Hatsu Day 13 Highlights

Takakeisho Preps For His Ozeki Final Exam

There was a time, in the earlier days of sumo, when we were blessed with a dai-Yokozuna, named Chiyonofuji. He had been dominant for a long time, and people wondered how he could ever be bested. But as time marched on (and time is the great equalizer), the demands of sumo, and the damage it accumulates in the body, wore him down to the point where he become quite a bit more beatable. He still dominated, and still took most yusho, but being able to beat Chiyonofuji became the litmus test for passage to the top ranks.

Its tough to know what is ailing Hakuho right now, there are a number of options ranging from the surgery he had just a few weeks ago, to the influenza virus that seems to be touring Japan. But it’s clear that in the past few days that the Yokozuna is not at his best. Does this mean he is done for? I should think not. He already has a Yokozuna’s kachi-koshi, and he is disappointing nobody but himself right now. But his string of 3 straight losses has turned this Hatsu basho into the much desired brawl that sumo fans will enjoy.

Highlight Matches

Sadanoumi defeats Yutakayama – Yutakayama provided most of the offensive power for this match, but Sadanoumi had the experience to stalemate his opponent until he was off balance, and applied a tidy uwatenage for the win. Yutakayama is dangerously close to make-koshi now, and this far down the banzuke it might cause him quite a bit of trouble.

Abi defeats Kotoeko – Abi adds some garnish to his kachi-koshi, while at the same time I am sure Kotoeko is wondering about which division he will compete in come March.

Daishomaru defeats Takarafuji – I admit that I am puzzled in that it seems that Daishomaru is starting to get some of his sumo back. It’s far too late to save him from Juryo, but I am interested to see him get inside of a surprisingly docile Takarafuji.

Ikioi defeats Kaisei – A somewhat heroic tale for Ikioi, who is pushing through quite a few injuries and problems to prevail no matter what and get his 8th win. The “thud” from the tachiai was probably felt out on the street.

Daieisho defeats Chiyoshoma – Another member of the walking wounded, Chiyoshoma, gets his make-koshi. There are a good number of rikishi in the bottom quartile of the Makuuchi banzuke who are make-koshi, and its going to make the promotion / demotion race a bit interesting this time.

Daiamami defeats Ryuden – The accidental head-butt at the tachiai seems to have briefly stunned or disoriented Ryuden, and he goes down for his 8th loss. His over-promotion at Kyushu seems to have impacted him, and we hope that the extended break (with no jungyo) following Hatsu will allow him and others to get their bodies and their sumo back in order.

Yago defeats Onosho – Yago finally finds his 8th win after 4 consecutive losses. Onosho seems to be struggling quite a bit after a fierce start to Hatsu. Again, given his recovery, he will be doing well if he can get his 8th win, which is likely in the final 2 days. There were a number of rikishi who seem to find traction problems with the dohyo today, and Onosho was a good example.

Kagayaki defeats Yoshikaze – A weird set of matches. The first one saw Yoshikaze more or less demanding that a matta be called, leading to embarrassing confusion among pretty much everyone. But the judges called for a do-over, and Yoshikaze lost a second time. Given how poorly he is doing, todays match just compounds the pain for his fans.

Aoiyama defeats Endo – Strong opening attack by Aoiyama, but as with Onosho, Endo looks like he loses traction and goes down.

Asanoyama defeats Okinoumi – This was all Asanoyama, and Okinoumi seemed to been completely out-matched. Asanoyama’s recovery from a horrible start to the basho is both dramatic and welcome.

Nishikigi defeats Shohozan – Shohozan’s matta / early launch did not seem to rattle Nishikigi, who delta Shohozan his make-koshi with good forward motion, and efficient application of force.

Shodai defeats Tochiozan – Tochiozan also picks up his 8th loss. Shodai was able to get the inside position against Tochiozan, and wasted no time in standing him up and pushing him back. Shodai’s tachiai actually looked pretty good today.

