Hatsu Day 7 Highlights

I would like to call today “Slow motion replay day”. There were enough really good moves on the clay today that it’s worth it to take the time and watch the body mechanics of these athletes. As someone who was never graceful as a younger man, I marvel that these guys can combine strength, agility, ballet like grace and giant mountains of body fat like that.

With day 7 in the record books, we will start to track the yusho race with tonight’s day 8 preview. Much to my surprise, Mitakeumi is in the pole position now, and with a few hours to go before nakabi, I have to wonder what the conditons might be for him to earn an Ozeki promotion coming out of Hatsu. A yusho? A zensho? I personally think they will make him wait until after Osaka, to see if he can string together 2 good tournaments, but maybe with just 2 Ozeki today, they will be happy to create a 3rd.

I saw no evidence of Terunofuji favoring his left leg today, so maybe my fears that he might go kyujo soon are unfounded. I hope that is the case, as I can’t wait to see him take on Mitakeumi in week 2.

Highlight Matches

Kotoeko defeats Nishikigi – Both went for a chest to chest position at the tachiai, but Nishikigi missed his mark and had to settle for a hold around Kotoeko’s arms. This robbed him of any real leverage or anything more than a defensive block. Kotoeko was a bit over enthusiastic and went deep, and then found he could not really raise Nishikigi. With Nishikigi’s loose mawashi threatening to suffer and explosive untying, Kotoeko refreshed his grip, and thankfully got Nishikigi out before the cameras panned to the ceiling. Kotoeko improves to 5-2.

Aoiyama defeats Kaisei – In this battle of the mega-fauna, Aoiyama was able to immediately get to the side of Kaisei, and simply drive him out. 4-3 now for Aoiyama, maybe he can hang on after all.

Kotonowaka defeats Oho – Oho leaned in a bit to far in his contest of forward pressure, and was an easy mark for a step to the side and a hand on the shoulder pulling down. I am starting to worry Oho may not be able to hold rank in the top division yet. Kotonowaka ends the day at 5-2.

Wakamotoharu defeats Yutakayama – One Wakamotoharu got that right hand outside, Yutakayama was in trouble. He reacted to try and break the grip, but that seemed to help Wakamotoharu consolidate his left hand inside, and set up a text book yorikiri. Wakamotoharu picks up his 3rd win and both finish the day 3-4.

Tsurugisho defeats Chiyomaru – Tsurugisho won that match through great efficiency of motion, and it’s kind of a wonder to watch it. I am pretty sure he’s suffering some kind of lower body or lower back problem that has left him without much ability to generate forward pressure. So look at what he does instead. He get Chiyomaru chest to chest, swings him around, closing the distance to the bales, and then lifts rather than pushes forward. I love the adaptive sumo, Tsurugisho advances to 3-4.

Ichiyamamoto defeats Chiyotairyu – If you want to win a match with Chiyotairyu, you have to survive his initial volley, and be ready to counter attack at just the right moment. Ichiyamamoto does this by catching Chiyotairyu, placing him at the bales, and giving him a firm shove to the chest to finish the match. Ichiyamamoto improves to 4-3.

Ishiura defeats Akua – There was a matta prior to the match, and I think Akua assumed the second tachiai was going to be a matta as well, as everything was off tempo. But Shikimori Kandayu did not call it, and the fight was on. Ishiura quickly had Akua in a very odd position, and delivered the seldom seen susoharai leg-sweep combo. Akua hit the clay with a meaty thud, and Ishiura took home his 4th win. I love the look on Terutsuyoshi’s face as Akua crashes to the dohyo.

Tochinoshin defeats Myogiryu – I am sure that is nothing like what Myogiryu was looking for in this match. Even in his diminished condition, you don’t hand Tochinoshin a left hand outside grip, or you are going for a ride. Points to Myogiryu for an attempt to rotate / uchari at the bales and bring Tochinoshin down first, but the gumbai went to Tochinoshin, and he picks up a much needed 3rd win to finish the day 3-4.

