Kyushu Day 1 Highlights

A fair amount of ring rust on display here today, as there were a flurry of mattas called. Folks could not quite get the match timing right, and we saw multiple fights struggle to start. The sumo was good for opening day, and I think most of the rikishi fought well. I was specifically happy to see Mitakeumi come out strong, focused and finally back in fighting form. He has a tough November ahead of him, I wish him the best.

It was a treat to see a strong, focused Takayasu bring some of his best sumo out today. I know that by week two he will be struggling to compete through his injuries, but it’s nice to see that guy deliver a strong performance. Coupled with Wakatakakage’s tendency to “cold start”, it made for some dominant sumo today. Fans like to talk about Wakatakakage as being ready for higher rank, and his sumo certainly seems about ready to support that. But if that man can resolve his cold start issues, I think he could make it to Yokozuna.

Highlight Matches

Tohakuryu defeats Terutsuyoshi – Sorry fans, that was a terrible match. Terutsuyoshi still looks completely off of his sumo, and I am going to guess whatever injury has been behind his three straight make-koshi is still in effect. A matta, and then an immediate hatakikomi on the second attempt. Worse yet, Terutsuyoshi looks tentative, lethargic and unprepared. Tohakuryu returns to Juryo 1-0.

Hiradoumi defeats Atamifuji – Another sloppy tachiai, that I think should have been a matta, when Hiradoumi caught Atamifuji napping or thinking about something else. From there, Atamifuji tried to get hand placement, but found himself being dominated by Hiradoumi, who took 4 steps and tossed him over the east side. Hiradoumi starts 1-0.

Kagayaki defeats Azumaryu – Kagayaki stayed focus, and applied pressure inside well. But his balance was off a bit, and he was too far forward. Fortunately for him, Azumaryu was not really ready to defend, and he was quickly walked out. Kagayaki at 1-0.

Ichiyamamoto defeats Oho – Oho could not find a way to keep his footing against Ichiyamamoto’s double arm attack. Rather than attempting to disrupt Ichiyamamoto’s offense, Oho decided to try some offense of his own, which went nowhere. Oho was backed up and shoved out of the ring to give Ichiyamamoto an opening day win, advancing to 1-0.

Kotoeko defeats Okinoumi – Okinoumi repeatedly tried to get some kind of grip on Kotoeko, but each time his hands found no purchase. Kotoeko deftly kept Okinoumi from setting his feet, and danced him about until Kotoeko’s hands and body were set up for a throw. The resulting kotenage rolled Okinoumi to the clay, and Kotoeko improves to 1-0.

Kotoshoho defeats Chiyotairyu – Surprising change of pace from Chiyotairyu, who did not launch off the shikiri-sen straight into an overwhelming pushing attack. He gave Kotoshoho the early advantage, but got a clear path inside and went to work. His attacks were moving Kotoshoho back, but as is frequently the case with Chiyotairyu, he was too far forward and ate a tsukiotoshi at the edge of the ring. Kotoshoho picks up an opening day win, and is 1-0.

Onosho defeats Chiyoshoma – Chiyoshoma tried an opening face slap, which landed, but left him standing nearly upright, and his chest wide open. Onosho knew just what to do with that, grappled Chiyoshoma, and ran him over the edge of the ring. Onosho 1-0 to start Kyushu.

Abi defeats Aoiyama – If Abi is healthy, he’s going to do a lot of damage ranked this low. It also helps in today’s match that Aoiyama is a fraction of his former power, and immediately comes under Abi’s double arm thrusing attack. Aoiyama can’t hold his footing, and is quickly moved out and back. Nice move by Abi to keep Aoiyama from falling over the side of the dohyo, he’s 1-0.

Takanosho defeats Tochinoshin – Not the kind of match that Tochinoshin wanted for his first day on the clay this month. He made a mistake at the open by trying to pull, but seized the initiative away from Takanosho by brute power three steps later. But as Tochinoshin was setting up the win, his heel slid out and into the fine sand (janome) around the outside of the bales. A monoii ensued, and reversed the gyoji’s decision, giving Takanosho at 1-0 start to Kyushu.