Mitakeumi defeats Ichinojo – The injured Mitakeumi keeps the pressure on against the much larger Ichinojo, and once again Ichinojo goes soft at the tawara. This marks his 8th win, and given that he took several days off, and is fighting more or less on one leg, this performance is somewhat miraculous. With Myogiryu already make-koshi, Mitakeumi will at least be moving over to the East Komusubi lost for March.

Kotoshogiku defeats Myogiryu – This see-saw match had Kotoshogiku throw everything he could at the Komusubi, and eventually wore Myogiryu down. Multiple times, Kotoshogiku applied his hug-n-chug attack, but Myogiryu was able to escape. The end came with both men spent, but Kotoshogiku having just enough left to advance and heave Myogiryu out at the edge.

Tamawashi defeats Hokutofuji – Tamawashi keeps the pressure on with todays win. Another case where a rikishi (Hokutofuji) seems to have lost traction and hit the clay. To be clear, Tamawashi had the pressure on high, but Hokutofuji lost as much as Tamawashi won.

Goeido defeats Takayasu – Very impressive Goeido. He came from a miserable start, nursing arm damage, and has battled back to the brink of his 8th win, and he beat Takayasu to do it. Goeido used his trademark speed to get the inside position and prevented Takayasu from generating much offense.

Takakeisho defeats Hakuho – How many fans remember the first match between these two? That odd affair in Nagoya in 2017 that devolved into something akin to butsugari, where Takakeisho was attempting to use his nascent “Wave Action” attack, and Hakuho more or less said “Isn’t that cutie”. Day after day, hour after hour, Takakeisho’s attack modes have been refined, honed and improved. Each time he has tested against Hakuho, it was clear he was getting stronger, better. Today, on his 4th attempt, he prevailed. Takakeisho is now just one win away from a bid to be promoted to Ozeki, and to some extent this was his final exam. Hakuho’s loss gives Tamawashi the sole lead for the Hatsu yusho, with Hakuho and Takakeisho one win behind. Fantastic way to hit the final weekend of a basho.

Hatsu Day 13 – Lower Division Ones To Watch

Many of our “Ones to Watch” are competing in their final match for the Hatsu basho. Many of them have kachi/make-koshi on the line. In the lower divisions, rikishi face opponents with the same win/loss record as themselves. For each match between 3-3 rikishi, one will exit with a kachi-koshi, and one with a make-koshi.

Wakaichiro vs Tainaka – His day 12 match did not end well, with Tenichi propelling him forcefully from the dohyo and into the East side zabuton. He has lost his last 2, but thankfully already had his kachi-koshi tied up. His final match is a tough one, a rematch with Tainaka. The two are evenly matched, and we can hope that Wakaichiro can close out Hatsu with a win.

Kenho vs Kotoharamoto – Kenho has only a single win, and will be returning to Jonidan for March. His final match, and chance to pick up a second win, is against a much smaller, 17 year old rikishi from Sadogatake heya – Kotoharamoto.

Torakio vs Hokutohomare – A Darwin match, the winner is kachi-koshi, and the loser is make-koshi. Torakio has fought well during Hatsu, and he is facing a rikishi who is fighting ast his highest rank.

Naya vs Kirinoryu – Another 3-3 make/kachi-koshi match, Naya has one remaining chance to secure his Makushita rank by defeating Sandanme rikishi Kirinoryu. Kirinoryu is another young rising star, who is himself seeking to return to Makushita.

Ichiyamamoto vs Kotokamatani – Next we jump to the upper ranks of Makushita, and we find two kachi-kishi rikishi (4-2) battling it out to see which one will end up higher on the “Wall” for March.

Wakamotoharu vs Tochinobori – The big match of the night is a battle for the Makushita yusho, and we find Wakamotoharu facing off against Makushita 53 Tochinobori. It may seem odd that the pairing has such a huge rank gap, but with the goal being to get to a single 7-0 yusho winner, these things happen. Wakamotoharu has already punched is Juryo ticket, but this one is for glory.

Akua vs Kotodaigo – Both rikisji are make-koshi, so this is to sort out who gets the bigger demotion. Sadly Akua has missed his best change for a while to return to Juryo, but we can hope he can regroup in Osaka.

