Nagoya Day 9 Preview

With the middle day of the basho behind us, it’s time to look forward to next weekend, and who will be contending for the cup. At the moment, the entire Makuuchi yusho arasoi is as big of a mess as Shikimori Inosuke’s officiating. There is a group of 7 rikishi who are 1 win ahead of the edge of the “Darwin’s Funnel”, and it’s not a stretch to imagine that half of them may fall back into the funnel before this coming week is done. At the moment there is no real “leader” in the yusho race, just some scores that qualify people to possibly contend if they can continue to win. I am sure the scheduling team will work to whittle that down starting… well… now.

The list of 7:

  • Y1e Terunofuji
  • M2e Kotonowaka
  • M2w Ichinojo
  • M6w Tobizaru
  • M8w Nishikigi
  • M13e Ichiyamamoto
  • M17e Nishikifuji

On that list, only Yokozuna Terunofuji has prior yusho experience, and at this point should be considered the favorite to eventually take the cup. But be aware that the winning score is likely to be fairly low. As it is, it can’t be more than 13-2, and I think an 11-4 is quite possible.

What We Are Watching Day 9

Hidenoumi vs Chiyomaru – Hidenoumi visits from Juryo, and he’s 3 wins away from a kachi-koshi and a return to the top division. He’s usually competitive against Chiyomaru, who is struggling right now, so this may be a day when Hidenoumi picks up a valuable win. Chiyomaru at 2-6 is more or less locked in for a make-koshi and a rapid return to Juryo unless he suddenly finds some sumo at the bottom of that extra bowl of ramen at the train station.

Myogiryu vs Tsurugisho – Likewise, Tsurugisho is in deep trouble starting today at 3-5. To hit 8 wins he would need to take 5 of the remaining 7 matches, and given how he has been unable to win by power or guile this July, it’s not very likely at all. Worse yet, he has not beaten Myogiryu in either of his prior attempts.

Yutakayama vs Chiyoshoma – We saw some return to henka action from Chiyoshoma on day 8, and it was a complete dud. Hopefully he won’t deploy that crummy stuff again this basho. I mean, it’s nice to revisit the classics, but I thought his more recent sumo was better. Yutakayama, at 4-4, is squarely in the middle of the funnel, and I would assume he is headed for a 7-7 record to start day 15.

Ichiyamamoto vs Nishikifuji – Time to thin the crowd at 6-2! Both of these guys are in the somewhat-leader group, and by the end of the day only one of them will remain. I like Ichiyamamoto’s chances here. His Abi-zumo clone seems to be working well enough, and he has been giving his opponents a jolly thrashing before sending them out or down to the clay. He also holds a 4-1 career record against Nishikifuji.

Oho vs Takarafuji – Oho can escape the funnel with a win today. That’s precisely why he gets to fight Takarafuji. The best result for the Darwin outcome is for Oho to lose to Takarafuji, and both of them to move closer to the middle of the funnel at the end of the day. Oho won their only prior match, but I don’t really think that’s too indicative.

Terutsuyoshi vs Daiamami – Terutsuyoshi at 2-6 may get the opportunity to hand injured Daiamami his make-koshi today with a win. They are fairly evenly matched when they are both healthy, but Daiamami has a bad ankle right now, and may as well own up to the fact that he will have a spot on the Juryo barge of the damned.

Kotoshoho vs Onosho – Onosho can and should win this match. He is 3-0 against Kotoshoho, and I see no reason for that to change today. So a big hit early and a lot of forward power. Kotoshoho matches have resulted in monoii quite a few times in the past week, will we have another today?

Midorifuji vs Nishikigi – Nishikigi is another member of the 6-2 quasi leader crowd. He has a match with Midorifuji who is at 5-3, but also has a solid history of beating Nishikigi on the clay. Their last match was in May, with Midorifuji winning with a katasukashi on day 13. It would be wonderful to see Midorifuji deliver one of those again.

Tochinoshin vs Chiyotairyu – Two men at the top edge of the funnel with 5-3. The winner will likely escape as long as they can win their match tomorrow as well. They have a 10 year history that includes 16 fights, with the two prior fights this year being split 1-1. I was happy to see Chiyotairyu’s cannonball tachiai on day 8, but I don’t think he will try to deploy it against Tochinoshin today. But do look for a “stand him up / slap him down” combo.