Shimanoumi defeats Terutsuyoshi – Terutsuyoshi put a lot of focus into trying to get his intended grip, and it looked like Shimanoumi simply reacted to every move, and focused on keeping his feet heavy and moving forward. When Shimanoumi is “on”, as he seemed to be today, he has a pretty solid lower body technique, and it carried this match for him. Shimanoumi was able to get behind Terutsuyoshi, and drive him out from the rear. Shimanoumi advances to 4-3.

Sadanoumi defeats Tobizaru – This whole match was fighting for hand placement, and the moment that Sadanoumi found something that worked for him, look at that acceleration! This is why I think of him as one of the fastest men in sumo. He loaded that uwatenage before you could realize what was up. Points to Tobizaru for the sumo instincts to react to the rotation and try to bring Sadanoumi down first, but the gumbai went to Sadanoumi, and he improves to 4-3.

Hoshoryu defeats Chiyonokuni – I keep thinking Chiyonokuni is going to win a match, and each day he does not. Again we see him hitting with good force, but unable to move forward to press the attack. This make it fairly easy for Hoshoryu find an opening , grab Chiyonokuni’s body and take him down. Chiyonokuni tried to counter the shitatenage, but lost his grip and hit the clay first. Hoshoryu now at 4-3.

Takarafuji defeats Chiyoshoma – Takarafuji went defensive at the tachiai, and that paid off as Chiyoshoma lost his balance on the 3rd step, and Takarafuji slapped him the rest of the way to the clay. Takarafuji now 5-2.

Onosho defeats Abi – Oh, I love that Onosho seems to have studied and practiced how to shut down the Abi-zumo windmill attack. He matches Abi thrust for thrust, but he is striking upward on Abi’s elbows, removing any power that Abi might deliver if he connects. This also works to move him off balance, and set up the tsukiotoshi. That’s how you serve up Kokugikan clay facial! Onosho improves 5-2, handing Abi his first loss, dropping him to 6-1.

Ura defeats Hokutofuji – I thought this match was a mountain of fun. Hokutofuji was cautious, Ura was grabbing and tugging anything Hokutofuji managed to get within Ura’s area of regard. Twice Ura had a good hold and gave a cursory pull, but Hokutofuji’s lower body is just incredibly stable, and he was not going to brake Hokutofuji’s balance that way. So they locked up head to head in the center of the dohyo, where Ura surged forward and drove Hokutofuji from the dohyo. Ura improves to 3-4.

Ichinojo defeats Kiribayama – Ichinojo latched on early, and Kiribayama struggled to deal with 200kg of Boulder from the moment they were chest to chest. Ichinojo blocked every attempt Kiribayama made to engage with his left hand, and effectively shutting down Kiribayama’s offense. That reduced the match to Ichinojo being enormous (which he does very well) and just grinding Kiribayama down. Ichinojo’s first probing move must have come back positive, showing that Kiribayama was already tired, and Ichinojo walked him out for a win. Ichinojo now 4-3.

Daieisho defeats Wakatakakage – Wakatakakage grabbed Daieisho’s left arm in the tachiai, I think in an attempt to shut down Daieisho’s thrusting attack. It worked, but just for a moment. Once Daieisho had his arm free, it was time to apply force center-mass on Wakatakakage. It was a fast walk to the bales, and a 3rd win for Daieisho, improving him to 3-4.

Takanosho defeats Meisei – Meisei came in a bit too strong, and got ahead of his center of gravity. Takanosho is never one to let something like that go, and slapped him to the clay to pick up his 4th win, joining the huge crowd at 4-3.

Mitakeumi defeats Tamawashi – Tamawashi had a great opening gambit, landing a hazu-oshi (armpit attack) and driving Mitakeumi back. But then, well, he decided he was going to pull. He was too high, and that release of forward pressure swung the door open for Mitakeumi to rush forward. He carried Tamawashi out in a hurry, clinching his 7th win, and his sole position at the top of the leader board in the emerging yusho race.

