomaru picks up his first loss after Yago puts him on the clay. Chiyomaru had a number of problems this match, including a soft tachiai, an inability to finish Yago once his heels were on the tawara, and getting that giant belly too far forward to enable Yago’s slap down.

Tochiozan defeats Kagayaki – Tochiozan was the model of calm efficiency in dismantling Kagayaki in this match. He kept pushing inside Kagayaki’s defenses and driving forward. Mr Fundamentals defeated by excellent fundamentals from Tochiozan.

Shohozan defeats Onosho – Shohozan went chest to chest with Onosho, and rolled him around with great effect. The biggest knock against Onosho is that he focused his osha-attack against Shohozan’s head and shoulders, rather than center-mass. When they grapple, Shohozan had the superior body position with his hips lower and primed for offense. Onosho had only a tentative grip on Shohozan’s mawashi, and there was little he could do to prevent the throw.

Kaisei defeats Tomokaze – Tomokaze wisely tried to get Kaisei off-axis, and succeeded. But the Brazilian was low enough and stable enough that the attempt to convert that body position to a throw failed, and Tomokaze attempted to pull Kaisei down. It was successful, but Tomokaze fell / stepped out first, handing Kaisei his second win.

Asanoyama defeats Nishikigi – Watching Asanoyama today is a great visual study in excellent sumo mechanics. This version of Asanoyama is strong, confident and winning without fail. With his brother from another mother, Yutakayama, in the Juryo bush-league getting rebuilt, Asanoyama has stepped up and started to shine.

Meisei defeats Takarafuji – Meisei picks up his first win of the basho with a tottari, sending Takarafuji sliding belly first.

Yoshikaze defeats Myogiryu – Yoshikaze is finally showing some offensive sumo and forward pressure, though the start was quite tentative. The match was mostly fought chest to chest after a separation following the tachiai. Fans hope that Yoshikaze brings more vigor to his sumo for the rest of the basho.

Shodai defeats Ryuden – Once again Ryuden can’t seem to find a way to beat Shodai, even though Ryuden seemed to have superior body position, foot placement and higher energy. Shodai’s sumo somehow took over and carried the match. I have watched it three times and I am still not sure what happened.

Abi defeats Daieisho – Traditional Abi-zumo match here, but ended with a ballet pull-down kimarite that was listed as uwatenage. In spite of his fairly one dimensional sumo, Abi is tough to beat at this rank and when he is on his game.

Chiyotairyu defeats Aoiyama – A surprisingly soft tachiai from these two, I think both suspected the other of a henka, or side-step. But once Aoiyama pushed forward, Chiyotairyu’s side-step took place sending Aoiyama diving for the west side clay. Chiyotairyu’s first win of the basho.

Ichinojo defeats Okinoumi – Ichinojo’s hiji-yotsu (elbow lock out) really paid off as Okinoumi found himself unable to do anything offensive or defensive. Is Ichinojo’s ring rust fading yet?

Tochinoshin defeats Tamawashi – Great hazuoshi (armpit attack) from Tamawashi shut down Tochinoshin’s early efforts to get his left hand grip in place for the sky crane. But land it he did, although Tamawashi continued to dance around, not letting the Ozekiwake plant his feet for the lift. Tochinoshin kept tight cover and moved forward, getting the white star to reach 4-0. If he can stay healthy he is on course to re-take his Ozeki rank.

Takakeisho defeats Mitakeumi – Some readers may have noted that I pointed out that in the run-up to Natsu, there was video of Takakeisho going chest to chest with Ozeki Takayasu, and winning. Some folks on Twitter tried to downplay this video evidence that the tadpole was at least trying to diversify, but here we are again. This may be the most interesting match in the next few months, so let’s break it down. Takakeisho tries to start the wave-train at the tachiai, but loses traction and falls into Mitakeumi’s chest, and finds he cannot push. Much to the crowds surprise, Takakeisho settles into yotsu fighting position and proceeds to get to work. I am sure Mitakeumi is surprised at this point, and they stand leaning on each other for a moment as if to say, “ok, this is odd – what do we do now?”. Takakeisho takes the initiative and lifts Mitakeumi from the clay, the crowd loses its mind, but Takakeisho can’t find any advantage. The two continue to dance atop the shikiri-sen, and Mitakeumi seems to decide to lean in and make the shin-Ozeki support his massive body. Again Takakeisho lifts, and advances – to win! But immediately following he drops to a crouch, and it’s clear that the effort caused at least a minor injury. But yes, Takakeisho won via Yorikiri, and did it well, and made it work. I think this is only the 3rd or 4th time in his sumo career he has done that. I am even more impressed with him now.

