Natsu Day 14 Highlights

What an awesome day of sumo in Tokyo. The brawl to end it all did not disappoint, as we got to see Kiribayama try out his Ozeki grade sumo to see if he could best Terunofuji for the first time in 10 tries. He could not, and Terunofuji takes his 8th yusho in blazing form. Congratulations to the top man in the sport, it’s been a while since we have seen that kind of sumo.

Before the final match of the day decided the cup, we had 4 new kachi-koshi, congratulations to Nishikigi, Onosho, Hiradoumi (finally!), and Chiyoshoma. Really solid sumo, and well earned.

To set up tomorrow, Natsu heads into the final day with 6 rikishi having 7-7 scores. They are eligible for single elimination “Darwin” matches tomorrow. We could have had as many as 3 Darwin matches, but we will only get 2. Tobizaru will face Tamawashi, and Abi will face Ura.

Highlight Matches

Kagayaki defeats Oshoma – Now that he is make-koshi, Kagayaki seems to have remembered some of his sumo. If they find a way to keep him in the top division, I am going to probably be grumpy about it. Kagayaki takes the match by tsukidashi, brought on by solid inside lane thrusting that Oshoma could not counter, improving to 6-8.

Oho defeats Hokuseiho – Oho has the crummiest sumo of anyone I have ever seen score double digits. He’s sort of the inverse of Hokutofuji, who looks great but loses. Shodai used to do stuff like this too. It seems that Hokuseiho has two offensive routes he wants to use, both of which are figured out, and at least a dozen places where he’s weak, mostly around entangling those long legs. Oho fells him like a Scot’s Pine, and is double digits at 10-4.

Chiyoshoma defeats Ryuden – Chiyoshoma sets up an immediate left hand inside grip, and does a great job of constantly shifting Ryuden’s center of balance, wearing him down and aggravating any problems he is having with his chronic hip injury. At one point Ryuden tries to position for a throw, but ends up losing his balance, opening his stance and losing the match to a yorikiri. Chiyoshoma advances to 8-6 and is kachi-koshi.

Onosho defeats Daishoho – Onosho employs the classic way of “stand him up, slap him down” to take the match on the second volley. That’s 8 wins for him and he is kachi-koshi at 8-6.

Hiradoumi defeats Kotoeko – It took him five tries to get that 8th win, but I am happy to announce that Hiradoumi is finally kachi-koshi. At no point did Kotoeko present a credible offense, and I don’t think Hiradoumi was in any mood to allow him an opening.

Sadanoumi defeats Aoiyama – Big Dan Aoiyama now has double digit losses for Natsu. I don’t think he’s at risk for boarding the barge to Juryo, but he has lost all defensive power for now. He will be 37 by the time Nagoya starts, and I have to wonder if he’s starting to figure that his body has had enough. Sadanoumi dominated him today, setting up a hold by the second step and running him out by yorikiri. Sadanoumi now 6-8.

Takanosho defeats Ichiyamamoto – Joining Aoiyama in the ranks of the double digit losses is Ichiyamamoto. At Maegashira 15, he may end up as the captain of the Juryo barge this time. Takanosho kept low, kept his hands in the inside lane and pushed with everything he could muster. Ichiyamamoto has very little defense right now, and was quickly moved out by oshidashi. Takanosho improves to 6-8.

Hokutofuji defeats Mitoryu – With his make-koshi secured, Hokutofuji is free to open up the throttle if he chooses. He makes fast work of Mitoryu, who joins the double digit loss club at the bottom of the banzuke. Hokutofuji with an oshidashi to advance his score to 6-8.

Myogiryu defeats Tamawashi – Myogiryu launched a bit early from the shikiri-sen, but nobody called a matta, and the fight was on. Tamawashi gave it everything he could muster today, but he’s not quite as healthy as Myogiryu this May. Myogiryu had a nice move to deflect Tamawashi away when he was rallying for win. The deflection left Tamawashi with his back to Myogiryu, and the resulting combo sent Tamawashi to the clay. Myogiryu now 9-5, Tamawashi now 7-7 and is eligible for a Darwin match tomorrow.