Hatsu Day 13 Preview

Flags at Kokugikan - Hatsu Basho 2019

Well, we have a title race. Having let his Day 12 match get away from him, Hakuho has invited Tamawashi and a host of other characters back into a battle, when it was presumed he would have a smooth, easy ride up to Level 42. Ahem.

So, will the rikishi who loves to bake be able to throw a spatula in the works now that we’ve completed a dozen matches? Let’s look over the ingredients for Day 13:

What We Are Watching Day 13

Tomokaze vs Shimanoumi (Juryo) – Last tournament’s yusho winner Tomokaze is 7-5 and still very much has makuuchi promotion within his sights, and nailing down his kachikoshi here would be a huge step. That being said, Shimanoumi can seal at least a yusho playoff depending on other results with a win here, and will be going buns glazing guns blazing for victory. Tomokaze has won their only previous matchup.

Kotoeko vs Abi – Kotoeko has been trying to establish himself in the top division and has been making a better fist of it this time. He needs two from three but has the big doughnut in his three previous matches against Abi, who already has his kachi-koshi. I give the slight edge to Abi, who’s displayed slightly more consistent, okay sumo this basho.

Takarafuji vs Daishomaru – Takarafuji (aka Little Uncle Sumo) has displayed his usual if declining blend of stable unspectacular sumo this basho. At 7-5 he has a glorious opportunity against the Osaka man with the 1-11 scoreline to get the job done. While Daishomaru is off the mark now, I would be stunned if the Isegahama veteran can’t put the icing on the cake here.

Kaisei vs Ikioi – The Big Brazilian Kaisei has been mowing down the bottom of the banzuke in a manner which throws his earlier loss to Sadanoumi into stark relief. Ikioi needs have his knives sharpened and ready to deploy heavy metal sumo here and keep the heavier man off his mawashi, as he’s probably not going to win a yotsu match against Kaisei in everyone’s current form. The Osaka native is 7-5 and a win away from getting his kachikoshi (and if he has sense, taking two days off). But all of the sudden Kaisei is in a title race, and I think that will just about give him the edge in this match.

Yago vs Onosho – These guys are both 7-5 and have been flagging in week 2, like a loaf that hasn’t had enough time in the proving drawer. Yago has looked listless in the second week, and streaky Onosho will see this first time matchup as a chance to deal the big man a lesson in top division sumo. Only one man can seal his kachikoshi, while the loser will be looking nervously over their shoulder…

Chiyotairyu vs Meisei – Meisei has done well to consolidate his top division status so far, but this is a big trip up the banzuke which sees the M12 taking on M6 Chiyotairyu. Chiyotairyu has done alright just outside the joi, and I would expect him to torch the relative newcomer in this first time matchup. Both men are 6-6.

Kagayaki vs Yoshikaze – This might be unwatchable. Onosho couldn’t get any forward momentum against Kagayaki which makes me wonder what Yoshikaze is going to be able to do, given that he’s only really turned on the ol’ berzerker switch maybe once so far in the basho (his win against Shohozan). Like a couple of hotcakes that haven’t had enough time on the griddle, both of these guys have been awful in my humble opinion and already have make-koshi in the bag – though Kagayaki probably needs another win from somewhere to be absolutely safe from demotion. The lifetime series is split two apiece.

Aoiyama vs Endo – Somehow, Endo is in a yusho race again. Sumo will surprise you. He’s just been quietly good all throughout the tournament and now finds himself with 9 wins and a real chance for more. However, he gets a really tough customer here that he’s only beaten 3 times from 9 previous matchups. Endo has a lot of tricks, but unless he’s able to get a mawashi grip I fear that he may get pummelled.

Asanoyama vs Okinoumi – Having been passed by a number of exciting and more popular upstarts, Asanoyama is in danger of being one of those forgotten guys who’s just kind of always there. A little bit like Okinoumi, these days. They’re both good all-rounders, but without any defining quality that marks them out as best in class, a bit like the last slices of pie in the display case at a humble diner. This should be a good mawashi battle, though, between two 6-6 rikishi. They’ve faced off four times previously and surprisingly Asanoyama has won them all.