Okinoumi defeats Shodai – One of the challenges of fighting Okinoumi when he is “on”, he has such a deep catalog of sumo, both individual moves and combos, that he can really make his opponent look completely impotent. This happened today, as he did not let Shodai have a moment to set his feet, square his hips or unpack any cartoon sumo. This was more of a waltz than a sumo match, with Okinoumi rushing Shodai around the ring, never letting him get his footing or his balance. Brilliant stuff. Okinoumi now 2-5.

Terunofuji defeats Endo – I am sure Endo was thrilled when his right hand found Terunofuji’s mawashi. But it really only served as an anchor for the Yokozuna to bracket Endo in, and walk him out. Shame Endo could not connect that left hand, as this is his primary opening move. But everyone knows that now, and everyone worth 2¥ blocks it at the tachiai. Terunofuji improves to 6-1 and remains 1 behind Mitakeumi.

Makushita Match Day 3

Let’s check in on the third division. Here, wrestlers fight only 7 bouts, and the bouts in the division are typically spread over 2 days, which means that after six days of the basho, 3 full rounds of Makushita bouts have been completed.

Unlike in Makuuchi and Juryo, the scheduling in Makushita and the other lower divisions follows a Swiss system in which rikishi are matched with those with the same record. The division has 120 slots, so barring withdrawals, there are 60 rikishi with 1-0 records after the first round of bouts. These are paired up, leaving 30 undefeated wrestlers after the second round, 15 after the 3rd, up to 8 after the 4th, and then down to 4, 2, and finally the sole 7-0 yusho winner. There are circumstances (e.g., wrestlers from the same heya) that can lead to playoffs, such as the massive 9-way battle royale a year ago, but they are rare.

Which brings us to today. With the quirks of scheduling, 14 undefeated 3-0 rikishi remain. The frontrunner has to be the highest-ranked: Ms5 Ryuden. Also ranked in the extended promotion zone, where a 7-0 record is a shortcut to Juryo, are Ms8 Fukai, Ms11 Tsushimanada, and Ms15 Tomokaze. Other notable names include Ms24 Fujiseiun, Ms30 Akiseyama, Ms35 Nishikawa, and Ms59 Kinbozan, whose record now stands at 10-0 after his undefeated debut at Sd100 in Kyushu. These 14 wrestlers should be paired up in rank order over the weekend, leaving us with 7 undefeated contenders by Monday.

In the regular Ms1-Ms5 promotion zone, the leading contenders for a jump to sekitori are Ms1 Atamifuji and Ms2 Shimazuumi, both 2-1, who are matched up tomorrow. Ms3 Takakento (3-1) is also looking good for a return to Juryo. I’ll take a closer look at the division exchange picture later in the tournament.

Hatsu 2022: Jonokuchi Match Day 3

By the end of Match Day 3, the list of undefeated wrestlers in Jonokuchi was filtered to four. The first bout I will share with you was by far the best of the four. It was a very competitive bout between Masutani and Wakayahara.

Masutani’s debut tournament was in Kyushu where he came up short with three wins and four losses. Interesting factoid: of the wrestlers who went on to be Ozeki, the vast majority spent only one basho here. However, two wrestlers had makekoshi for their first tournament, required a second tournament, and went on to have illustrious (legendary?) careers: Hakuho, and Kaio.

Masutani put in a great effort here, fighting for everything on the edge to stay in. This is the kind of resilience I’d love to see from certain Makuuchi wrestlers. Unfortunately for Masutani, Wakayahara was just too strong and finally ends the match with a great throw. With the win, Wakayahara is 3-0. In his two year career, Wakayahara has managed one kachi-koshi. I believe that will change soon. Gambare!

The final three bouts were rather one-sided affairs but they should set up some interesting bouts in the coming match days. Chiyotaiko overpowered Koga, forcing him back onto his butt. Next up, Aoifuji swept Kinseiryu to the side at the tachiai. Lastly, Nakashima forced Tanimoto over the edge. If I were scheduling the next Match Day, I’d pair Nakashima with Wakayahara and Aoifuji against Chiyotaiko…but expect some bouts between 3-0 and 2-1 wrestlers, with Nakashima battling undefeated Jonidan contenders.

