I took a preliminary look at the Haru banzuke right after the Hatsu basho concluded. Now, here’s the full guess. Scroll down for some quick notes about the biggest question marks. The banzuke will be released on Tuesday February 25 (Japan time), a day later than usual, because Sunday the 23rd is the Emperor’s birthday. In the meantime, let me know what you think in the comments.
I went with Kirishima over Oho at S1w due to the former’s higher rank and prior sanyaku experience.
I picked K1e Abi (7-8) over M3e Gonoyama (8-7) for K1w.
I ordered the rikishi most likely to occupy M4w-M5w broken as follows: M4w Ura (7-8), who was in the joi, then M14w Kinbozan (12-3) ahead of M6w Ichiyamamoto (8-7) due to more wins. There’s a chance that M5e Hiradoumi (7-8) will get pushed ahead of one or both of them.
I pushed M4e Shodai (6-9) and M2w Atamifuji (5-10) ahead of M11w Takerufuji (10-5) and M10e Tamawashi (9-6) because they were in the joi.
I put 15e Hakuoho (10-5) ahead of 7e Endo (6-9) at M9 by virtue of more wins.
I put M10w Meisei (6-9) ahead of M8w Takarafuji (5-10) by virtue of more wins.
I put M17e Nishikifuji (9-6) ahead of all the Juryo promotions by virtue of his being in Makuuchi and having a better than minimal winning record.
I put Churanoumi ahead of Sadanoumi by virtue of incumbent preference.
I put Asakoryu ahead of the 3 Makuuchi incumbents who earned demotable records but are staying due to a lack of additional replacement candidates in Juryo.
I put M13w Kotoshoho (5-10) ahead of M7w Mitakeumi (2-3) by virtue of more wins.
I put Shirokuma, who didn’t quite have a promotion case, in the last position (the newly reestablished M18e) but opted to promote him over keeping Tamashoho.
I apologize for the delayed updates – I have taken on a new assignment at my non-sumo related day job that has required much more of my attention – including a few overseas trips (unfortunately, not to Japan). I promise to catch up on the Kyushu 2024 and Hatsu 2025 shin-makushita in the upcoming periods.
As a bit of a reset, here are the Haru 2025 expected shin-makushita profiles.
Daimasakari (大斧)
Stable
Oitekaze
Age
19
Height (cm/feet)
167cm (5‘5“)
Weight (kg/lbs)
147kg (323 lbs)
Home prefecture
Saitama
High school
Saitama Sakae
University
—
Career Record
31-11 (.738) Sandanme Yusho (Hatsu 2025)
Debut
Hatsu 2024
As a graduate of Saitama Sakae, Daimasakari already has a lot of sumo experience. He admired his high-school and Iruma Sumo Club senpai, Daieishō, and joined Oitekaze beya. Media reports that he is an uchi-deshi of Daieishō and will join a new stable if/when the current Sekiwake decides to branch out. Like his senpai, his forte is tsuki-oshi and this has helped him rise quickly through the ranks – reaching Sandanme 15 before getting his first losing record. Of course, he promptly followed that disappointment with the 4th Division title – earning him a quick move into Makushita. In fact, he cited his first losing record as a motivator to do better this last bashō in his championship interview.
He started sumo in 2nd grade at the Iruma Sumo Clib. In his third year of junior high school, he placed 32nd in the National Junior High School Championships (former Japan Sumo Tournament). At Saitame Sakae, in his third year, he won the Kantō Tournament 100-kilogram class. He was a best-16 finisher in the Kokutai Tournament, as well.
Daimasakari is not a tall wrestler and has to show bold and decisive sumo to compensate – thus using his rounder body to improve his pushing/thrusting attack. He aims for the type of sumo of Daieishō and former Takakeishō.
Daikōshō (大皇翔)
Stable
Oitekaze
Age
22
Height (cm/feet)
189cm (6‘2“)
Weight (kg/lbs)
161kg (355 lbs)
Home prefecture
Kagawa
High school
South Takamatsu High
University
Nichidai (日本大学)
Career Record
26-9 (.743)
Debut
Haru 2024
Joining Daimasakari in Makushita next tournament is his stablemate, Daikōshō. Daikōshō is a Nichidai Graduate, which seems to be a feeder to various heya, including Oitekaze. There was hope for an all-Oitekaze playoff in Sandanme but Daikōshō was unable to win his 7th bout. Like Daimasakari, he rose through to the top of Sandanme before getting his first losing record – which may be about right for a university-experienced wrestler who is not “top tier”.