Myogiryu defeats Takarafuji – Takarafuji gets completely disrupted, and it almost looked like his upper and lower body were out of sync. Myogiryu stayed focused, and kept his balance, sending Takarafuji out by okuritaoshi. Myogiryu improves to 1-0.

Ryuden defeats Endo – Endo’s poor results continue in November. Ryuden gets him turned to the side, and never lets his recover balance or position. Ryuden’s lower back (a chronic worry for him) seems to be ok right now, so he remained low and stable, sending Endo out by yorikiri. Ryuden at 1-0.

Nishikifuji defeats Nishikigi – Nishikigi is easy to anticipate, he will always work to get some kind of grip as his first, second and third moves. Nishikifuji accounted for this, and implemented a measured oshi-zumo phase to start the match, opening up Nishikigi’s chest. He followed that up with a double inside grip, and suddenly Nishikigi was in trouble. Two steps later, he was out, and Nishikifuji took the win to improve to 1-0.

Sadanoumi defeats Hokutofuji – For the first time in six attempts, Sadanoumi has been able to win over Hokutofuji. Sadanoumi’s speed played a large role in his win, coupled with Hokutofuji looking a bit rusty in his sumo. Sadanoumi starts Kyushu 1-0.

Wakamotoharu defeats Midorifuji – Midorifuji could not prevent Wakamotoharu from getting his preferred grip. What strikes me about watching Wakamotoharu is that he tends to show quite a bit of patience, and he has the defensive moves programmed into his lower body to give him the time to take his time. Once he set up grip, he wore Midorifuji down a piece at a time, finally walking Midorifuji out once he was ready. Wakamotoharu starts 1-0.

Kiribayama defeats Ura – Really nice escape move by Kiribayama to set up the katasukashi. Ura opened strong, and had the early advantage, choosing an armpit attack at first, but failed to cover to his left. Kiribayama took that opening and converted it to a win, he improves to 1-0.

Ichinojo defeats Tamawashi – Ichinojo does not let the media noise distract him today. Tamawashi attacked very well, but once it was clear that Ichinojo was not going to go soft at the first sign of trouble, you knew where this one was going. Ichinojo keeps in mind that he is enormous, and powers his bulk into position and shoves Tamawashi out. Snorlax win takes Ichinojo to 1-0.

Mitakeumi defeats Meisei – No ring rust on Mitakeumi today. He needs 10 wins, and he is not letting a single opportunity go to waste, it seems. He gets inside and underneath Meisei, and relentlessly drives forward. A quick oshidashi win, and the Ozekiwake now needs 9 more, as he is 1-0.

Hoshoryu defeats Kotonowaka – Kotonowaka was too high at the tachiai, and I was surprised that Hoshoryu could not convert that mistake more quickly. He let Kotonowaka back him up, and then charge ahead to win. Clever move by Hoshoryu, as Kotonowaka drove forward, Hoshoryu twisted to his right, and thrust Kotonowaka down. Kotonowaka landed a moment before Hoshoryu did (confirmed by monoii), and Hoshoryu starts November 1-0.

Takayasu defeats Wakatakakage – I mentioned that Takayasu has to fight through his accumulated injuries. This shows up prominently in the fact that his early matches in a basho tend to be better, as he is more genki at the start. The man trains like a maniac, but there’s only so much you can do with that much damage. Today, Wakatakakage got a full power Takayasu fight, featuring the forearm strike to the chin, focused tsuppari to the chest, and relentless drive. I compliment Wakatakakage that he absorbed it well, until a Takayasu caught him shifting his feet, and blasted him across of the east side bales. Takayasu starts 1-0.

Tobizaru defeats Shodai – Good defense at the tachiai from Shodai, but he allowed Tobizaru to get both hands inside by the third step, and was in real trouble. Shodai managed to break contact, but could not contend with Tobizaru’s high agility sumo. At the moment Shodai needed to deploy the “Wall of Daikon”, Tobizaru hit him with a volley to the face, and that put the Ozeki out. Tobizaru improves to 1-0.

Takakeisho defeats Daieisho – Daieisho gave it everything he could muster, but could not overcome Takakeisho’s solid defense. Takakeisho waited for his chance, then counter-attacked with considerable force, sending Daieisho airborne and out. Takakeisho starts 1-0.