Late word is that Takakeisho did in fact strain his knee, and that Chiganoura Oyakata is saying that they will decide Thursday morning if the shin-Ozeki will go kyujo.

Takayasu defeats Hokutofuji – Takayasu seems to have recovered his sumo. He gets a thrusting attack going against Hokutofuji’s chest while Hokutofuji is still trying to get his hands on the Ozeki. Hopefully Takayasu’s ring-rust is under control now.

Goeido defeats Kotoshogiku – With 30 wins over Kotoshogiku, Goeido has a formula for shutting down the Kyushu Bulldozer, and he employed it with great effect on day 4. That shallow right hand grip was the key, as it gives Goeido leverage right at the focus point for Kotoshogiku’s “Hug-n-chug” attack.

Kakuryu defeats Endo – Reactive sumo strikes again. The pull down attempt against Endo fails but the Yokozuna follows up against Endo’s disrupted balance and gives him the propulsion needed to exit the dohyo. Not the best sumo from Kakuryu, but his 4th white star to remain undefeated.

Natsu Day 4 Preview

Sumo – 200 Metres That Way…

A number of friends of Tachiai are headed to Tokyo this week to take in sumo at the Kokugikan, and it is likely to be a great weekend of sumo. The weather is fairly nice in Tokyo, the food is always amazing, and the people are the best. Rumor has it some of them will be wearing their tachiai shirts around town, so you never know who might wind up on TV…

While some folks will be in Japan, the coverage on the blog will be non-stop, as we expect this to be a very exciting tournament thanks to the transitional era in sumo, and the absence of the dai-Yokozuna.

We can expect there to be another live stream event for Sunday’s Makuuchi division, brining fans world wide the last 50 minutes of the midway point of the tournament. The team may live-blog that one, and if we do it’s likely to be its normal non-sensical romp through the best of sumo. No promises yet…

What We Are Watching Day 4

Terutsuyoshi vs Chiyoshoma – Can we hope that Chiyoshoma can go through the first act without a henka? Does Terutsuyoshi succeed in converting his outrageous chance to stay in the top division into a kachi-koshi? Why is Bruce asking the Tachiai readers questions?

Wakatakakage vs Kotoeko – Wakatakakage comes up from Juryo to try out his dorm-room in a preview of what we hope is the first Onami brother to break into the top division. He faces bullpup muscle man Kotoeko, who seems to be fast enough to exploit any mistake, and strong enough to make it work. Speed match, sumo fans!

Tokushoryu vs Ishiura – Tokushoryu’s girth and low center of gravity is going to be Ishirua’s biggest obstacle on day 4. He’s got a 4-2 career advantage against Tokushoryu, and I am certain that Tokushoryu enters this match well frustrated by the two somewhat sloppy losses thus far. I am looking for Ishiura to dive and move, and stick a right-hand grip.

Daishoho vs Enho – Global sumo fans are finally getting to see why Team Tachiai has been going on about Enho. Not only is he a handsome fellow, his sumo is first rate. We have yet to see Enho in a stalemate situation, where he gets to show off some really impressive stamina as well. Maybe day 4 will leave Enho and Daishoho chest to chest at the center of the dohyo.

Shimanoumi vs Sadanoumi – Sadanoumi looks to have degraded his injured knee following Enho’s leg pick on day 3. He’s going to come against a struggling Shimanoumi for day 4, who understands very well how tough his road to eight wins is going to be now. This is their first ever match.