Kotoshoho defeats Takarafuji – How banged up is Takarafuji? He lost today to an injured Kotoshoho. There are starting to be some speculation that Takarafuji will retire. If he’s that hurt I can see him doing that, but I will miss his unique brand of sumo. Kotoshoho did a masterful job of tsuppari center-mass to keep Takarafuji on the move, and then out. Kotoshoho improves to 2-12.

Tobizaru defeats Mitakeumi – Tobizaru’s left hand frontal grip looked a bit worrisome, and it seems to get Mitakeumi off his sumo from the tachiai. I think that Tobizaru also decided he was not going to try and win a match by naniyotsu, and went for a morozashi double inside grip instead. A quick yorkiri, and Tobizaru is 7-7, and eligible for a Darwin match tomorrow.

Takayasu defeats Nishikifuji – Blistering attack from Takayasu at the first step. He had Nishikifuji unable to counter, or keep his balance. A quick tour of the ring as Nishikifuji tried to evade, and a tsukidashi for Takayasu’s second win of the basho, he is now 2-12.

Nishikigi defeats Abi – Abi had one double arm attack, and that move to break away from Nishikigi was superb. Abi lost his balance, and Nishikigi dropped him to the clay by oshitaoshi. That’s kachi-koshi for Nishikigi at 8-6, Abi at 7-7 and is Darwin bound.

Midorifuji defeats Kinbozan – If you are going to take your first ever professional career make-koshi, you might as well make it a big one. Kinbozan started strong, and was moving toward a win. But he lost his balance, and Midorifuji finished him with a hikiotoshi. Kinbozan now at 4-10 while Midorifuji improves to 6-8.

Kotonowaka defeats Ura – Ura, quite the match, I love the wrist bender ottsuke you put on Kotonowaka. That looked like absolute hell for him. Kotonowaka was able to eventually free that hand, but Ura had an excellent defensive hold in place. They stalemated until Ura decided to try a pull and slap combo that hit well, but the timing was poor. Kotonowaka went down and Ura stepped out together. There was a monoii, and rather than have a rematch, the judges reversed the goyji’s decision and awarded the win to Kotonowaka. Both end the day 7-7 and are eligible for Darwin matches tomorrow.

Asanoyama defeats Shodai – Straightforward attack at the tachiai by Asanoyama gave him a solid body hold. He drove Shodai to the bales and finished him with a yoritaoshi to pick up his 11th win. He’s not quite back to Ozeki power, but I think this basho has informed him of that, and I would expect he redoubles his training. I do miss the smiles he would beam follow his matches, win or lose, that were the hallmark of his early career. Asanoyama now 11-3 while Shodai is make-koshi at 6-8.

Daieisho defeats Meisei – Daieisho stays on the narrow path to double digits, narrowly avoiding a mid-match step out and rallying to get Meisei off balance and down by tsukitaoshi. Not normally how Daieisho would like to fight, but it’s a win regardless, he is 9-5.

Hoshoryu defeats Tsurugisho – I am fairly sure that Tsurugisho did not want to give Hoshoryu a double inside grip on the second step. He tried an arm lock on Hoshoryu, but he does not have Terunofuji’s height or strength. Hoshoryu worked to unbalance Tsurugisho, then threw him down by sukuinage to improve to 10-4.

Wakamotoharu defeats Takakeisho – Takakeisho has his 8, I think we should all be glad he got there, and I am pretty sure that both days 14 and 15 are him showing up to make sure his opponent has their fight. With luck he will get treatment or whatever he needs for his knees and can be back strong for July. Takakeisho know he has no forward power today, so takes to trying to slap Wakamotoharu silly with big, round house hits to the face. Wakamotoharu endures them as best he can, focuses center mass and ejects the Ozeki by oshitaoshi, improving to 10-4.

Terunofuji defeats Kiribayama – Kiribayama gave the Yokozuna a solid fight, but one of the great hallmarks of Terunofuji 2.0 is his patience. Granted its been six months since he had a worthy opponent for this kind of sumo, so many forgot. They may have thought “Oh no, the Yokozuna is in trouble!”. Nah, he’s just getting it all together at his own pace. Kiribayama does a marvelous job of blocking Terunofuji’s favorite attack routes, and forces the Yokozuna to go defensive. Absolutely superb lower body defensive sumo from Terunofuji this match, go watch and study that. Coupled with that left arm ottsuke that shut down Kiribayama’s right, he stalemated Kiribayama and shut down the attack. Sumo fans, it’s been some time since I have been able to use the tag “Terunofuji’s angry yorikiri”, but look at that finish. Nodowa and a toss into the camera club. 13-1, and an 8th yusho for Yokozuna Terunofuji. He is awarded a diorama of the Yokosuka sea wall made out of kensho envelopes.