Kyushu Day 1 Preview

Welcome readers of Tachiai to the daily coverage for Kyushu 2022. It’s the final tournament of the year, and we are looking forward to some rowdy sumo action from western Japan. With Terunofuji out, we declare this to be a “Nokazuna” tournament, and it’s time for the Ozeki to step up and battle for the cup. I have confidence that Takakeisho will do his part, but worries that Shodai will continue to fade. With 9 men in the named ranks, the competition for the cup may be intense.

Do expect a number of rikishi to show up day one with “ring rust”, not quite ready for honbasho level competition. Act one, the first three days of the tournament, is all about getting everyone up to full power and finding out who is hot, and who is not. On to the sumo!

What We Are Watching Day 1

Terutsuyoshi vs Tohakuryu – With the Yokozuna out, we will be getting regular vistors from Juryo. Today it’s the top man on the Juryo banzuke, Tohakuryu. After entering sumo with a Sandanme 100 tsukidashi posting in May of 2019, he has been on a steady climb. A simple 8 wins this November will see him in the top division to start the new year. He’s up against an ailing Terutsuyoshi, who has had only one kachi-koshi in the last year. Tohakuryu won their only prior match, last tournament.

Hiradoumi vs Atamifuji – Welcome to the top division, Atamifuji. Your first match is against a fellow you have not been able to beat in 3 attempts: Hiradoumi. Hiradoumi tends to grab a solid hold and walk Atamifuji out. Maybe Atamifuji has a extra portion of genki to power his debut match, and can rack up his first ever win against Hiradoumi.

Kagayaki vs Azumaryu – Once, I was a Kagayaki fan. But he has been fading out for some time. Maybe some performance limiting injury took place that we never learned about? But it’s tough to watch him struggle now, and he has not had a strong performance in the top division in two years. Given the way the banzuke played out, a 9-6 from Juryo 9 in September was enough to put him back in Makuuchi. Good luck against Azumaryu, whom he holds an 8-3 career record against.

Ichiyamamoto vs Oho – Making it to the top division is quite an accomplishment, but most sumo fans wondered if Oho was going to end up better than a rikishi relegated to the bottom third of the top division. I am starting to think that this is the best he is going to be able to do, turning in alternating kachi and make-koshi records and treading water. He’s up against Abi clone Ichiyamamoto today, and holds a narrow 4-3 career advantage.

Kotoeko vs Okinoumi – This has potential to be a good match, with Okinoumi able to produce some strong, stable sumo up against Kotoeko’s agility and power. Okinoumi has a 5-3 career advantage, with each man winning one of their two prior bouts this year.

Chiyotairyu vs Kotoshoho – It’s always a guess of just which version of Chiyotairyu is going to show up. In the past 2 years, he’s only had 2 kachi-koshi, and is clearly struggling at this point. He has received some remarkable banzuke luck, ahd has hovered around the double digit Maegashira ranks for most of those past 2 years in spite of his dismal record. Kotoshoho has had 3 consecutive make-koshi following his debut 9-6, and is either too hurt to fight well, or is really not much better than the top end of Juryo. He has a 4-2 career advantage over Chiyotairyu.

Onosho vs Chiyoshoma – If Onosho follows his typical pattern, he has one more make-koshi in him before turning in a blistering 10-5. He’s close to even (5-6) against Chiyoshoma, so it will come down to how much ring rust Onosho brings to the clay today. My guess is that he needs to bring a can of WD-40.

Aoiyama vs Abi – Maybe my favorite match of the first half, we get to see if Abi is recovered from the injury that saw him benched in September. What a way to start, against the fleshy man-mountain that is Aoiyama. Aoiyama has turned in consecutive 6-9 losses, but has managed to stay in the middle third of the Maegashira group. This should be a battle of long arms, and powerful thrusting attacks.

Takanosho vs Tochinoshin – After holding down Sekiwake for 4 consecutive tournaments in 2020-2021, Takanosho has been struggling quite a bit, and went kyujo in July after just a single win, punting him far down the banzuke. I expected him to savage the rikishi at this level, but instead could only muster a tepid 8-7 kachi-koshi. He’s up against the brutally strong Tochinoshin, and has beaten him 5 times in their past 6 meetings.