Chiyomaru vs Yago – Chiyomaru seems to be on a roll, and I am not talking about that enormous bulge above his mawashi. With a 3-0 start he looks like his regrouping mission in Juryo is paying off. Yago is a large, quite strong fellow, which introduces a few physics problems of note into today’s match. The trick for Yago will be keeping balance with that much mass bearing down on you.

Kagayaki vs Tochiozan – Kagayaki’s school of sumo fundamentals seems to be back in session. The day 3 win might have been at the edge of matta territory, but he won’t get that kind of jump on Tochiozan’s hair-trigger launch. I am expecting Tochiozan to drive inside fast, and to minimize his target zones, robbing Kagayaki of a chance to generate much offense.

Shohozan vs Onosho – I am looking for Shohozan to bait Onosho to get too far forward, which he is almost always willing to do. This would be followed by a throw, as it’s how Shohozan tends to end these matches, and he holds a 4-2 advantage over the tadpole.

Kaisei vs Tomokaze – This pairing holds a lot of interest for me. It’s their first-time meeting, which is always good, and you have a very burly Tomokaze going against Mr. Mass in Kaisei. I am sure Kaisei will want to land the first hand, and if he can keep Tomokaze centered, he can put that size to work.

Nishikigi vs Asanoyama – Yes, Nishikigi has looked like total hell thus far, while Asanoyama has been at the top of his sumo. But this is just the kind of match where Nishikigi rallies and puts his high-efficiency sumo to work. Asanoyama holds a 5-2 career advantage, so I am guessing day 4 is heavily in favor of Asanoyama.

Takarafuji vs Meisei – Another first-time match, Meisei is struggling to find his first win, while Takarafuji continues to quietly go about his sumo and rack up wins. Takarafuji can usually kachi-koshi at this rank, so I think he’s going to continue to win a bit more than 50% of his matches.

Myogiryu vs Yoshikaze – I worry this will be another match where Yoshikaze generates nearly zero offensive power, and leaves his fans (like me) wondering what damage is holding him back. Myogiryu could certainly use the win, and is likely going to face some named-ranked rikishi later in the basho.

Shodai vs Ryuden – This match also interests me greatly, as Ryuden has yet to win a single match from Shodai (0-2), who has excellent foot work and great lateral mobility, so this may be a weakness for Ryuden. But day 4 is a new day, and no telling what might happen.

Abi vs Daieisho – Daieisho has opened strong in the first 3 days, and I think his sumo has stepped up a notch. He holds a 4-2 career advantage over Abi, who took a chance to get into Chiyotairyu’s business early on day 3. I am guessing Daieisho will be ready to respond to a fast launch, and we will see if he can shut down the Abi-zumo attack.

Aoiyama vs Chiyotairyu – Both of these formidable rikishi had little to show for day 3 on the dohyo. I am expecting them to bounce back with vigor. Chiyotairyu has the harder trail here, as Aoiyama’s reach overpowers Chiyotairyu’s cannon-ball tachiai most of the time.

Ichinojo vs Okinoumi – Ichinojo seems to have lost the advantage he used to rack 14 wins in Osaka, which is the #1 gripe of his fans: his lack of consistent performance. So far he has been tossed about more than he has dominated, and with Okinoumi looking fairly genki, we may see some good technical sumo used against The Boulder on day 4.

Tamawashi vs Tochinoshin – Oh yes! Tochinoshin needs to land that left hand, and I know Tamawashi will use everything he has to keep mobile, keep striking, and keep Tochinoshin from setting his feet and lifting. Tamawashi showed some superb power and speed on day 3, and a similar attack might overpower the Ozekiwake.

Takakeisho vs Mitakeumi – Behold, Takakeisho’s kryptonite. When two tadpoles fight, the rank means nothing most days. Mitakeumi holds a 7-3 career advantage over the shin-Ozeki, and we are likely to see a high force oshi-brawl today. It will come down to Takakeisho setting up the wave-train before Mitakeumi can put him on his heels.

Hokutofuji vs Takayasu – Hokutofuji has the speed and power to challenge an injured Takayasu. I am certain that Takayasu is in fact injured, as he has not been able to execute much in the way of coherent offense yet. Hokutofuji has worked very hard to get his “handshake tachiai” to a state where he can put a hand on his opponent before they complete their launch, and he uses that early touch to control the match. Takayasu brings power and incredible stamina to the fight – something we have not seen thus far.

