Osaka Day 3 Preview

Just a quick preview today, as I am headed to the airport to travel back to Texas today. It’s been a nice weekend with family in the Bay Area, but it’s time to get back home. An impressive 11 rikishi come into day 3 still looking for their first win. Maybe the empty arena is proving very distracting to a quarter of the top division rikishi. I know I have still not gotten used to it.

What We Are Watching Day 3

Meisei vs Daiamami – Daiamami will be looking for his first win of Haru, and his 4-2 career record may be an indication that he stands a fighting chance.

Kotonowaka vs Shimanoumi – This first time meeting features newcomer Kotonowaka against 2-0 Shimanoumi. Kotonowaka was completely shut down in his day 2 match against Meisei, and hopefully he can do better today.

Tsurugisho vs Chiyomaru – Chiyomaru has opened haru 2-0, but he has a 2-7 record against Tsurugisho. Granted Tsurugisho looks a bit hurt, and seems to be held together with a vast amount of tape.

Azumaryu vs Nishikigi – Nishikigi really needs to find his first win, but so far he has been unable to use any of his favorite techniques, including the double outside grip. His opponents have been disrupting his sumo straight out of the tachiai, and we hope he can get back to winning form.

Kotoshogiku vs Aoiyama – I tend to think that Kotoshogiku’s 15-9 career advantage may not indicate much, as it seems his performance is governed by how banged up his knees are on any given day. Thus far we have seen him apply power only in very short bursts. So Big Dan will work to stay mobile, and keep Kotoshogiku at distance.

Kaisei vs Ikioi – Kaisei has yet to find his first white star, but given that he tends to dominate Ikioi, day 3 may be his day. Ikioi still fights with gusto, but its obvious that he is part of the “injured veteran” cadre.

Chiyotairyu vs Terutsuyoshi – We have not really seen the full extent of Terutsuyoshi’s high agility sumo yet this march. With Chiyotairyu not built for lateral motion, this is a fine chance for Terutsuyoshi to find his second win.

Ishiura vs Tochiozan – Somebody jump-start Tochiozan please. The guy is probably nursing injuries and suffering some ring-rust, but we hold out hope he can find his sumo soon.

Takanosho vs Sadanoumi – Takanosho will work to keep Sadanoumi off balance and reacting to his thrusting attack, and I am looking for Sadanoumi to go for a slap down / pull down early.

Tochinoshin vs Kiribayama – Tochinoshin has nothing left in that knee, so this first time match is really down to Kiribayama being sharp and decisive at the tachiai.

Takarafuji vs Shohozan – Shohozan has yet to find his first win in Osaka, and he will be battling Takarafuji, who is nursing a bad back. Takarafuji will try to blunt Shohozan’s pugilistic style, waiting for an opening, but the career record (11-6) favors Shohozan.

Tamawashi vs Kagayaki – This match has a lot of potential, as Tamawashi’s attack will focus on keeping Kagayaki centered in front of him. Kagayaki’s sumo will be happy to oblige, so we are going to see these two battle it out face to face. Fundamentals vs power.

Ryuden vs Myogiryu – Another surprise in the winless column is Myogiryu. His smaller frame and higher speed tend to give him an agility advantage over Ryuden (3-1), so maybe day 3 is his shonichi.

Onosho vs Abi – Am I pumped for this? Why yes I am. I am not sure what is hampering Abi-zumo at the start of Haru, but I hope he can overcome it. Meanwhile Onosho has a chance to open hot at 3-0. Their career record is 4-4, and I am going to guess that Onosho is going to try for another win by oshidashi.

Yutakayama vs Enho – Yutakayama has won their prior 2 encounters, and I am looking for for him to bounce back from his day 2 loss. For both Yutakayama and Onosho, this basho is all about cementing their positions in the joi-jin for 2020.

Hokutofuji vs Tokushoryu – Much as I love the whole Tokushoryu story arc, he’s really getting dominated up at the top of the banzuke at the moment. Hokutofuji comes in fresh from his win over Yokozuna Kakuryu on day 2, so I am assuming he has a lot of confidence. This is their first ever match.

Mitakeumi vs Shodai – Oh, a match of great interest indeed. Shodai has picked up where he left off at Hatsu, showing some frighteningly good sumo. I now think of it as Kakuryu with fewer injuries, and it really works for me. Mitakeumi seems to have come into Osaka in very good form, and he is using his massive body well. Career record of 9-10 means its a flat out test match.

Asanoyama vs Daieisho – Asanoyama’s push for double digits gets a big test against Daieisho, against whom he has a 7-3 career deficit. Daieisho has yet to score is first win, and I think may be a bit off of his sumo for any number of reasons, including the spooky atmosphere in the Edion arena.