He started sumo young, and won a prefectural sumo tournament in junior high. In his high school sophomore year, he finished in the top 8 at the National High School Selection Tournament. At Nichidai, he was 32nd place in the National Student Championship, 3rd place in his weight class, and won the East Japan League Fighting Spirit Award. He has two brothers in sumo – his older brother, Daikishō (former Makushita wrestler who just won the Jonokuchi Division in Hatsu 2025 on his return to action from injury) is also with Oitekaze-beya, and his younger brother is still with Nichidai sumo club.
His mae-zumo loss was to Noda (see below), which he said made for a “bittersweet” debut, considering his university experience. He says he came up with his own shikona, taking the heya’s “daisho” base (大翔) and coming up with the kō “皇” based on his real first name. The kō means “shining like the sun” and his real first name is Taiyō (大陽), meaning sun! His goal is also t be like Daieishō, for whom his older brother served as a tsukebito. He admires him because they share the same tsuki-oshi technique.
Noda (野田)
Stable
Fujishima
Age
19
Height (cm/feet)
185cm (6‘0“)
Weight (kg/lbs)
124kg (274lbs)
Home prefecture
Wakayama
High school
Minoshima High School
University
—
Career Record
27-8 (.771) Jonokuchi Yusho (Natsu 2024)
Debut
Haru 2024
Noda won the Jonokuchi Division in his Grand Sumo debut, defeating Seihakuhō (current Makushita) after a minute with an Uwatenage. He also defeated Daikōshō (above) in the maezumo match and also knocked him out of a possible Sandanme playoff last tournament. Thus, Noda has already shown he can beat more experienced university prospects.
Noda began taking sumo in 3rd grade at Higashiosaka Sumo Dojo. He became captain of the Minoshima High School (which does produce quality wrestlers) sumo club. While at Minoshima High School, he won a few titles. As a freshman, he was in 3rd at the National High School tournament. As a sophomore, he received numerous titles – 3rd place at the national high school team competition, third place at the Hirosaki National High School tournament, and 3rd place at the National High School Tournament. In his junior year, he was in 2nd place at the junior weight class at the All Japan and team champion at the Kanazawa National High School Tournament. Most importantly, he won the World Junior Championships (team and individual titles) in October 2023 in the open division. This earned him a title of “Under 18 World Number 1” wrestler – a title previously held by Takakeshō and Kotozakura in their amateur days. Thus, Noda attracted a lot of attention at his debut.
Noda aims to be a strong yotsu (belt) wrestler – and always hopes to be moving forward to victory. He said he aims to be like Fujiseiun and his first goal was to reach Makushita division (achieved) and then higher to sekitori. He claims to have dreamed of joining the sumo world since he began practicing and was relieved to have finally joined.
I have seen posts on Twitter that his physique and style remind some viewers of a young Takanohana. That is very high praise, and if true bodes well for the young man’s future.
Shimizuumi is one of three brothers in Grand Sumo. His older brother, Tosashimizu (a former sumo world champion), is with Tokitsukaze stable and has not advanced past upper sandanme in his 9 year career. His younger brother, Gōseimaru, just joined Takekuma stable at the end of 2024 and made his successful (4-3) debut last tournament. He has a 4th brother, who has not gone pro – but is part of the Wakayama Prefecture Corporate Sumo Club. Coming out of a university background (same university and class as Kusano and Kazuma), he easily won the Jonokuchi and Jonidan Divisions back-to-back, even defeating former top division’s Enhō in his Grand Sumo debut match. He has not yet had a losing record, but has received repeat 4-3 records at the top of Sandanme – possibly indicating he is reaching his current limit.