Natsu Day 14 Preview

It’s the final weekend of the Natsu basho, and we have a barn burner of a match that may settle the yusho race today. A number of rikishi are fighting for their kachi-koshi, and we have some “mini-Darwin” matches already cropping up, where one rikishi gets his kachi-koshi and the other gets a 7-7 record to end the day.

Many of the original story threads for Natsu have been resolved. We know that Terunofuji is strong and healthy enough to hold the lead into the final two days, and is still the favorite to take the cup. We can be fairly certain that Kiribayama will be promoted to Ozeki next week, but would be able to punctuate that achievement if he can best Terunofuji for the first time in 10 attempts, possibly also taking home the Emperor’s Cup. We know that Takakeisho has cleared kadoban, and will remain Ozeki for at least two more tournaments. We know that most of the other Ozeki hopefuls will need to try again, as they have given good performances, but probably not yet good enough.

Lastly, we will see a Juryo visitor today because for some reason Kotoshoho decided to re-enter the competition. Good luck Kotoshoho.

Natsu Leaderboard

It’s down to Terunofuji or Kiribayama unless something very strange happens. They fight head to head in the final match of the day. A Terunofuji win gives him the Emperor’s Cup outright, and a loss will mean that the cup will be deduced on day 15 either by wins, or a head to head match against Kiribayama.

Leader: Terunofuji
Chaser: Kiribayama
Hunter: Asanoyama

2 Matches Remain

What We Are Watching Day 14

Kagayaki (5-8) vs Oshoma (7-6) – Oshoma could score his 8th win and kachi-koshi today if he can beat flagging Kagayaki, who had better be ranked in Juryo come July. They have never fought before.

Hokuseiho (8-5) vs Oho (9-4) – Having had a bruising tour of the upper ranks, Hokuseiho gets to finish out with someone ranked closer to himself. I think he did fairly well against the top men in sumo, so hopefully he is not too worried about his losses. He gets to fight Oho, who lost to Hokuseiho the only prior time they fought. Both are already kachi-koshi, so this is all about rank for July.

Ryuden (5-8) vs Chiyoshoma (7-6) – Chiyoshoma can reach 8 wins with a victory over already make-koshi Ryuden. I know what you are thinking, super ultra henka mode engaged.

Onosho (7-6) vs Daishoho (5-8) – Likewise Onosho can hit kachi-koshi with a win over already make-koshi Daishoho. He has a 6-1 career record over Daishoho, so as long as he can keep his feet under him, this should be number 8 for him.

Kotoeko (7-6) vs Hiradoumi (7-6) – Thank goodness they are giving Hiradoumi a bit of a break. After quickly moving to 7-2, the schedulers sent his Maegashira 9 on a bumpy tour of top performance, some of them in the named ranks. The results were a predictable 4 match losing streak that kept him from reaching kachi-koshi. Today they finally gave him someone more his speed, Kotoeko. He has beaten Kotoeko each of the prior 4 matches. This counts as a mini-Darwin, as the winner get kachi-koshi, and the loser goes on to 7-7.

Sadanoumi (5-8) vs Aoiyama (4-9) – A battle of the busted, normally I would say Aoiyama has advantage here, but I have watched him step back and out under even moderate forward pressure for the past week. At his age, a worsening chronic injury could mean a exit from the ring. Let’s hope not.

Ichiyamamoto (4-9) vs Takanosho (5-8) – Both are already make-koshi, but the final tally is important as it will determine their rank. For Ichiyamamoto, that rank could be in Juryo if he loses too many more. He has a tall order today as he has never beaten Takanosho in 3 prior attempts.

Hokutofuji (5-8) vs Mitoryu (4-9) – Another rikishi from the bottom of the banzuke on the bubble is Mitoryu. His sumo has been somewhat glacial this May, and its up to already make-koshi Hokutofuji to possibly push his loss count into double digits. Mitoryu is also at risk of boarding the Juryo barge of the damned.

