Aki Storylines, Day 11

The Yusho Race

We are down to 4 co-leaders with 9-2 records, ranging in rank from Ozeki to maegashira 14. Three additional wrestlers—pre-tournament favorites Asanoyama and Terunofuji and surprising Onosho—are one off the pace at 8-3. The lead group will be reduced to at most 3 on day 12, when the schedulers have matched up Wakatakakage and Tobizaru in what promises to be a high-voltage battle of the lightweights. Tobizaru holds a 3-2 career edge, with all prior bouts taking place in Juryo. And someone will drop two off the pace, as Terunofuji goes up against Onosho.

The Named Ranks

Ozeki Takakeisho is in the lead group, and a second career title would be the start of a Yokozuna challenge for him. Also in the lead group is East Sekiwake Shodai, who has successfully defended his rank, can still hope for an Ozeki promotion and, barring that, is in a strong position to carry the run forward into the November tournament. West Sekiwake Mitakeumi (7-4) has his first three-bout winning streak of the basho; he will remain in san’yaku and needs one win in the final 4 days to maintain his rank and 3 to continue an Ozeki run into November.

Shin-Sekiwake Daieisho (4-7) is one loss away from losing his rank, and two away from dropping out of san’yaku altogether. Both Komusubi, Okinoumi and Endo, are 3-8, and will be back in the rank-and-file on the next banzuke. With at least one san’yaku slot now guaranteed to open, M1e Terunofuji (8-3) should be set for a triumphant return to the named ranks for the first time in three years. M1w Takanosho (7-4) also continues to mount a strong promotion case.

Division Exchanges

Certain to drop to Juryo: Abi and Kyokutaisei. The following win totals are needed for other endangered Makuuchi men to stay in the top division, barring favorable banzuke luck due to a lack of promotion contenders in Juryo and/or even worse performances by other demotion candidates:

4 wins: Shohozan, Ishiura.

3 wins: Shimanoumi, Kotoshogiku.

2 wins: Ichinojo, Hoshoryu*. *3 if everything breaks against him.

1 win: Enho (Kaisei could also use one more if everything breaks against him).

J2w Kotonowaka (9-2) will be back in the top-division after a one-basho absence. Fellow Sadagotake beya J2e Kotoyuki, 7-4, still needs a win to secure his kachi-koshi, which would be almost certain to see him promoted. J11w Chiyonokuni, 10-1, continues to lead the yusho race and mount a dark-horse promotion campaign from near the bottom of the rankings. Given the likely imbalance between strong demotion and promotion cases, a number of Juryo rikishi remain in the running for a lucky ticket to Makuuchi.

As noted previously, the Makushita-Juryo exchange picture is complicated by the mandated absences and uncertain banzuke fates of J7 Azumaryu and J14 Fujiazuma. There are already two certain openings in Juryo, one created by Kizakiumi’s retirement and the other by Oki’s 0-10 sekitori debut. Of the rest, J14 Kitaharima (5-6) needs 3 more wins to survive, and J12 Daishoho (5-6) likely needs 2. Of the 10 rikishi in the Ms1-Ms5 promotion zone, one is absent, and two are already make-koshi. That leaves 7 in the hunt: 4 with 3-3 records, Ms2 Chiyonoumi and Ms4 Naya with 4-2, and the last man in the promotion zone, fan favorite Ura (Ms5w), whose first loss today dropped him to 5-1 and out of the Makushita yusho race. Ura’s chances of promotion will depend on the outcome of his final bout and on how those ahead of him in the rankings fare in theirs.  

Aki Day 11 Highlights

Welcome to the first day of act 3, where we sort everyone in to make/kachi-koshi group, and someone wins the Emperor’s Cup! The leader crew have yet to fade, and it may be the case that the only way to thin the pack is to have them fight each other. But in that leader group, it’s become a ritual of “what body part will Takakeisho grip while wincing in pain today”. For fans that like having the top division inhabited by named ranks and ultra-dominant rikishi, its a bit nerve wracking. But it may be the case that in the post Yokozuna era, the top division may (for a few tournaments) end up as Juryo Plus. We already see that with “any man can win” bashos , and rikishi at the bottom of the banzuke taking the cup.