Takarafuji vs Myogiryu – More amazing banzuke luck on display, as Takarafuji had a dismal 5-10 finish to Aki, yet only dropped from Maegashira 5 to Maegashira 8. Clearly he was nursing some injury, and fans of his “defend and extend” brand of sumo hope he is healthy and strong for this month’s tournament in Kyushu. Myogiryu has looked good in training leading up to the tournament, and has a 15-9 career advantage against Takarafuji.

Endo vs Ryuden – Endo has had a dismal year, with just a single kachi-koshi in Osaka to his name. He has a chance to start Kyushu with a win, given his 5-1 career advantage over Ryuden. Ryuden for his part had a blistering 11-4 jun-yusho in September to cap off his climb back to the top division following his suspension in March of 2021. This has the makings of a solid fight.

Nishikigi vs Nishikifuji – Its a Nishiki battle to start off the second half, and I approve. These two have a 6 match history, which is all focused on their time in Juryo, and favors the larger and heavier Nishikigi 4-2. All most all of their matches end by yorikiri, so it’s battle hugs on tap today.

Hokutofuji vs Sadanoumi – Hokutofuji had a brilliant 10-5 run in September that ended with a worrying 1-4 streak. At one point, he was on the leaderboard, but faded into the final act. It was his first kachi-koshi since March where he finished Osaka 9-6. For a highly capable rikishi who was rightfully considered at one time to be a future san’yaku mainstay, it’s clear he has been struggling. He gets Sadanoumi for day 1, and he has a sterling 5-0 record against Sir Speedy.

Wakamotoharu vs Midorifuji – Which is more noteworthy? Midorifuji at Maegashira 3 after turning in a 7-8 at Maegashira 1 last time? Or the fact that Wakamotoharu has been steadily, and quietly climbing his way up the banzuke for the past year. Both of these guys are looking strong, and healthy right now. Their even 1-1 record could portend a nice battle in the second half.

Ura vs Kiribayama – I really like Ura at this rank. I don’t think he’s ever going to be a multi-tournament Komusubi, but M3 is perfect for him. He’s good enough that he can hold his own here, but with enough inventiveness that he is a nearly perfect spoiler for anyone trying to put together a double digit tournament. Sort of the role that Yoshikaze used to fill. He fights Kiribayama, and they have a 2-2 career record. with Kiribayama taking the last two in a row.

Tamawashi vs Ichinojo – Battle of the iron man vs the Snorlax, and my money is on Tamawashi. Right now Ichinojo has some kind of quasi-scandal in the press, and he’s just the kind of guy who would let something like that distract him. Over their career, Ichinojo holds a 11-9 advantage, so he can beat Tamawashi, but more than possibly any other rikishi in the tournament, he lets himself lose focus and that degrades his sumo.

Meisei vs Mitakeumi – Mitakeumi has a tall hill to climb. He needs 10 wins to regain Ozeki. We know that he is capable of doing it, if his body, his mind and his sumo align. He’s had 3 yusho, hand is capable of 13 wins in a single tournament. I think this all comes down to his body, as he has clearly been nursing some injury that robbed him of his performance. He holds a 8-3 career lead over Meisei.

Kotonowaka vs Hoshoryu – What could be a raucous battle of the up and coming rikishi, I am looking forward to this match. Kotonowaka would love to find his way into the named ranks, but right now the named ranks are bulging with excellent talent. There are 4 Komusubi and 3 Sekiwake, and none of them are an easy mark. He can test his mettle against Hoshoryu today, though Hoshoryu holds a 6-3 career advantage, and has won every match since 2020.

Wakatakakage vs Takayasu – Wakatakakage needs double digits this time out, and with the Yokozuna in recovery mode, he’s got a decent chance. His opponent today, Takayasu, is a fierce fighter, but his body can’t quite support the sumo he wants to do. I chalk it up to accumulated injuries, and he has had some whoppers. Wakatakakage holds a 6-3 advantage on the clay, so I expect Takayasu to open big, off balance, and get a quick escort to the exit.

Tobizaru vs Shodai – Shodai is kadoban, and needs 8 wins to not follow Mitakeumi down the road to Ozeki-wake for Hatsu. His sumo has been a mess this year, and I do wish he would just decide to use his best techniques every time. Sure, that means they get figured out, but go out large sir, with a boom and a crash, not a whimper. He’s got Tobizaru on day 1, who has only beaten Shodai one in 5 attempts.