Goeido vs Kotoshogiku – This match up has a long history. Fifty, Five Zero, matches between these two. With Goeido holding the high ground 29-21. Speed vs stability today. Goeido faltered a bit against Endo, and let him take control to Goeido’s demise. I am sure he wants to stop the loss run at a single black star.

Endo vs Kakuryu – Fresh from surprising Goeido, Endo has seen how light Kotoshogiku made the Yokozuna look. The plan that worked was not let Kakuryu move, don’t give him space to evade, pin him to the tawara and force him to act rather than react. I am interested to see if Endo will try that strategy, too.

Low Division bouts – Day 3

Kotokamatani wearing an oicho-mage for his Juryo visit today

Here are a few bouts I collected for day 3.

Down in Jonokuchi, Toma, Hakuho’s gigantic uchi-deshi, had his second bout for this basho, vs. Ito, and his first monoii.

Ow, ow, ow. Poor Ito. He looks completely out of it. Well, 206kg falling on top of you is no small matter (see what I did there?). He is lucky the shimpan did not decide on a torinaoshi.

First loss for Toma, then.

Edit: This bout from the TV angle. The Isamiashi is much clearer:

Edit: I found Kitanowaka’s bout vs. Tokisakae – here it is:

Mmm. That man belongs at least in Sandanme at the moment, if not Makushita.

The rest of the videos I found are from Makushita. Let’s start with Tomisakae, who faces Tanabe.

Yeah, the video doesn’t include the tachiai. But Tomisakae, Isegahama’s back-flipping rikishi, seems to be serious this basho.

The famous Naya vs. Koba:

This bout reminds me of a Takakeisho bout. Could it be he is influencing his tsukebito already? Naya does well to maintain his balance as Koba tries to dispatch him near the edge there, and then actually wins by pulling wildly – which will not always work for him.

The match between Hoshoryu and Jokoryu today was all over the Japanese press. “Hoshoryu’s first bout with a former san-yaku wrestler”, the titles shouted. Let’s see how this went, in NattoSumo’s excellent clip:

Hoshoryu said, in an interview after this bout: “I guessed that he will go for a slap, and slap he did. By the time I had reacted he already had his arms well inside. I am glad I was still able to push forward”.

Yes, it wasn’t a bout Hoshoryu should be too proud of. His Tachiai was, indeed, not quite fast enough for a good opponent.

As for that monoii – NattoSumo says he doesn’t understand exactly what happened. Well, the sportscaster is saying “It seems Hoshoryu’s leg was out first… but by then, Jokoryu was already out of balance. The commentator agrees: “He had no body” (that’s like saying his body was dead). But says the word “bimyo” – which means this is not clear-cut. The kyogi (discussion of a monoii) proceeds, and Onomatsu oyakata announces – surprisingly clearly – that they were discussing the leg, but decided with the judge. So it seems that they indeed judged Jokoryu’s body to be dead.

Hoshoryu is 2-0, and fans expect him to be matched next with Takanofuji (the former Takayoshitoshi, you know), who is also 2-0 and looking very aggressive.

Ichiyamamoto vs. Fujiazuma:

Compared to all the above drops and falls, this bout looks positively serene.

We venture into Juryo, where Kotokamatani is visiting to balance the odd number of sekitori in this basho. For this reason, he gets a fine-looking oicho-mage. He goes against our friend Akiseyama:

Akiseyama uses every bit of his experience, but Kotokamatani plants his head and exhibits a lot of patience. He is rewarded by becoming todays blob on the NSK’s “Fan-chosen Fighting Spirit Rikishi” list (Makushita rikishi don’t have a photo in the NSK app, so they are shown as a rikishi-shaped blob if they get elected for that list).

Let’s finish with Aminishiki, who is facing Irodori, the newbie. Aminishiki tends to win first encounters:

And indeed he does, in his usual style. Your opponent gets too enthusiastic about his tsuppari? Move a little sideways and let him enjoy the view from below the dohyo.