Highlight Matches

Kaisei defeats Ishiura – Once Ishiura decided to go chest to chest with Kaisei, there was really only one way it was going to turn out. A great deal of respect for Ishiura’s optimism in that move, but physics is not interested in your hopes. Ishiura drops to 2-9.

Shohozan defeats Kotoshogiku – These two are hurt enough, that they are more or less going through the motions at this point. There was not a lot of energy from either Shohozan or Kotoshogiku. They are both injured veterans who are struggling to muddle through their last few basho. Shohozan improves to 3-8.

Ichinojo defeats Kotoeko – Ichinojo demonstrates the power he can bring to a match when he’s on his sumo. There was little that 116kg Kotoeko could do except try to pick a nice place to land.

Meisei defeats Sadanoumi – Sadanoumi takes early control, but can’t keep it as Meisei backs him up to the tawara, and gives him a firm shove to the middle of his chest. At this point both men are just hoping to find a route to 8.

Tobizaru defeats Onosho – Some poor form from Tobizaru at the tachiai, his head is down and he’s on his toes as Onosho makes contact. This opened him wide up to a hitakikomi, but Onosho was looking to do straightforward power sumo today. But while Onosho was working to apply maximum force to Tobizaru’s face, Tobizaru got his right hand inside and under Onosho’s left arm, forcing Onosho to break off and defend. An Tobizaru attempt at a leg trip was and inspired choice, and it set up the combo where Onosho found his left arm pulling him forward and down. Never the master of his own balance, Onosho could not keep his feet. Onosho is knocked from the leader group, and Tobizaru improves to 9-2.

Enho defeats Shimanoumi – A welcome, small, but effective improvement in Enho’s sumo today. He was able to get in low, and keep Shimanoumi’s hands and arms busy. As is the case with some rikishi fighting Enho, they get so focused on hands and arms that they don’t really focus on moving forward or foot placement. In a moment, Shimanoumi remembers he should use his superior mass to win, and rushes ahead. Enho dodges and Shimanoumi rolls off the dohyo and into a shimpan, picking up the 3-8 spare.

Wakatakakage defeats Chiyotairyu – Wakatakakage deflects Chiyotairyu’s tachiai to the side, but maintains contact. Chiyotairyu responds by grabbing Wakatakakage’s face and pulling him forward. But he did not have nearly enough room on the dohyo to execute, and Chiyotairyu is driven out by Wakatakakage’s foward lunge. Wakatakakage maintains his spot in the leader group.

Tokushoryu defeats Hoshoryu – Hoshoryu goes chest to chest with Tokushoryu at the tachiai. Love the optimism and enthusiasm out of Hoshoryu, but again physical reality asserts itself and the mechanics of 107kg vs 170kg make themselves apparent.

Kotoshoho defeats Aoiyama – Aoiyama tries a slap down, loses his balance and staggers forward off the edge of the dohyo. They gave Kotoshoho a hikiotoshi kimarite, but at the moment Aoiyama lost, Kotoshoho was practicing good social distancing.

Hokutofuji defeats Ryuden – A direct hatakikomi at the tachiai saw Hokutofuji step to the side, and in the blink of an eye, Ryuden picks up his 8th loss.

Takanosho defeats Tamawashi – Tamawashi launched a moment early, but he gained no real advantage. Takanosho got his hands inside and underneath Tamawashi pushing volley, and took control of the match. Tamawashi’s feet were not set to defend, and he was forced back, and unable to reset. Takanosho was able to keep the pressure on, and the match ended in the blink of an eye.

Terunofuji defeats Myogiryu – Not sure I am digging Terunofuji’s late pushes this tournament. I get that he is fired up, but lets try to keep it clean, kaiju. It is good to know that Terunofuji did not take the moment of his day 10 loss to lose his composure and enter a losing streak. Instead to overpowers Myogiryu and gets his 8th win for September.