Takakeisho vs Daieisho – To match of the days are two sumo friends slugging it out. If Takakeisho is in good health, he could win this tournament, but that health has seemed to ellude him for most of this year. He has a 14-6 career advantage on the clay against Daieisho, and given their sumo styles, look for some big forward power at the start, and ramping up from there until someone goes out.

Kyushu 2022 Genki Report

Hello sumo fans, and welcome back to Tachiai. It’s been seven weeks since the Aki basho, and there is a lot of sumo spring wound and ready to run in our future. The Aki basho left many dangling threads, and more than a couple of rikishi in the middle of career altering changes. Before we get into the daily cadence of the basho, it’s time to take a look at some of what is before us.

Terunofuji Kyujo – The Kaiju is out. He withdrew on day 10 of Aki with a 5-5 record. He underwent surgery to try and extend the service life of his knees. When he was promoted to Yokozuna, everyone knew it was not going to be a lengthy reign, as he had persistent problems with his knees, and it limited his mobility. While it is never wise to trust the Japanese sumo press, they report that he is already recovering well. He won’t participate in Kyushu, and I would not be surprised to see him absent at Hatsu as well.

Mitakeumi Demoted – The Original Tadpole finds himself out of the Ozeki rank less than 1 year after finally achieving that goal. After three consecutive make-koshi results (the middle one was a COIVD-kyujo), he’s at Sekiwake with a one time chance to return to Ozeki if he can put together 10 wins this November. At Tachiai we sometimes call this “Ozeki-wake”, so you may see that term used during the basho. After struggling for years to reach Ozeki, it’s sort of heartbreaking to see him lose the rank, and I personally hope he can get it back.

Shodai Kadoban – Hot on the heels of Mitakeumi is the lackluster Ozeki Shodai. I have no idea what makes this human-daikon hybrid tick, I just wish he would decide if he’s Juryo bait or an Ozeki, and stick with it. When he’s in the groove, his sumo is fun to watch, but he’s not really shown good form in almost two years. Yes he had a good tournament in July, but the ranks were decimated by COVID-kyujo, and frankly he did not look that good.

Wakatakakage Revives Ozeki Run – In March, Wakatakakage took at 12-3 yusho, and everyone was eager to see him follow up with a double digit basho, and stake a claim to the Ozeki rank. What followed instead was a 9-6, then and 8-7. But Aki brought renewed fortunes, and with an 11-4 run, he is back in the hunt for sumo’s second highest rank. With the Yokozuna out, his chances at double digits are somewhat improved.

Tamawashi, Aki Yusho Winner – At 37 years old, sumo’s iron man took his second yusho. His sumo was sharp, and he stayed focused in the final week. Given the log jam in san’yaku, the best he could manage with a yusho was Komusobi 1E, and so he starts is next tournament from there. While I don’t expect him to repeat his yusho run this time out, he’s got many rikishi that have big plans that have to find a way to beat him, and that won’t be easy.

Tobizaru Monkey Sumo Time – Tobizaru is at his highest ever rank, after scoring a kinboshi and a blistering 10-5 score at Aki, the banzuke committee decided for the second basho in a row that they needed a Komusubi 2 rank set, and in came Tobizaru. I think that like Tamawashi, his role here is spoiler for the hopes of Mitakeumi, Shodai and Wakatakakage.

Kotonowaka Atop The Rank and File – Sharing the Maegashira 1 slot with Takayasu is Kotonowaka, fighting at his highest ever rank. After loitering around at Maegashira 2 for three consecutive basho, his 8-7 kachi-koshi in September was enough to bump him to the top. He’s had three Kanto-sho, two of them this year, in his march to this rank, and he’s frankly due for a big tournament.

Nishikifuji In the Joi-Jin – The man turned in back to back 10-5 kachi-koshi since his top division debut in July. This is only his third top division tournament, and he’s in the joi. Now that he’s going to be fighting the toughest men in sumo, we will get to see what his top end really looks like. Frankly, I think this may be the biggest story of the tournament, if he starts well.