Nishikigi vs Shohozan – Here’s a match with contrasting styles between two 5-7 rikishi. Nishikigi got the party back on track with a win yesterday after his 7 bout losing streak, but he needs to win out or else I’m going to have to burn all the Komusubi Nishikigi t-shirts I’ve been waiting to sell. Both of these guys have had a tough run of fixtures and I think it’s going to come down to who’s able to establish their style in this contest as they both look to avoid make-koshi. If it’s a slapfest, Shohozan will break him like a gingersnap.

Tochiozan vs Shodai – Potentially another skippable moment between two rikishi with losing records. Shodai already has make-koshi while Tochiozan will be looking to avoid his here. Tochiozan has been better than his record would suggest and is 2-1 against non-sanyaku rikishi in this tournament (as opposed to Shodai, who has lost one more match overall despite having twice as many rank and file opponents to this point), so if he can win the tachiai, he can probably win this match.

Ichinojo vs Mitakeumi – Ichinojo started with a bang but then has reverted to his habits of giving up at the tawara recently. Bad Ichinojo, bad, bad, bad! You can’t have any ice cream until you get a kachi-koshi, that’s how it is. Mitakeumi, meanwhile, has shocked and henka’d his way back into contention for a kachi-koshi, to the delight of everyone except henka victim Tochiozan. Given that the two practice together, I’m sure he’ll be hearing about that. Pulling a henka here will probably not accomplish anything, so it’s going to come down to whether Mitakeumi has the strength in his leg to use his terrifying forward movement to push the big man back. He’s another guy who needs to get his 8 and get back out. He leads the lifetime series 5-3.

Myogiryu vs Kotoshogiku – Kotoshogiku has just had an awful run of fixtures. His 4-2 start proved he could still do the business against the rank and file types, but he doesn’t have anything left in the piping bag against sanyaku level opponents. When he looks bad, he’s unable to plant his feet in order to execute his famous gaburi-yori and I think Myogiryu – despite possibly being slightly more known as an oshi-zumo rikishi – would actually do well here to embrace a mawashi battle. He has beaten the Bulldozer many times by yorikiri, and if he can unsettle Kotoshogiku’s footwork and possibly even set up a throw, I think he’s got a better chance. But I don’t think he will embrace it and I think Kotoshogiku may break his losing streak here and demote Myogiryu from Komusubi.

Hokutofuji vs Tamawashi – Hokutofuji has suddenly been thrust into a match no one will want him to win. Which is sad, because he’s really rediscovered his sumo well in this tournament, and has a chance to wrap up his kachi-koshi early. Tamawashi has a slender 3-2 edge in this rivalry, but all of the momentum having come through all of the toughest matches he will face already, and certainly should have an easier run-in than Hakuho. But matches are played in the dohyo, not on paper. The Kataonami Baker has pre-heated the oven with his stunning upset of Hakuho on Day 12, and with these guys both being pusher-thruster types it should be a very intense battle.

Takayasu vs Goeido – It’s a Day 13 Ozeki battle where the only thing of consequence is Who’s Not Going to Be Kadoban? It’s possible that neither of them will make it out of this tournament with eight wins, although Takayasu can get the deal done here. Goeido still has to face a Hakuho who now desperately needs wins to fend off bloodthirsty challengers, so he’s less able to afford a slip in this match and is about as hot as kakigori. The lifetime series heavily favors Takayasu (18-9 when ignoring fusen-sho), and the Top Dog of Tagonoura is showing (marginally) the better sumo in this tournament as well, having come through the flu.