Myogiryu (8-5) vs Tamawashi (7-6) – Tamawashi needs one more win to secure a “fighting injured” kachi-koshi. He has a 10-6 career record against already kachi-koshi Myogiryu, so I suppose this is possible. I don’t know if Tamawashi can supply the sumo to get it done.

Takarafuji (4-9) vs Kotoshoho (1-9-3) – I guess if you are going to get Kotoshoho back in the torikumi, you give him what looks like a tough match. He has never won against Takarafuji in 4 attempts. But that is likely a healthy Takarafuji, which is not who Kotoshoho will face today. Kotoshoho is looking for only his second win of the basho.

Tobizaru (6-7) vs Mitakeumi (8-5) – Tobizaru need 2 more wins to finish with 8, so why not give him a real challenging fight. If the “good” Mitakeumi shows up, it will be a real struggle for Tobizaru. Mitakeumi has a narrow 4-3 career lead, and has won the last two matches.

Takayasu (1-3-9) vs Nishikifuji (3-10) – Watching his day 13 match, its pretty clear that Takayasu is still nursing that leg injury. He’s got no forward power and can’t hold ground. I think this makes him an easy mark for Nishikifuji today, and he could really use the wins. Takayasu is going to re-rack much lower down the banzuke in July, and nothing is going to stop that at this point.

Abi (7-6) vs Nishikigi (7-6) – Oh, I do hope that we see Nishikigi get a hold on Abi and battle hug him out of the ring. This is another mini-Darwin, with the winner earning kachi-koshi and the loser going to 7-7. There’s nothing wrong with Abi-zumo, it even won him a yusho. But folks like myself don’t want another henka from him this month.

Kinbozan (4-9) vs Midorifuji (5-8) – Another battle of the already make-koshi, this time we two that could be headed to double digit losses and a big shove lower in rank for July. For Kinbozan, this is his first professional sumo make-koshi, so he may as well make it a big one.

Kotonowaka (6-7) vs Ura (7-6) – Another form of the mini-Darwin is this beauty. We will either see both men end 7-7 today, or Ura kachi-koshi and Kotonowaka make-koshi. It’s been 2 ½ years since they last fought, with Ura taking that match, and Kotonowaka the one before.

Shodai (6-7) vs Asanoyama (10-3) – Battle of the former Ozeki! I am so happy the schedulers set up this match. These two had been strong rivals, with 10 prior matches and a 6-4 split favoring Asanoyama. Already at double digits, Asanoyama is now seeing just how high up the banzuke he will be in July. I think he has more work to do to get back to Ozeki form, but we can already see it from here. Should he win today against Shodai it would put him at 8 losses and finish his make-koshi.

Daieisho (8-5) vs Meisei (8-5) – Daieisho can still hit double digits, but he must win this match and whatever they set up for him tomorrow. He has a 12-3 career record against Meisei, who has now lost 5 of the last 6. He’s already kachi-koshi, so I am not too worried about him.

Tsurugisho (9-4) vs Hoshoryu (9-4) – Very interesting first ever match. Interesting in that Tsurugisho has at least 60kg more mass than Hoshoryu. I am fairly certain that does not daunt Hoshoryu in the slightest, but it will be fun to see him piece it together on the clay. Tsurugisho’s day 13 loss to Wakamotoharu looked pretty weak, so I wonder if maybe he hurt something in the past two days.

Wakamotoharu (9-4) vs Takakeisho (8-5) – Someone has a twisted sense of humor. One of the most ardent practicianers of yotsu-zumo in the sport today against a man who can’t win if his opponent gets a belt grip. Interestingly enough, Takakeisho has won 3 of their 4 prior matches. Given Takakeisho’s state, and already secured kachi-koshi, I am not sure he is going to run this one at full power.

Terunofuji (12-1) vs Kiribayama (11-2) – The big match, possible the biggest match of the tournament. A Terunofuji win secures his 8th yusho, a loss means that the yusho will be decided on day 15. He has won all of his 9 prior fights against Kiribayama, so the Ozeki hopeful will need to climb a steep wall of habit to pull out a white star today.