Abi Gets Booted Down The Banzuke – After being kyujo for all of Aki, Abi was ejected from his Komusubi 1E rank, and landed with a wet thud at Maegashira 9. If he has returned healthy, he’s going to wreck these guys. I will point out the last time he was down here, he picked up a top division jun-yusho, and I would not be surprised if he was in contention in week 2.

Atamifuji Debuts In The Top Division – He’s been one of our “Ones to Watch” for a couple of years, and he’s been ripping his way up the banzuke. This is only his 12th tournament, and he has only suffered a single make-koshi (7-8) that happened on his Juryo debut. Fans love him, and his sumo is excellent. Is he the next Isegahama star?

Some Juryo Hot Takes

The long title of this post is Some Juryo Hot Takes That Will Almost Certainly Be Proven Wrong, but that’s not good for formatting, and you get the point anyway.

Sumo Prime Time (in which Hiro Morita is rapidly achieving Cult Icon status of late) has recently done a Juryo spotlight which is worth checking out. It got me thinking about the state of the division at present, if it’s exciting and what makes it exciting.

I concluded that it is exciting and the reason for this is that we actually are seeing the realisation of what should be the next wave of makuuchi mainstays. Juryo has not been very good for the past several years. Lots of old guys have either retired or stopped clogging up the promotion lanes, and as a result we’ve seen an infusion of new, young talent.

I can’t write 6000 more words like I did for makuuchi after the last tournament [edited to add: apparently I can do 2300 though], so please don’t blame me for not writing absolutely comprehensive scouting reports about everyone’s sumo style. With some time you can find that on the web, there are lots of good sumo resources and hopefully we will be able to contribute some in-depth articles as well. But hopefully this can help some folks at least identify some names to watch.

J14W Gonoyama

As the name implies, he’s the first sekitori developed by former Ozeki Goeido. If this makes you feel old then you may not enjoy the next year as several of Goeido’s contemporaries will be bringing up their new stars as well. Gonoyama is a former Sandanme tsukedashi (accelerated start in sumo’s fourth tier for a formerly accomplished collegiate star), who picked up a yusho in Makushita and he’s hit the wall a bit in his first two Juryo tournaments. At 24 he needs a strong basho.

J14E Tsushimanada

The David Benjamin sumo book starts with a detailing of how newcomers to the sport might give rikishi a silly nickname. Sushi Man is a 29 year old journeyman from Kyushu making his sekitori debut at his home basho, who had come close on several occasions previously before being scuppered by performance or injury. This is the achievement for the Sakaigawa-beya man. The rest from here will be the icing on the cake.

J13W Roga

Before the pandemic, I sat down with Murray Johnson and he identified Roga as a lower division one to watch. Murray might well be right, and time is on the 23 year old’s side, but the Russian has made an awfully plodding run through Makushita (19 basho!) to get to his Juryo debut. He’s also the first sekitori produced by Futagoyama oyakata, former Ozeki Miyabiyama.

J13E Shimazuumi

The 26 year old enters his fifth Juryo tournament and hasn’t been entirely convincing. He’s been slightly better than average over the last several years and looks like he may be stuck in Juryo for a while, if he doesn’t drop out. He’s the first sekitori produced by the new Hanaregoma beya (former Sekiwake Tamanoshima), but in reality is a product of the former Nishonoseki beya and took his shikona later in his career in deference to the old shisho, former Ozeki Wakashimazu.

J12W Oshoma

Continuing the theme, here’s another first, the first sekitori produced by the new Naruto beya, led by former Ozeki Kotooshu. We’ve talked quite a bit about the heya’s comprehensive recruitment and lower division performance on this site but the Mongolian 25 year old is the first to make the breakthrough earlier this year, helped in no small detail by his Makushita tsukedashi debut placement (for the top collegiate champions). His May Makushita yusho (where he knocked off some very notable names) is looking more like an outlier at the moment, so hopefully he can properly bed into the division and find his feet. The expectation on a Makushita tsukedashi is that they will turn into a top division star, with names like Mitakeumi, Ichinojo and Endo achieving titles and notoriety, although in rare cares that doesn’t happen (Mitoryu, Daiamami).

J12E Tokushōryū

Not going to spend a lot of time here: the storybook champ is on the downswing of an unlikely end of career run. The blue jacket beckons for the man who made Nara proud.