Coming from the sumo family, he started sumo at age 4 at the Tosashimizu Boys Club. After graduating Shimizu Junior High, where he was in the top 16 at the National Junior High School Tournament, he went on to powerhouse high school Saitama Sakae – where he became captain of their sumo team. He placed 3rd in the Kanto Tournament Heavyweight Division his Junior Year. He then went onto Nichidai. His biggest successes were the top 16 at the All Japan University Selection Kanazawa Tournament, 3rd in the East Japan Student over 135kg weight class, and top 8 in the All Japan over 135kg weight class.
He admires Hiradoumi and indicates he regularly receives advice from him. He specializes in tsuki-oshi and also uses uwatedashinage. He enjoys watching videos of amateur and professional sumo – and was amazed to fight Enhō (someone who he regularly watched0 in his debut. Defeating Enhō gave im great confidence.
Yonezawaryū (米沢龍)
Stable
Sakaigawa
Age
19
Height (cm/feet)
190cm (6‘2“)
Weight (kg/lbs)
132kg (290lbs)
Home prefecture
Yamagata
High school
Central Yonezawa High
University
Nichidai (日本大学) (quit early)
Career Record
21-7 (.750)
Debut:
Natsu 2024
Yonezawaryū is out of Central Yonezawa High School and went to Nichidai – however, he was not a member of the University’s prestigious sumo club. He was on the Judo team and had no experience in sumo prior to joining Sakaigawa-beya. In Judo, he received second place in the Tohoku Tournament during his high school years and he trained regularly with Harasawa (a silver medalist from the Rio Olympics). He dropped out of Nichidai after one year to join the sumo world. He looked good in mae-zumo, but ended up with a disappointing 3-4 record in his debut. He has since roared back with back-to-back-to-back 6-1 records, putting him on the cusp of Makushita. At the rank of Sandanme 50 East last basho, there is an outside chance he does not make it to Makushita – but my crystal ball told me to include him in this digest.
Yonezawaryū is considered a handsome and tall rikishi – who attracted a lot of media attention with his win over giant Dewanojo in the Hatsu Basho. The match was defined by a strong kachiage, followed by a brutal nodowa that stopped the heavy man in his tracks – but did not finish him off. It took swift legwork and a powerful pull to bring down the giant to the delight of the crowd. The media is paying more attention to the growing number of fans of the young wrestler – people are saying: “This guy is really handsome”, ”Oh my God, he looks like he would be popular”, and “He has good looks that even men would fall in love with”.
Dairinzan (大凜山)
Stable
Arashio
Age
21
Height (cm/feet)
182cm (5‘11“)
Weight (kg/lbs)
143kg (314lbs)
Home prefecture
Aichi
High school
Ichinomiya Technology and Engineering High
University
—
Career Record
66-53 (.555) Jonidan Yusho (Kyu 2023)
Debut:
Haru 2022
Dairinzan is a graduate of Ichinomiya Technical and Engineering High School in Aichi Prefecture. He had no prior sumo experience before joining Arashio-beya, having participated in the rugby club during his school days. His rise up the banzuke was a bit slow, two tournaments in division 6 and eight in division 5 before winning the Yusho in Jonidan to send him into Sandanme. To decide the championship, he had to go against one of Andy’s prospects, Shiroma – a former university graduate – and Dairinzan knew he was going to be outclassed. He says he planned well for the match, and that the bout went the way he had envisioned it before. Having never set foot in the dōhyō before, he indicated he needs to keep improving his tsuki-oshi and hit harder in the tachiai. His goal, at the time of winning the jonidan championship was to reach Makushita – so, goal achieved!
He has served as tsukebito for Wakamotoharo – a fact which he cites for the Jonidan victory. He credits his rise to the amount of sekitori at the stable that he can train with. With the intimidating last name of Maruyama (same as the 3rd Yokozuna from the early days of sumo), he had to choose a new ring name. The Rin character comes from his first name.