Tochinoshin defeats Endo – Tochinoshin applied a double hand pull on the back of Endo’s head, and Endo had no way to recover. Not really awesome sumo, but I am guessing Tochinoshin is just working on survival at this point. If this is going to be Tochinoshin’s “brand of sumo”, from here on out, I say “no thanks”. Endo make-koshi for September.

Shodai defeats Takayasu – Has Shodai become that strong, or has Takayasu gotten that weak? He was frankly overpowered by Shodai today, and more or less beaten at his own style of sumo. Shodai seems to have perfect the skill of absorbing a large amount of attack energy and keeping himself upright, on balance and in the fight. I think it was world war I German Admiral Scheer who declared that the first job of a warship is to stay afloat. Shodai has adapted this axiom for sumo, and I think it’s paying off.

Daieisho defeats Terutsuyoshi – Daieisho shows that you can defeat someone by repeatedly striking them in the face, and delivers Terutsuyoshi’s 8th loss in a painful manner. There is that one left hand jab / thrust to the chin that Daieisho applies just as Terutsuyoshi falls out of the ring that is particularly brutal.

Mitakeumi defeats Kagayaki – Kagayaki really had nothing in terms of offense, and rapidly found himself unable to defend against Mitakeumi’s forward pressure. Mitakeumi does appear to have gotten his traditional week 2 fade out of the way early, and is back to some solid sumo. Double digits are still possible for him, if he can keep his sumo focused.

Takakeisho defeats Takarafuji – Takakeisho got an open route to Takarafuji’s chest immediately at the tachiai, and never slowed down the attack. Of course Takarafuji attempted to defend, but could not find a way to keep stable under the blows to his chest. Of course there was that “what is going on with his right arm” moment as Takakeisho went to stand up following the win.

Asanoyama defeats Okinoumi – Asanoyama went for right hand inside at the tachiai, and was able to sneak that hand inside Okinoumi’s defenses. A heartbeat later, the Ozeki rolled into the throw and got 150kg worth Okinoumi airborne. Is it just me, or was that reminiscent of Hakuho’s flying lessons?

Kachi-Koshi Bingo

Alrighty then. Day 10 finally gets our first kachi-koshi records for the Aki 2020 basho. At the beginning of the tournament, Laurie and Leslie from Sumo Kaboom! put together the Kachi-Koshi Bingo. Clearly, we didn’t know who would go kyujo. Kiribayama’s the latest in a string of absences. Yutakayama, Kotoshogiku, Kyokutaisei, Ishiura, along with both Yokozuna and Abi.

Ah, such is the game. If you’re like me, and you only play one card, we’re kinda SOL. I don’t exactly fit the mold of the avid Bingo Parlor resident, 8 cards at the ready…yet. So I have not (yet) gone back to the link and put in my “Big Al” alias. YET. I know there are several out there with much worse luck, who could be in the running for make-koshi bingo or the Kyujo Bingo. I’m dying that Shodai’s blocked by Shohozan, who picked up his make-koshi on Sunday, and Tokushoryu who may get it tonight against Hoshoryu.

Regardless, last night five men picked up their kachi-koshi. If you’re lucky enough to have a row with Takakeisho, Shodai, Wakatakakage, Onosho, AND Tobizaru, you’re in luck! If it were me, I’d go out and buy a lottery ticket or two (or 70). My mouth watered when I looked at my card and saw, Shodai, Takarafuji, Wakatakakage…SHOHOZAN?!?! Shoot.

I think my best (only?) chance lies on the Takanosho, Kotoshoho, Hokutofuji, Ichinojo, Tobizaru line — and that’s only got one confirmed kachi-koshi. Takanosho and Kotoshoho are two wins away, Ichinojo’s three, and Hokutofuji’s still five away! Make-koshi — and a solid block — will be confirmed tonight for either Hokutofuji or Ryuden. Even if Ryuden wins, another Okinoumi loss blocks that row. Well, at least I don’t have a make-koshi bingo yet. No free-space joy in this version…instead I got Enho for the 4-way block. Oh well…I may wait until November or, go click on the link and register an entry for each kid and my buddy “Snidely Whiplash.” I’d never be so, underhanded, though. Though I would pull a henka on a fellow Yokozuna on senshuraku…so maybe?