Takakeisho vs Endo – Takakeisho needs a bounce back win today, but in spite of his 4-2 career advantage over Endo, he may struggle. Yesterday’s loss to Okinoumi really looked sloppy and terrible, and I am sure he is quite displeased with his performance. Endo is a master technician, and I am looking for him to immediately shut down any Takakeisho oshi-attacks, keeping the Ozeki reacting to his sumo.

Okinoumi vs Kakuryu – Kakuryu also needs a bounce back win, after getting in trouble early in his day 2 match with Hokutofuji. Okinoumi can muster some fantastic sumo in his first week of any tournament, so I am expecting Kakuryu to play it conservatively and employ a “defend and extend” strategy.

Hakuho vs Takayasu – I continue to worry about the Yokozuna’s foot, as he has face recurring problems with it since last year. Takayasu is not fighting well yet, and we have to wonder what can be done to bring him back to full potency. The Boss holds a 19-2 career record against the former Ozeki, and that may go higher today.

Osaka Day 2 Highlights

Its still early days in the Haru basho, but there seems to be very little in the way of ring rust right among the top division. Asanoyama, Shodai, and Hakuho are off to good starts, but we continue to worry that Hakuho has damaged a foot, and his now struggling to transmit power to ground. Yes, the atmospherics of the tournament are creepy as can be, but it’s sumo, and we get to watch it. I do like that we can have an audio perspective on things that are normally covered by crowd noise. Once the initial discomfort of the empty hall wears off, you can get a nice perspective on what is happening by the sound of the rikishi’s movements. Normally you only get to hear this during practice sessions. In fact, as one of our fine commenters (redfern) posted – the whole silent basho does seem to lend an air that this is just an extra fancy degeiko session.

Highlight Matches

Meisei defeats Kotonowaka – Meisei had the better position at the tachiai, getting inside and staying lower as Kotonowaka tried for a left hand outside grip on the mawashi. From there it was all Meisei, as Kotonowaka found himself blocked and disrupted at every turn. Both move to 1-1. I did like that shoulder swing down! (katasukashi).

Shimanoumi defeats Daiamami – Shimanoumi got the better of the tachai, and quickly converted Daiamami’s poor body position into a thrust down. Shimanoumi improves to 2-0.

Azumaryu defeats Tsurugisho – Tsurugisho sacrificed body position to get grip, and Azumaryu kept his hips low, and every time Tsurugisho raised up to tighten his grip, Azumaryu inched lower and pulled closer. Interesting techique, and it worked. It also helps that Tsurugisho is fairly poor physical shape right now.

Chiyomaru defeats Nishikigi – Nishikigi drove inside to get chest to chest with the bulbous one. But given Chiyomaru’s enormous round belly, Nishikigi found himself struggling for balance. Chiyomaru stood him up, and pulled him down. Nice 2-0 start for Chiyomaru.

Kotoshogiku defeats Kaisei – Kotoshogiku continues his winning streak over the Brazilian. Both of these veterans are walking orthopedic patients, but it seems that Kotoshogiku can still generate explosive power early in the basho, but only for very short periods of time. It’s kind of a wonder to see him adapt what he can still execute into winning sumo.

Aoiyama defeats Ikioi – Ikioi, try as he could, was unable to close the distance to Aoiyama and get inside his bludgeon range. Big Dan kept the pressure up on Ikioi upper chest, with some of the better form we have seen from him in a while. As Ikioi became frustrated, his weight shifted forward and he was an easy mark for the slap down.

Ishiura defeats Sadanoumi – Really good tachiai from Ishiura set up his inside position to capitalize on Sadanoumi’s ill considered decision to release forward pressure and attempt to pull Ishiura down. With no fans on the zabuton, Ishiura takes a stroll up to the box seats in celebration of his 2-0 start to Haru.

Terutsuyoshi defeats Tochiozan – Terutsuyoshi brings in his “hop an dive” tachiai, but Tochiozan seems to be completely moribund right now, failing to generate much in the way of offense or defense. Hopefully he can shed his ring-rust soon.

Chiyotairyu defeats Tochinoshin – Its heartbreaking to watch former Ozeki Tochinoshin to continue to try and compete. It’s clear from his performance at Hatsu and continuing into Haru that his right knee can’t support much if any force. This has robbed him of his strength-based sumo, which has been so effective in the past.

Takanosho defeats Shohozan – I am calling it as Shohozan losing traction. Takanosho was surprised to see Shohozan on all fours immediately following the tachiai.

Kiribayama defeats Tamawashi – After a matta, Tamawashi’s timing was disrupted, and it seems his tachiai was a half step behind. Kiribayama’s hit and shift worked brilliantly, and Tamawashi stumbled for a loss.