Ikazuchidō (雷道)
Stable
Ikazuchi
Age
19
Height (cm/feet)
183cm (5‘11“)
Weight (kg/lbs)
95kg (209lbs)
Home prefecture
Saitama
High school
Shutoku High (quit early)
University
—
Career Record
65-47 (.580)
Debut:
Natsu 2022
Ikazuchidō has a number of interesting facts to report as he makes his Makushita Debut. He has a slender and muscular physique, a background in Judo, and the nickname “Nelly” – which comes from his real name – Nelly Yamada. If you are thinking Nelly is not a typical Japanese first name, you would be right – as he is half Nigerian/half Japanese. When I have seen him win on the Abema stream, it is often due to his Judo background (kakenage and other throws).
Ikazuchidō joined Irumagawa-beya as the first uchi-deshi of Ikazuchi Oyakata (who took over Irumagawa-stable shortly after). He was personally scouted by Ikazuchi Oyakata for his perseverance and judo skills. I had been cheering for him to make Makushita – but saw his clinching match where he let his emotions get the better of him on the dohyo. Ideally, he can practice his stoicism.
Yamatō (山藤)
Stable
Dewanoumi
Age
21
Height (cm/feet)
182cm (5‘11“)
Weight (kg/lbs)
74kg (162lbs)
Home prefecture
Gifu
High school
Gifu Agricultural and Forestry High
University
—
Career Record
66-49-4 (.574)
Debut:
Haru 2022
Yamatō started wresting at the Gifu Wednesday Sumo Club when he was in 4th Grade and participated in the national children’s sumo tournament for three consecutive years from that point on. When he was at Sakuragaoka Junior High, he participated in both the National Junior High and National Prefectural Junior High tournaments. In the second year of high school, he won the team championship and individual lightweight division championship at the Prefectural High School Championships. He also won the individual lightweight division championship at the Tokai High School Sumo Tournament. He had been selected to participate in the preliminary round (for Japan) at the World Junior Sumo Champioships, but this competition was cancelld due to the pandemic. He was invited to join Dewanoumi stable by his older brother, the Sandanme wrestler Suiō (翠桜).
As a lightweight wrestler (possibly the third lightest in all of Grand Sumo), he entertains the audience with exciting techniques and footwork – these were on display early in his career when he won his first playoff match by ashitori in a 4-man playoff for the Jonokuchi division championship. The audience is often surprised to see someone in the ring with “the body shape of an ordinary person”. Fans have even called him the “handsome, ultra-thin macho rikishi”. He has struggled to gain weight since joining the stable, saying “I cannot eat a lot of rice, so I have to make do with noodles and protein”. His goal is to increase his weight to 100kg and be promoted to Makushita (at least this was achieved). Being promoted to makushita in the 70kgs range is pretty rare these days. It will be very entertaining to see a “stick bug” participating in the Makushita division – why? Because he often trains with stablemate Dewanojō, one of the heaviest professional sumo wrestlers.
Juryo gyoji Kimura Kankuro has been kyujo since Day 10 of the Kyushu tournament. The Kyokai revealed that there had been incidents between Kankuro and one of his junior gyoji earlier in the tournament. He will be suspended for the Osaka tournament and docked pay.
Kankuro had pinched the junior gyoji a number of times, enough to cause a bruise. It was reported to the higher-ups and the Kyokai investigated. Kankuro admitted what he did but no further details, such as the cause of the dispute, have been revealed.
Now, if only I could remember how this scandal counter thing worked.
The Banzuke Committee met today, along with an ad hoc meeting of the Association’s Board of Directors to approve Hoshoryu as the 74th Yokozuna. After his Championship run, the Shimpan Department recommended his promotion which was seconded by the Yokozuna Deliberation Council.
This all happened today because the Banzuke Committee are drawing up the ranking sheet for Haru Basho, which will begin March 9 in Osaka. Hoshoryu will be listed at the top.
Along with the announcement of Hoshoryu’s promotion, we also received official word of promotions to Juryo. These promotions are in line with Leonid’s predictions from the other day.
Wakanosho (Tokiwayama), Kusano (Isegahama), and Otsuji (Takadagawa) earn sekitori status for the first time. I’m a little surprised that there aren’t any new shikona for the latter two, who continue to use their real surnames.
Joining them are Kazekeno (Oshiogawa) and Hitoshi, who return to the division. Hitoshi likely replaces an Oitekaze stablemate, as Daiamami and Daishoho dip back into the part-timers.