J11W Takakento

The former Takanohana product is on his third Juryo stint, with only 1 winning record in his first six tournaments at the level before Aki’s 9-6. In the absence of an overpowering skill it may be a struggle to project the 26 year old as a makuuchi talent, especially with a tough crowd of prospects to fight through at the moment.

J11E Enho

Injuries and scouting reports have zapped the talented pixie of his mobility and unpredictability, but he is still able to be a chaos agent and others have shown there is still plenty of mileage in that approach, even in the top division. I hope he makes it back. He’s been largely a .500 rikishi over the last year, and while the new Miyagino oyakata (the legendary Hakuho) has been lauded for his recruitment, his coaching of Enho – who at 28 should be in his career prime – will be an intriguing watch.

J10W Kaisho

The first sekitori product of Asakayama oyakata, former Ozeki Kaio, he’s one of those guys that seems to have been around in sumo for absolutely ages. He had a laboured route to the salaried ranks, but despite mixed results (4 kachi-koshi from 10), the eye test does tell me he’s someone who could go a bit further than his Juryo 2 peak, and I feel like his belt work is projectable.

J10E Chiyosakae

The 32 year old made his debut nearly 14 years ago and now reaches his career high rank in his third Juryo basho, having successfully fought (by slim margins) in his first two. He’s on a wonderful 7 basho kachi-koshi run but is almost certainly due for a course correction sooner or later. It would be very surprising to see him continue his run into the top division.

J9W Daishoho

It’s been three years since the 28 year old last reached the top division, but he’s carved out a decent run for himself in the second tier. The Mongolian’s results have looked like a slightly less successful Azumaryu (albeit, he does have one top division winning basho), as he’s loitered mostly in the division’s bottom half since that top division spell. We shouldn’t expect too much more from the yotsu-zumo enthusiast.

J9E Daiamami

The rare former Makushita tsukedashi man that just doesn’t make the grade, Daiamami’s awkward oshi-zumo style has translated largely to good results in Juryo, but only 2 kachikoshi in 11 top division basho tells us he’s what baseball scouts would call a “AAAA” player – too good for the minors top AAA level, but not quite strong enough to hang in the majors. At 29 he’ll probably return to makuuchi a couple more times for the odd basho.

J8W Kotokuzan

The Arashio-beya vet has been a real success story for the new oyakata, finally making the breakthrough to Juryo in 2021 after years of near misses, and then making short work of the division en route to his makuuchi debut. But since getting absolutely leathered at Natsu where his pushing-thrusting style lacked power, he’s found the second division a bit tougher on the second go.

J8E Shimanoumi

It’s awful to say, but Shimanoumi has looked absolutely wretched and listless on the dohyo since his wedding earlier in the year. Hopefully it’s a coincidence. Assuming he doesn’t free fall right out of Juryo this time, he’ll reach 30 sekitori tournaments in January and become eligible to eventually take up the name he (allegedly) picked up the rights to upon marrying the daughter of the sadly deceased former Izutsu. He’s meant to be one of sumo’s nice guys, so hopefully he can turn it around.

J7W Kinbozan

Sumo’s lone Kazakh debuted a year ago as Sandanme tsukedashi and has rattled off six consecutive dominant performances including a pair of yusho. Entering Juryo at Aki, he posted double digit wins cementing his place in the prolific Kimura Sehei production line. Unlike many of his stablemates however, putting technique and experience aside he’ll be hoping to make Kyushu his second and final Juryo basho en route to a 2023 that could take him up to the san’yaku ranks at his current rate of progress.

J7E Tochimushashi

The top recruit formerly known as Kanno has blitzed his way from his Sandanme tsukedashi entrance to the middle of Juryo with just one make-koshi in ten appearances, and a very timely first yusho in his Aki debut in Juryo. He should easily chart the course to Makuuchi by early next year. And there are reasons why he draws comparisons to his stablemate Aoiyama…

J6W Kitanowaka

Tipped for big, big things for a long, long time, his star has dimmed a bit after experiencing a fairly indifferent couple years in Makushita. At 190cm he’s a tall drink of water and, although there are other talents in the heya, he may eventually represent one of 60 year old riji-cho Hakkaku’s last products to challenge in the top division.