Hatsu Day 7 Preview

We enter the middle weekend, and it’s time to start thinking about the yusho race. I will start with my pre-basho favorite, Yokozuna Terunofuji. He increasingly seems to be favoring / keeping pressure away from his left leg, and I have to consider the possibility that he may go kyujo should he lose again today. His entire career now as Yokozuna will be governed by how long he can keep those knees in some level or repair that allows him to win 10 matches every 2 months. I admire his fighting spirit and his almost inhuman drive to get him back to this spot. But fans and those who cheer him on have to know that it’s only going to be for a short while.

But then if we look at the score, we see Mitakeumi and Abi in the 6-0 column. Mitakeumi has 2 prior yusho, and Abi has had a jun-yusho in the top division. Long time sumo fans like to argue if his narrow range of technique is a blessing or a curse. I think that for a rank and file rikishi (where he is right now), its a potent and at times overwhelming weapon.

For Mitakeumi, he is once again trying to rack up 33 wins over 3 tournaments to make a bid to become Ozeki. He would need 13 this tournament, which is a pretty tall order. The only time he reached 13 before was his first yusho at Nagoya 2018. Plausible, but a long shot. In fact, a Terunofuji kyujo combined with Takakeisho already sitting out the rest of Hatsu might be his green light to run up the score. If that will count with the NSK is anyone’s guess.

What We Are Watching Day 7

Kotoeko vs Nishikigi – Dear Nishikigi comes to visit the top division. A Juryo 2, with a 3-3 record, its not beyond reason to think that he might be able to fight his way back into Makuuchi. I for one think if he does, he may find himself a short stay. Kotoeko seems to have found his sumo somewhere. Maybe he left it in a basket by the Sumida river, and that explains why he did not have it in Kyushu. So think that he will likely dominate today.

Aoiyama vs Kaisei – I have a soft, rubbery spot in my heart for these battle of the mega-fauna. Any time the combined weight of the combatants approaches 400kg, I always perk up. Aoiyama was among the bunch that suddenly improved on day 6, and I would like to know if he can keep it rolling. Of course, fans around the world want to see Kaisei defeat another opponent with his butt. Talk about a boutique kimarate!

Kotonowaka vs Oho – Oho, he sounds like a snack cake, fights like a Maegashira. He’s got Kotonowaka today, who I must admit sounds like a laundry detergent. I always take the snack cake over the soap, but what do I know. Both are 4-2, both are fighting well, and I think we are going to see a good match here today.

Wakamotoharu vs Yutakayama – Wakamotoharu had a strong start, but now seems to be sputtering badly. It is indeed tough to hit and hold in the top division, and it’s not too late for Wakamotoharu to turn things around. But 4 losses is a pretty stiff black star load to overcome if you want to hit your 8. Yutakayama won their only prior match, and I think he has a better than equal chance to take the head-to-head today.

Chiyomaru vs Tsurugisho – Oh man, another battle of mega-fauna. This time its going to be, I would guess, some Chiyomaru running-around crazy sumo. The one thing that stops that would be Tsurugisho capturing him early in the match. The problem with that is Tsurugisho is struggling to maintain any kind of forward pressure, or even to be able to consistently put up a solid fight. His one advantage is a 10-6 career advantage over Chiyomaru.

Ichiyamamoto vs Chiyotairyu – Chiyotairyu’s day 6 against Ishiura was a refreshing reminder of what kind of sumo Chiyotairyu like to employ. Fast, decisive, overwhelming. It had been absent for the opening 4 days of Hatsu, but may be back for a limited time. He has never faced Ichiyamamoto, so they may surprise each other with random acts of sumo.

Ishiura vs Akua – Akua got his first win on day 6, and just maybe he can start to turn things around. His day 7 opponent, Ishiura, is no better than median with an unremarkable 3-3 record. Both of them like a good throw, so maybe we can get a mutual pinwheel effect from the two of them trying to toss the other one.