Takarafuji defeats Myogiryu – Takarafuji’s lower back problems have appear to have cut down his mobility, but today’s win over Myogiryu was a model of minimized body motion. Takarafuji picks up his first win.

Onosho defeats Kagayaki – Kagayaki had the better tachiai, but expended his advantage trying to immediately disrupt Onosho’s balance (not a bad gambit). But it failed and Kagayaki found himself too high and too far forward. Onosho kept him off balance and falling forward as he circled away and pulled him forward. Sloppy, but effective sumo from Onosho today.

Enho defeats Ryuden – Ryuden let Enho get his left hand inside, with his head buried in Ryuden’s belly, a favorite attack format for the pixie. I counted 4 trip attempts before Ryuden finally hit the clay. Enho gets his first win.

Mitakeumi defeats Abi – Abi-zumo has yet to really get rolling in Osaka, as Mitakeumi shuts him down early and stampedes him over the bales. Any time Mitakeumi can his feet set properly out of the tachiai, he can generate enormous forward pressure. He improves to 2-0.

Endo defeats Yutakayama – More very strong sumo from Yutakayama today, but Endo really had his lower body working well today, and kept the pressure on. Go watch Endo’s feet, look at how wide his stance gets once he goes on the attack, and how heavy his feet become. That guy can employ some really great sumo when he’s in the groove.

Asanoyama defeats Tokushoryu – It’s after midnight, Tokushoryu, and your glorious carriage has returned to pumpkin form. Sumo fans will always remember that January where you were Cinderella, but its back to the grind now, sir. Asanoyama off to a 2-0 start.

Shodai defeats Takayasu – Clearly, Takayasu is still a complete hodgepodge of malfunctioning sumo technique, which as a fan of his is a complete disappointment. Shodai shows more evidence that maybe his sumo has evolved, and he’s going to be a force. His grapple and sukuinage combo was really solid today. I am starting to like Shodai 3.0.

Okinoumi defeats Takakeisho – Okinoumi won this one at the tachiai where he was able to get chest to chest with Takakeisho. Unable to generate his typical offense, the Ozeki was off balance, one one foot and in danger almost at once. Takakeisho attempted a throw after recovering his stance, but his comically short arms had no leverage to move Okinoumi. My prediction is already regrettable.

Hakuho defeats Daieisho – There’s that foot again. I know some of our readers were not convinced, but maybe today? Compliments to Daieisho who showed outstanding defensive foot placement today, and really made Hakuho struggle.

Hokutofuji defeats Kakuryu – Kakuryu’s reactive sumo failed him today, and he found himself out matched by Hokutofuji. A miss step put Hokutofuji behind him, and there was really no recovery from that. Kakuryu picks up his first loss.

Osaka Day 2 Preview

The Gates To Osaka’s Edion Area Are Shut

As this basho continues, I am sure that myself and the rest of the sumo fans will become accustomed to the unique environment that is the “Silent Basho” of Osaka 2020. I think maybe one of the biggest changes was the Yumitori-Shiki, or the bow twirling ceremony at the end of the day’s matches. Typically when this happens, half of the crowd is rushing to exit and catch a train, and the rest of watching with rapt attention. There are shouts that accompany the ritual, and they are, at least to me, integral to the ceremony. But as the NHK Grand Sumo Live stream showed, it happened in dead silence.

In sumo action, it was an interesting and pleasant surprise to see Shodai focused and dare I say effective. I know I have been hard on the man from Uto-shi, but I stand ready to cheer him on the moment he turns the corner, and unleashes the potential that many (myself included) knew he always had. So this actually happen (and it may be happening this March), I would give huge credit to Yokozuna Kakuryu. Kakuryu has shown himself to be a very capable mentor and instructor, and if he can impart a variation of his reactive sumo onto Shodai, I think everyone would enjoy the results. Here’s to hoping that Shodai in on an upward path.

What We Are Watching Day 2

Meisei vs Kotonowaka – This first time match will give Meisei a chance to bounce back from his fairly weak opening day match against Shimanoumi. But Kotonowaka brings advantages in size, weight and strength, along with a suspicion that he will enjoy the typical first basho in the top division hot-streak.

Daiamami vs Shimanoumi – These two seem to have a match about once a year, so if its March, its time for them to fight. I would not call out either as having a clear advantage, other than to say that Shimanoumi seems to have come into Osaka ready to compete.

Tsurugisho vs Azumaryu – Tsurugisho has a 11-4 career advantage over Azumaryu. Simply put he has a solid formula for winning. To my eye, it comes down to Tsurugisho’s superior speed and normally low, wide stance.