J6E Hokuseiho

Derailed by injury and covid kyujo, the enormous Hokuseiho (21 years old as of basho-time) will look to continue his impressive development. Questions still remain about his ultimate ceiling: he has the physicality and apparently the determination to reach the top, but his sumo is a bit slow and lumbering. Still, with a career record of 74-21 heading into his third Juryo tournament, it’s hard not to dream on him.

J5W Chiyonokuni

Riddled by injury and with all of his former epic brawling opponents having ridden off into the sunset, it’s tough to see a path forward for the 32 year old energetic street fighter. He may well make his way back to Makuuchi for the odd appearance as he is still competitive at this level, but even being only 18 months removed from the joi-jin, it seems his best days are behind him.

J5E Akua

I never thought he’d make it to makuuchi, so I think it’s a great credit that he’s been able to hang tough and carve out a solid career in the second tier. Now 32, I think the realistic goal is to make it to the middle of 2024 in the salaried ranks to try and qualify for elder status.

J4W Yutakayama

While it feels fairly shocking to see him ranked here, such have been the disappointing results from the former top prospect that it’s hard to make a case that he belongs even at the back end of the top division right now. While it’s easy to argue he might benefit from a couple confidence boosting 9-6s to keep expectations in check, that’s more or less what’s happened on his last few Juryo demotions. He may be playing yo-yo for the next couple years, but at 29 and with 26 sekitori basho under his belt, he at least looks a lock to secure the 30 basho required to qualify for a kabu.

J4E Hidenoumi

While his brother is getting all the plaudits right now, 33 year old Hidenoumi continues to solidly motor along. Demoted due to suspension, he was making a decent go of it in makuuchi and probably belongs somewhere at the bottom division at the moment. Although, with the wave of new talent pushing upwards, his comfortability slugging it out in Juryo bodes well for the final stage of his career.

J3W Mitoryu

The former Makushita tsukedashi took forever and a day (27 basho) to make it out of Juryo and his debut Makuuchi performance was… not good. Overpowered and short of mobility, he was sent packing with double-digit losses. At 28, the Mongolian is looking like another for whom Azumaryu’s career (lots of Juryo time with the odd Makuuchi make-koshi thrown in) looks like a reasonable ambition.

J3E Tsurugisho

Another Juryo lifer who benefitted massively from the reduction in top division quality, Tsurugisho has been pretty OK at doing a whole lot of things on the dohyo and not particularly incredible at any one. The jack of all trades dropped down for this latest spell after a pair of 5 win tournaments and may yet yo-yo some more, but he surely reached his ultimate ceiling 3 years ago.

J2W Bushozan

Former Ozeki Musoyama’s starlet performed admirably in his first year in Juryo after spending an eternity (six whole years) in the third tier. This year though, he’s hit a bit of a wall. He’s been in promotion range several times before and not been able to get the job done, but after the basho he’ll be 27 and should be firmly arriving soon into the peak of his powers.

J2E Churanoumi

Churanoumi reaches his career high-to-date at Kyushu, and it’s not been a straightforward ride for him to navigate the penultimate division. He’s has several promotions and demotions back to Makushita, and while his current span in the salaried ranks has only been disrupted for a single basho since the start of 2020, he’s spent very little time in the top reaches of the division or fighting against the occasional top division opponent. This basho, then, is a real test for a guy who somewhat notably once defeated the likes of Kiribayama and Oho in title-clinching bouts in the lower divisions.

J1W Chiyomaru

This lovable character has made a career out of jostling at the top end of Juryo and lower end of Makuuchi and will go again as he enters his 10th year as a sekitori. He is what he is.

J1E Tōhakuryū

I often lament the lack of creativity in shikona assembly, and while the characters in play for Tohakuryu are fairly common, the order and reading is a little less so. I enjoy that. He’s yet another former Sandanme tsukedashi who made more or less quick work of the lower divisions (with one blip). But he’s not the biggest, and his run through Juryo has been plodding, steady if unspectacular. Here he arrives at his career high rank, in his prime at 26, at the position from which a kachi-koshi will certainly deliver him a promotion. However, should it be tight going into the second week, he’ll find many of these aforementioned talents breathing right down his neck…