Natsu Day 13 Highlights

What a blazingly hot day of sumo we just enjoyed. On top of all the yusho and promotion race matches, we had three new kachi-koshi today, congratulations to Myogiryu, Mitakeumi and of course Ozeki Takakeisho, who cleared kadoban status today. He has been day to day for the entire tournament, and I really hope that whatever injury is plaguing him that he can find some route to treatment. Maybe sit out Nagoya and seek immediate medical treatment, especially if the NSK promotes Kiribayama, who picked up his 11th win today.

In the musubi-no-ichiban went according to proper order, with Asanoyama still unable to defeat Yokozuna Terunofuji in his 6th attempt. Asanoyama’s power-grapple is a wonder against most rikishi, but against the Kaiju, it only makes it easier for him to deliver his doom. This brings the yusho race down to a head to head of Terunofuji and Kiribayama, which we will see in the final fight of day 14. I know Terunofuji is banged up, but he is still the strongest man on the dohyo this tournament.

Highlight Matches

Oho defeats Aoiyama – Another day we see Aoiyama pushing with all he can muster, which turns out to be not too much right now, and having zero stability on his feet. Oho gets him off axis and shoves him out by okuridashi. Please, oh great sumo cat of the Kokugikan, why must you taunt us with the haunting prospect of Oho scoring double digits in this basho? Oho finishes the day 9-4.

Myogiryu defeats Takarafuji – Another day where Takarafuji’s brand of sumo is thwarted by his inability to defend in his current condition. Myogiryu makes short work of marching him out by yorikiri, and is now kachi-koshi at 8-5.

Ryuden defeats Ichiyamamoto – Ichiyamamoto is unable to keep up his thrusting attacks, and Ryuden remains persistent in getting a belt hold. Once that right hand has a grip, Ryuden sets up the uwatenage that wins the match, he is now 5-8. With 9 losses, Ichiyamamoto raises the chances he will be on the Juryo barge of the damned.

Onosho defeats Kagayaki – Kagayaki opts to attack Onosho’s face and neck, leaving his body wide open for Onosho’s tsuki-oshi. Huge strategic mistake to give Onosho a big body to push against and an open inside lane. He makes short work of Kagayaki by oshidashi, improving to 7-6. Kagayaki is now make-koshi at 5-8 on the bottom rung of the banzuke, and he punches his ticket to board the Juryo barge.

Takanosho defeats Mitoryu – Both started the day make-koshi, so this match was to see who paid for beers to night. Please note, if you go have beers with sumotori, bring a LOT of yen. I did enjoy the mutual nodowa fest, that’s not frequently seen, and they both looked like they were in quite a bit of discomfort. Mitoryu drops Takanosho by hikkake, but a monoii ensues. Turns out during the nodowa battle, Mitoryu stepped out, Takanosho gets a much needed win to improve to 5-8, while Mitoryu ups his chances of joining the crew on that Juryo barge.

Chiyoshoma defeats Sadanoumi – Chiyoshoma tries for a henka, but Sadanoumi knows enough about Chiyoshoma to expect such jackassery. But it seems that he and enough of an advantage that he was in charge of the first moments of offense. Having seen the overturned hikkake the match before, it seemed ripe for employment again here, and Chiyoshoma drops the onrushing Sadanoumi like a sack of rice, improving to 7-6.

Ura defeats Daishoho – Ura establishes a body hold at the tachiai, and Daishoho establishes an arm bar hold in response. Ura seems to like his position, and executes a lighting fast katasukashi to drop Daishoho to the clay. Loss number 8 for Daishoho, and he is make-koshi while Ura improves to 7-6.

Tobizaru defeats Kotoeko – Kotoeko could not defend center-mass, and was summarily pushed back with not too much effort by Tobizaru’s rapid combo attacks. The oshidashi takes Tobizaru to 6-7, and denies Kotoeko his kachi-koshi today.

Tamawashi defeats Takayasu – Good lord, Takayasu, why did you come back from kyujo. He clearly is still struggling with that leg injury that sent him kyujo to begin with. Tamawashi sets up a thrust, and Takayasu can’t step back and out fast enough. Tamawashi advances to 7-6.