Okinoumi vs Meisei – Meisei at the top edge of the funnel at 5-3 takes on Okinoumi at the bottom edge of the funnel at 3-5. This could push both of them out of the funnel if Meisei should win. The wrinkle being that he has only beaten Okinoumi once in 10 tries.

Shimanoumi vs Tobizaru – On paper it looks like this should be a contest. But given how poorly Shimanoumi has been fighting, and that Tobizaru is rightfully part of the leader squad, I think this is going to be a one sided affair. Should Shimanoumi lose today, it’s make-koshi for him. Should he win, well, he pulls Tobizaru out of the leader group.

Aoiyama vs Kotoeko – Ultra-mega-funnel-match. Both are 4-4, they have a 5-4 career record, and as a bonus it’s the always delightful big man / little man sumo contest. Note that Kotoeko is not really small, and Big Dan is bigger than most.

Hokutofuji vs Sadanoumi – The tough part about being in the funnel is that when you are at 3-5, the schedulers are trying to give you a win just to keep you in the funnel. So the best Hokutofuji can hope for right now is to remain on track for a 7-7 at the end of day 14. Of course he could take a loss today, and then he and Sadanoumi would be on the make-koshi path together.

Kiribayama vs Ichinojo – I think the big question I have is – can Ichinojo rally? He’s had two losses in a row, and I am quite certain his mental state is below where it was last week. For someone like Ichinojo, being in the right frame of mind is essential to winning these matches. Week 1 showed that he has all of the tools a rikishi needs to dominate even the toughest opponents right now. But the will do to so must be in place. If he’s not mentally ready to win, he’s going to eat loss #3 courtesy of Kiribayama today.

Hoshoryu vs Tamawashi – Another grand funnel match. Ideally (for the sake of the funnel) Tamawashi would win this one, with both ending the day at 4-5. For this to happen, Tamawashi needs to limit Hoshoryu’s mobility and prevent his escape from the expected Tamawashi tsuki barrage.

Ura vs Daieisho – I do tend to focus on the funnel, and how it’s a cruel instrument designed to prevent rikishi from reaching their kachi-koshi before the final weekend. But we have Ura, who just seems to be taking it all in stride, looking at it one day at a time, and generally a joy to watch. Daieisho tends to get Ura caught with a couple of his “mega-thrusts” to the face or the chest, and send the pink wonder flying. But it’s also true that Daieisho’s sumo tends to see his arms and hands linger near his opponent, giving Ura an option for his grab-and-tug sumo.

Wakatakakage vs Kotonowaka – A loss today would likely knock Kotonowaka out of the leader herd. Wakatakakage has a 4-1 career advantage over the Sadogatake man, and unless some sort of slippiotoshi happens in the opening moments of the fight, this could be the big brawl of the day.

Abi vs Shodai – I want to see the “Wall of Daikon” again today, please. Shodai, stop being a punk and break out the Ozeki sumo. You need 4 of the last 7 matches to be wins, so you can do this one. Just have to focus and be powerful. Now watch Abi give him a face full of meaty two hand thrust and send him into the front row.

Takakeisho vs Wakamotoharu – We all know that Wakamotoharu is going to sacrafice everything to get a handhold on Takakeisho’s mawashi. If he does, he should be able to win the match. What amazes me is these two have fought before, in Sandanme. In 2015. Way to reach back into the archives, scheduling crew.

Terunofuji vs Endo – There is no way Endo should pose too much of a threat to Terunofuji right now. I am certain that Endo will get a belt hold, and the instant he does he will be captured by the Yokozuna. Should he and Endo lock up in a battle hug, I expect Terunofuji to dismantle Endo a piece at a time before finishing him off.

Nagoya Day 8 Highlights

You want me to grab his what now? – Image shamelessly stolen from Twitter

What the hell was that? Chief gyoji Shikimori Inosuke has long been on my list of people who are not quite up to the task. Today he made an outrageous choice to stop the match between Terunofuji and Wakamotoharu at a pivotal moment of action because he was concerned that Wakamotoharu’s mawashi was loose. Folks may say that Inosuke should retire, but that would move Kimura Tamajiro up, and he’s even more of a shambles in my book. On the match mechanics, I do think that Terunofuji was honestly enjoying that match with Wakamotoharu, and was giving him a good and balanced battle with the intent of throwing him down once he had finished showing him how it’s done. Herouth goes into more detail in the post below this one, and it’s worth the read.