Myogiryu vs Tochinoshin – I look at Tochinoshin’s M15w rank, I look at his 2-4 score, and I worry this may be the exit ramp for him unless he can somehow overcome the limitations of his injuries. He lost Ozeki 2 years ago, and has been knocking around the Maegashira ranks since then. Given how much that knee must hurt most days, it’s a remarkable testament to this guy’s drive that he continues to hold rank in Makuuchi.

Terutsuyoshi vs Shimanoumi – Terutsuyoshi can employ some really nice sumo when he sets aside his ashitori fetish. Sure it’s flashy and it’s fun, but everyone is looking for you to use it, and so it has a lower chance of success. Shimanoumi holds a 9-4 career advantage over Terutsuyoshi, so he may not even get more than 3 steps past his big salt throw.

Sadanoumi vs Tobizaru – Lets stick a high energy, even match right in the middle of the day! Two fast moving, fast hitting, highly maneuverable rikishi, who are both in the middle of the pack at 3-3. Also, the have split their only 2 prior matches. That’s what we have today. Everybody hold on tight…

Hoshoryu vs Chiyonokuni – One of these days, Chiyonokuni is going to win his first match of the tournament. Could happen any time (checks calendar). Any… time (checks DVR set to NHK). Almost… any… time.

Takarafuji vs Chiyoshoma – It must be some kind of special love for the middle weekend, as here we have another high interest match. Chiyoshoma is only at 3-3, but when he is able to execute, his sumo can be a joy to watch. He’s going to take on Takarafuji, who is looking better right now than he has in a few tournaments. I give a light edge to Takarafuji, but its likely to be a see-saw battle.

Onosho vs Abi – Both of them are big thrusters, and both of them can deliver a lot of force. I am going to assume that Abi connects first, and I am eager to see if Onosho attempt to counter, or just does his best weebil mode. I could see Onosho rolling a fair distance if Abi can connect in just the right spot.

Ura vs Hokutofuji – These two have been fighting since their earliest days in sumo. I mean 2015 when they are both in Jonikuchi. For the most part, Ura has always had a way to win over Hokutofuji. I think it’s mostly because Ura loves to grab any unsecured body part and give it a solid tug. Hotutofuji is all about flailing body parts, so its a match made in heaven.

Ichinojo vs Kiribayama – To quote Futurama’s own Lrrr, ruler of Omicron Persei 8, “Why doesn’t Ichinojo just eat the smaller rikishi?” Primitive, violent, but correct. Maybe he can start today.

Wakatakakage vs Daieisho – Both of these guys are 2-4, and seem to maybe bit a bit outside the rank that their current health can support. So I would not be surprised to see both of them make-koshi a week from today. But while we are at day 7, lets enjoy the fight. If Daieisho can connect center mass first, it will likely go his way. Wakatakakage will look to get any kind of hand hold on Daieisho to maintain contact and shut down the thrusting attack.

Meisei vs Takanosho – Another of the 3-3 group, and they are both more or less somewhat stuck riding the middle path toward an even score right now. It’s going to take a significant effort for either of them to get 2 wins ahead of the middle. To my eye, Meisei is fighting better right now. Both have only won one of their last three.

Mitakeumi vs Tamawashi – Coming off a great day where Tamawashi put dirt on the lone Yokozuna, it’s time for him to dismantle another of the unbeaten corps. If he can drop Mitakeumi today (a tall order), it would possibly leave Abi as the sole leader for the yusho going into the middle day of the basho. I should point out that Mitakeumi holds a 25-3 career record against Tamawashi.

Okinoumi vs Shodai – You know its not good for Shodai when you have to think through who might be favored in this match. Normally, it would be Shodai all the way. But for whatever reason, he’s not really able to muster either his cartoon sumo, or his fabled “wall of daikon”. Robbed of both his primary techniques, he is left to flubber around the dohyo and hope for the best. Hell, I will say Okinoumi has the upper hand.

Terunofuji vs Endo – Terunofuji needs a bounce back win here. Endo has a number of way to disrupt someone’s offense when he gets into the mode where rather than trying to win himself, he works to prevent his opponent from winning. If we see that today, it might be a long, frustrating haul for Terunofuji.