Takakeisho vs Hakuho – The two winners of the last two tournaments go head to head in the musubi-no-ichiban, and with rather more subplots than we’d originally anticipated: Takakeisho needs to win 2 of his last 3 matches to be considered for an Ozeki promotion. He’s also now just one win behind in the yusho arasoi, himself. Hakuho, meanwhile, has dropped 2 in a row and has not only left the door ajar but kicked it wide open for his challengers with two losses that could as much be attributed to his opponents to mistakes that he made. Takakeisho has never beaten Hakuho, and no one is ever favored against the Dai-Yokozuna, but the young starlet is fearless and – especially if the other yusho challengers keep up the pressure – this will be the highlight bout of the day.

Hatsu Storylines, Day 12

The Yusho Race

Yokozuna Hakuho and Sekiwake Tamawashi share the lead with 10-2 records. Sekiwake Takakeisho, M8 Kaisei, and M9 Endo are one off the pace at 9-3. Tomorrow, Hakuho faces Takakeisho, Tamawashi takes on M2 Hokutofuji (7-5), while Endo and Kaisei are matched up with M5 Aoiyama (6-6) and M11 Ikioi (7-5), respectively.

After tomorrow, Hakuho still has both Ozeki on his fight card. The schedulers have quite a few options for Tamawashi’s opponents on Days 14 and 15. The only upper-ranker he hasn’t fought is Komusubi Myogiryu, who is struggling at 5-7. His most likely maegashira opponent(s) would be drawn from M4 Okinoumi (6-6), Aoiyama, Kaisei, and Endo.

Kadoban Watch

Both remaining Ozeki have really helped their causes with three-bout winning streaks. Takayasu (7-5) needs to pick up one victory in three days, while Goeido (6-6) needs two. Their clash tomorrow is pivotal—Takayasu can clinch his kachi-koshi, while Goeido does not want to go into the final two days having to defeat both Hakuho and Takakeisho. Takayasu’s weekend opponents should be Mitakeumi and Hakuho.

Takakeisho’s Ozeki Run

The Sekiwake can only afford one loss in the final three days to be considered for promotion after the current basho, although two losses would still leave him in good shape to try again in Osaka. After he faces Hakuho tomorrow and whichever upper maegashira the schedulers opt to throw at him on Day 14, his Ozeki promotion may be on the line in his final-day bout with Goeido, who may be desperate for a victory himself.

There’s a question as to whether Tamawashi might be on an Ozeki run himself. His 9-6 record as maegashira 2 in Kyushu is not a great foundation for one, but if he can finish with 12 or 13 wins here, and follow it up with an equally strong performance in Osaka, it’s not out of the question. More likely, he would need two strong basho after this one to earn promotion. At 34, he would set the record for oldest rikishi to be promoted to Ozeki in the modern era by three years!

The Sanyaku

Both Tamawashi and Takakeisho have more than successfully defended their Sekiwake ranks, so the only way for a Sekiwake slot to open is if Takakeisho gets promoted. Myogiryu needs to win out to stay Komusubi, and is likely to face Kotoshogiku (tomorrow), Tamawashi, and Okinoumi. Mitakeumi needs one more victory, and will have to overcome Ichinojo, Takayasu, or (likely) Nishikigi on one leg. So with three days to go, the number of open sanyaku slots could still range from zero (Takakeisho stays Sekiwake, both Komusubi earn their kachi-koshi) to three (Takakeisho is promoted, both Komusubi are demoted).

The upper maegashira haven’t exactly been beating down the door to possible sanyaku promotion. The top three candidates at the moment are Hokutofuji, Ichinojo, and Kaisei, and the first two have yet to even clinch their kachi-koshi.

Makuuchi Turnover

The clear demotions are Daishomaru and Daiamami. Terutsuyoshi and Ishiura have done enough to lock up a top-division debut and return, respectively. Unless Kotoyuki were to come back and manage a victory, he is in serious danger of demotion, depending on how many strong promotion candidates there are in Juryo. Chiyoshoma, Kagayaki, and Kotoeko are also still at risk. With two extra open slots in Makuuchi due to retirements, Chiyomaru can probably cement a return with another victory, and Daishoho, Toyonoshima, Shimanoumi, Tomokaze, and Tokushoryu are still in the running for the other slot, as well as any additional ones that may be opened up by poor performances from the demotion candidates above.