Chiyomaru vs Nishikigi – This match will feature Nishikigi attempting to take Chiyomaru to his chest, and Chiyomaru in tsuppari mode. With an 8-2 career advantage, Nishikigi usually can grab a piece of that giant green mawashi and get into offense mode.

Kotoshogiku vs Kaisei – Kotoshogiku holds an 11-2 career record over Kaisei. I think Kaisei is susceptable to Kotoshogiku’s chest to chest attack strategies, but it will come down to how stable Kotoshogiku’s damaged knees are.

Aoiyama vs Ikioi – Another match of the grizzled veterans, we get Big Dan Aoiyama looking to stay mobile and stay hitting while Ikioi will work better close in where he can grab a piece of rubbery white flesh and move the man-mountain about. Not for the faint of heart.

Sadanoumi vs Ishiura – Ishiura tends to bring his evasive sumo form to his matches with Sadanoumi, and Sadanoumi does tend to fall for it most times. This has left Ishiura with a 7-3 career advantage, and a strong favorite in today’s fight.

Terutsuyoshi vs Tochiozan – Both rikishi lost their day 1 matches, and both want to put something into the win column. We did not get to see any high-efficiency sumo from Tochiozan, and really no pixie magic from Terutsuyoshi. Let’s hope that day 2 brings them back to form.

Chiyotairyu vs Tochinoshin – Although Tochinoshin holds an 8-2 career advantage, those numbers were racked up when the former-Ozeki’s body was in fighting form. I suspect this match will take a much different form, as Tochinoshin’s undercarriage may not even provide enough support to allow him to resist Chiyotairyu’s opening attack.

Shohozan vs Takanosho – Shohozan does tend to get “fired up” in his sumo, and I wonder if whatever face / head wound he picked up day 1 might have him eager to go out and resolve some of his frustrations against Takanosho. Shohozan will try to stay mobile, and keep hitting. Takanosho will try to close in and thrust his way to a win.

Kiribayama vs Tamawashi – Another first-time match, but I think there will be more Tamawashi “power thrust” on day 2. Kiribayama is smaller, lighter and may get a rough run from his Mongolian countryman who will out-class him in almost every factor.

Myogiryu vs Takarafuji – Takarafuji’s normal policy of “Defend and Extend” does not work very well against the improvisational combo-attack style of Myogiryu, who puts a lot of effort into disrupting his opponent’s balance. This shows in his 13-6 career lead over Takarafuji.

Kagayaki vs Onosho – I am keen to see these two square off. They have 5 wins each over their career, and it’s going to be a great clash of relentless fundamentals (Kagayaki) vs explosive speed and brutal forward power (Onosho).

Enho vs Ryuden – Enho took their only prior match, and after getting shut down and put away without his supper on day 1, Enho needs to bounce back. Ryuden (aka Shin-Ikioi) has been very much hit or miss over the past 6 months, but he looked much more calm and focused day 1 than I have seen him in some time. Let’s hope that is a start of a trend.

Abi vs Mitakeumi – A lot of fans want Abi to bounce back and return to the san’yaku. His wild, frantic sumo may have become predictable, and that will force him to adapt. Mitakeumi holds a 5-2 career advantage, and I am interested to see if Mitakeumi is over his various injuries that have hobbled his sumo this winter.

Yutakayama vs Endo – Endo suffered a critical body position / balance mistake day 1 against Yokozuna Hakuho, and I think he will be primed to take down Yutakayama on day 2. The two have a 3-3 career record, but Endo will probably look to get that left hand shallow grip at the tachiai. If he can land it, he should control the match.

Asanoyama vs Tokushoryu – I am really glad that Tokushoryu seems to be such an easy going, good natured person, as I think he is going to be eating a lot of Osaka clay this March. But be aware, Tokushoryu won their only prior match at Aki 2017.

Takayasu vs Shodai – This is the sort of match where we typically see Shodai’s cartoon sumo come out in full force. It will be all about defending against Takayasu’s lethal left. If he can repeat Takakeisho’s shut down of the former Ozeki’s primary weapon, he may start 2-0.

Takakeisho vs Okinoumi – Not taking anything away from Okinoumi, who is a consummate professional, and always does his best, but he is 6-1 against the lone surviving Ozeki. In fact the only time that he has beaten Takakeisho was day 2 of Natsu 2018 when Takakeisho was just a wee tadpole at Maegashira 10.

Hakuho vs Daieisho – My suspicions about his left foot aside, Hakuho seems to be brutally dialed into his sumo. So I am going to look for Daieisho to lose in the first 10 seconds.

Hokutofuji vs Kakuryu – A great match to end the day. Hokutofuji struggled to get his sumo on rhythm on day 1, and that is just the kind of malfunction that Kakuryu really enjoys. If Hokutofuji is not tack-sharp, we may see him on the receiving end of thrust down or throw.