Midorifuji defeats Hokutofuji – Ladies and Gentlemen! I present to you, The most powerful make-koshi in all of sumo! In true Hokutofuji style, he hoovered up his 8th win with energetic, forward moving sumo. But after a throw attempt fell apart, Midorifuji countered with a katasukashi, dropping him to the clay. Both end the day 5-8.

Abi defeats Nishikifuji – Around and around they go, who falls first, nobody knows. Nishikifuji had the better tachiai, but let Abi grab his belt. Abi could not really complete his attempt to throw or swing Nishikifuji out, and both lost their balance. Abi kept his feet while Nishikifuji went tumbling down. Abi improves to 7-6.

Nishikigi defeats Shodai – Nishikigi took his time, and set up his hold. It seems Shodai was counting on the Wall of Daikon to save him today, but could never get his feet set up to deploy it. Nishikigi kept his form, kept his grip and walked Shodai out for a yorikiri, improving to 7-6. That is six straight wins for Nishikigi, wow!

Kotonowaka defeats Kinbozan – Kinbozan can tell he is in the big leagues this basho, as he is trying some of his best moves and getting the stuffing beat out of him in response. If he can adapt and improve, he will be a big deal for years to come. Kinbozan gets captured and pulled to Kotonowaka’s chest early on, shutting down most of what Kinbozan probably had wanted to try. If he wants to be a contender, he really is going to need to be able to at least defend against a mawashi grip. Kotonowaka’s yorikiri takes him to 6-7.

Wakamotoharu defeats Tsurugisho – Wakamotoharu stops Tsurugisho’s winning streak at 6, which is damn impressive for Tsurugisho. After a protracted and pointless stare down, Wakamotoharu made fast work of Tsurugisho as he rushed forward into the tachiai. Both end the day 9-4.

Mitakeumi defeats Daieisho – Excellent defensive foot placement by Mitakeumi allowed him to withstand Daieisho blistering mega-thrust opening. He endured Daieisho’s early surge of offense and waited to get a grip. Mitakeumi got his grapple, and launched forward, taking Daieisho to the clay for his 8th win and kachi-koshi. Both end the day 8-5.

Hoshoryu defeats Hiradoumi – Man, the schedulers need to give Hiradoumi a cream puff match for this 8th win. It was kind of funny up to this point, but that’s 4 days in a row you have given him ball buster opponents when he is on the cusp of a hard earned kachi-koshi. And no, you don’t need to have him fight Terunofuji, the joke has worn thin. I give him points for that excellent block at the tachiai to shut down Hoshoryu’s first grip attempt. But he’s no match for Hoshoryu… yet. Hoshoryu picks up a welcome win to move him closer to double digits and is now 9-4.

Kiribayama defeats Hokuseiho – Hopefully no one is surprised that once Hokuseiho got a hold, he was going to go into his long term stance, wearing Kiribayama down. After a lengthy period of standing an leaning, Hokuseiho attempts offense, but his legs are too stiff, and at his height he struggles to get his center of force low enough to unweight Kiribayama. Hokuseiho tries a leg trip to no effect, then continues to lean on Kiribayama. Hokuseiho then seems to lose focus? Kiribayama stands him up, employs a foot trip and drops Hokuseiho backward by sotogake. 11 wins now for Kiribayama at 11-2.

Takakeisho defeats Meisei – You can condemn Takakeisho for that side step, but when you think about it, it was something Meisei should have been ready for. Needing a win no matter what to clear kadoban, he saw a chance and he took it. Was it good sumo? No! Was is strategically correct? Yes. Takakeisho now kachi-koshi and will retain his Ozeki rank until at least November. Both end the day 8-5.

Terunofuji defeats Asanoyama – If Asanoyama pictures himself re-taking his Ozeki rank, he would be well served to figure out a different approach to fighting Terunofuji. Granted, he’s never fought Yokozuna Terunofuji, but after five tries and zero wins, you would think he could bring something other than his normal left hand lead body grip. That’s about as rapid a kotenage as you are likely to see, and Asanoyama looked completely helpless to do anything other than hit the clay with a resounding thud. By the way, in the Kokugikan, you can sometimes hear the guys land with a thud. It’s glorious. Terunofuji now 12-1, and remains in sole possession of the lead.

Natsu Day 13 Preview

Day 13 is the Friday before the final weekend of the Natsu 2022 tournament. We are seeing some big rank gaps in some of the match ups, as the rikishi work through their final 3 matches. There are a healthy crop of athletes that are on course to be eligible for day 15 “Darwin Matches” where a pair of 7-7 rikishi compete to see who gets a losing or a winning record.

There is already a lot of talk about a Kiribayama promotion to Ozeki from the English language sumo fan crowd. I do hope they are right, but please consider reserving enthusiasm until someone from the sumo kyokai says something. I recall Takakeisho’s promotion required an additional basho of double digit performance before they would punch his ticket, and I would not consider it out of character to see that again in my lifetime. In my opinion, he has probably earned it. But as an English language sumo blogger, my opinion counts for nothing in the world of sumo ranking.

Natsu Leaderboard

In reality, the cup will go to one of the group of Terunofuji, Kiribayama or Asanoyama. I would not be shocked to see Terunofuji kyujo today due to what he did jumping from the dohyo. But given his attitude toward sumo and being a Yokozuna, he is likely to be toe to to with Asanoyama for the final match.

Leader: Terunofuji
Chasers: Kiribayama, Asanoyama
Hunt Group: Tsurugisho

3 Matches Remain

What We Are Watching Day 13

Aoiyama (4-8) vs Oho (8-4) – Both have already determined their make / kachi-koshi, so this is really about determining rank. I am not sure about Oho, as he seems to go through “hot” and “cold” periods with his sumo. But as for today, I think Aoiyama is so banged up that I think Oho should be able to beat him.

Myogiryu (7-5) vs Takarafuji (4-8) – Myogiryu will attempt to secure his 8th win today against ailing Takarafuji. Already make-koshi, Takarafuji may be edging toward the exit over the next year, unless he can get his chronic injuries remedied. They share a 25 match history with Myogiryu leading 16-9.

Ryuden (4-8) vs Ichiyamamoto (4-8) – Both are already make-koshi, so this is all about rank, and maybe to find out of Ichiyamamoto will get a ticket for the Juryo barge of the damned. Their only prior match was day 1 of Aki 2022, which Ichiyamamoto won. Both of them need to regroup and try to return healthy in Nagoya.

Onosho (6-6) vs Kagayaki (5-7) – Two rikishi still very much in the hunt for an outcome, with Onosho dead in the middle of the make/kachi-koshi line at 6-6. I would not put hopes on Kagayaki, even though he has a narrow 8-6 career advantage. His sumo has been poor and lacking power, while Onosho’s has been lacking any real balance or ability to maintain contact with his opponent. A loss today would be make-koshi for Kagayaki, and a near certain return to Juryo.

Mitoryu (4-8) vs Takanosho (4-8) – Another make-koshi pair up, and I would guess Mitoryu would be eager to find any win he can right now, to avoid bunking with Kagayaki on that Juryo barge. Mitoryu does have a 7-1 career record against Takanosho, who should be counted among the list of “get healthy for July” crew.

Sadanoumi (5-7) vs Chiyoshoma (6-6) – A solid funnel match, with both of them candidates to make it to a day 15 Darwin match. Thought I would put my hopes on Chiyoshoma today. He has a 7-5 lead against Sadanoumi, who is one loss away from make-koshi. Sadanoumi did win their only prior match this year, during Hatsu day 15.

Ura (6-6) vs Daishoho (5-7) – It would seem it’s time to deliver an 8th loss and a make-koshi to Daishoho. Ura has beaten Daishoho all 4 times they have fought before. I do hope that Ura’s knees are ok after the day 12 barn burner with Tobizaru. With a 6-6, we can be fairly certain that Ura will end up in a Darwin match.

Tobizaru (5-7) vs Kotoeko (7-5) – For folks wondering about a “Funnel” match, this is a great example. Tobizaru has a 6-3 career advantage over Kotoeko, and given how both of them have been fighting this month, I expect Tobizaru to win this one. That will result in Tobizaru at 6-7, Kotoeko at 7-6. That would mean a day 14 win for Tobizaru, and a day 14 loss for Kotoeko to get them both to 7-7.

Takayasu (1-2-9) vs Tamawashi (6-6) – 33 career matches between these two, split as close to evenly as you could want. They are both rather banged up right now, and I don’t expect more than 50% power out of either one of them. So it’s anyone’s guess who is going to gamberize through the pain and stiffness better. Maybe Tamawashi? Tamawashi could use a win, but is still likely to end up 7-7 to start day 15.

Hokutofuji (5-7) vs Midorifuji (4-8) – Midorifuji is already make-koshi, but it falls to him to bestow the honor of delivering a make-koshi to Hokutofuji, if he can win the match today. We jokingly refer to Hokutofuji as the man with “The most powerful make-koshi in all of sumo!” Due to the fact he fights vigorously, then loses. They have both won one of the their 2 prior matches this year.

Abi (6-6) vs Nishikifuji (3-9) – Oh Abi, fans are really starting to dislike you. I think it’s the henkas. Sure, they can be fun and the chicks dig a guy who can jump like a lizard on a hot plate, but do fight head to head today. You should be able to toss a hurt Nishikifuji around as you please. Save that last henka for your day 15 Darwin match.

Shodai (6-6) vs Nishikigi (6-6) – Both are 6-6, and it may come down to if Nishikigi can get his arm bar hold on Shodai, and which version of Shodai we get today. The genki one will give him a blubbery body block and send him out. Shodai has a 5-3 career record, but right now Nishikigi is on a hot streak, having won 5 in a row. Both are great Darwin candidates for day 15.

Kotonowaka (5-7) vs Kinbozan (4-8) – First ever match up, and Kinbozan can serve up a steaming plate of make-koshi surprise to Kotonowaka if he can get the right body position by the second step. For his first ever tour of the joi-jin, Kinbozan has had the traditional rough ride. Fear not fans, he will be back after some work to improve his sumo.

Tsurugisho (9-3) vs Wakamotoharu (8-4) – Wow, look who came all the way up the banzuke to fight a Sekiwake! It’s a surprisingly genki Tsurugisho who at 9-3 can go double digits today. I was also surprised to see that he has a 5-2 career record against Wakamotoharu. They last fought on day 6 of Hatsu 2022, when both were near the bottom of the Makuuchi banuzke.

Daieisho (8-4) vs Mitakeumi (7-5) – Having taken Asanoyama out of the lead on day 12, Daieisho has a chance to block Mitakeumi from getting to his 8th win today. They have had 26 carer matches, with Mitakeumi having a narrow 14-12 edge. A closer look at that record shows that Mitakeumi has not won against Daieisho since Day 3 of Osaka 2022; Daieisho has won the last 5 in a row.

Hiradoumi (7-5) vs Hoshoryu (8-4) – Good lord, Hiradoumi cannot catch a break. He has been trying for the last 3 days to get that elusive 8th win, and who does he draw on day 13? Oh nice, Hoshoryu. Them’s the breaks sir, but if you pull it off it will indeed be a big deal.

Kiribayama (10-2) vs Hokuseiho (8-4) – The Miyagino giant goes up against Ozeki hopeful Kiribayama, and boy is this a juicy match. Many fans are pre-celebrating Kiribayama’s Ozeki promotion, which may in fact be forthcoming in a few days. But I do know and think I understand that kyokai can seem a bit capricious at times, and direct someone to “try again”. A loss today to Maegashira 11 Hokuseiho might warrant such a move, or it might be part of a plan to see if Hokuseiho can actually fight the big guys.

Meisei (8-4) vs Takakeisho (7-5) – Just one more win, Ozeki. You have 3 days to get just one more win. I am not sure if you can do it, but I know you will give it your all. Meisei has lost 3 in a row, and as long as he does not get a hold on Takakeisho’s mawashi, the Ozeki should be able to take care of him. Takakeisho has an 8-4 career lead.

Terunofuji (11-1) vs Asanoyama (10-2) – I am not sure you can get a bigger match up this tournament. We have former Ozeki Asanoyama trying to take out Terunofuji to even up the score at the top of the yusho race and put him back in contention for the up. Should he manage to do that, it will in all likelihood be a 3 way tie with Kiribayama, who I except to find some way to beat the languid Hokuseiho. What could throw a wrench into all of this would be a Terunofuji kyujo following whatever he did to his knees on day 12 with that leap from the dohyo. Please note that Asanoyama has not beaten Terunofuji in 5 attempts, and I think he may not know if he can.