There is still no leaderboard, as Ichinojo lost today. There are seven rikishi at 6-2, one win outside the top end of funnel, who may in fact compete for the cup in the upcoming week. I think that by the end of act 2 on Tuesday, it should be clear who is going to be in contention heading into the final five days.

On more troubling news, an additional stable is now COVID-kyujo, Naruto. This Omicron variant is quite virulent, and given that we now have 2 stables turning up cases mid-basho may indicate that everyone is going to need to test for the next few days.

Highlight Matches

Onosho defeats Daishoho – A bit of an early start by Onosho, but he gets a couple of big pushes against Daishoho’s chest and moves him directly out. He may have been waiting for a matta on that tachiai, or a monoii on stepping out, but it was official. Onosho improves to 5-3 by oshidashi.

Oho defeats Chiyomaru – Chiyomaru’s over reliance on pulling his opponents costs him matches like these. He had multiple tries, none of them were well placed or timed. Each time he pulled again Oho, he gave up advantage, so he lost this a piece at a time. Oho eventually got workable hand placement with a double inside grip, and marched Chiyomaru out to improve to 5-3 by yorikiri.

Myogiryu defeats Daiamami – Daiamami opens strong into Myogiryu’s hit and shift to the left. For the first few moments, Daiamami is in charge working his way toward a win. But Myogiryu manages to get a right hand inside just before Daiamami can press for the finish, Myogiryu rallies and drives Daiamami out to advance to 5-3 by oshidashi.

Ichiyamamoto defeats Tsurugisho – Ichiyamamoto continues his absolute dominance over Tsurugisho, expanding his career record to 5-0. Tsurugisho had a strong open, but as soon as Ichiyamamoto started to really, Tsurugisho unwisely tried to pull, and Ichiyamamoto surged forward to attack. Ichiyamamoto now 6-2 by oshidashi.

Nishikifuji defeats Chiyoshoma – We have not seen a Chiyoshoma henka in a while, and today’s attempt probably did more harm to his cause than good. With is body not in any sort of sumo position, it was easy for Nishikifuji to get a firm mawashi hold and drive Chiyoshoma out by yorikiri to improve to 6-2.

Takarafuji defeats Yutakayama – Its nice to see Takarafuji fighting well, which he managed to do today. He was able to stop Yutakayama’s attack at the tachiai, then Takarafuji worked to get an armpit hold which he used to move Yutakayama back, and toss him across the bales to improve to 3-5 by oshidashi.

Terutsuyoshi defeats Shimanoumi – Both of these guys started this match at 1-6, and both of them are likely to be make-koshi by the end of the second act in Tuesday. But today we got to see Terutsuyoshi fight in reverse for a block of time, until he could get his hands placed, his feet set and attack. Once Terutsuyoshi started moving forward, it was a quick run to the bales to send Shimanoumi out by yorikiri, improving to 2-6.

Tochinoshin defeats Midorifuji – Midorifuji came in strong, grabbing for Tochinoshin’s mawashi at the front. A strong right hand swat to move Midorifuji away sent him tumbling into the front row. That’s some strength! Tochinoshin now 5-3 by hatakikomi.

Nishikigi defeats Kotoshoho – Kotoshoho has all of the offense in this match, save for the final moment. As Kotoshoho is driving forward to move Nishikigi out, Nishikigi manages to pivot and deliver a throw at the moment he falls off the dohyo into the front row. The shimpan want to review it, so a monoii is called. The replay only further refined Nishikigi’s outstanding move at the bales, he improves to 6-2 by kotenage.

Chiyotairyu defeats Okinoumi – Chiyotairyu managed to gather up enough power to show us one of his cannonball tachiai after a long absence. Nice to see him do it, and he stampedes Okinoumi out in 3 steps, advancing to 5-3.

Meisei defeats Hokutofuji – A fine example of why Hokutofuji has “the strongest make-koshi in all of sumo”. He opens strong, fights like a ranging madman and is relentless. But he gets off balance, he is too far forward, and Meisei drops him with a katasukashi to advance to 5-3.

Tobizaru defeats Kotoeko – A great start to this match, Tobizaru attacks with power from the tachiai, and Kotoeko looks to be ready to change his hand placement and counter attack. But it all comes to an end as Tobizaru a delivers a foot sweep, knocking Kotoeko to the clay by kekaeshi. Tobizaru now 6-2.

Ura defeats Aoiyama – Aoiyama is so tentative at the tachiai, he’s wide open for Ura to just pick an impact spot and propel “Big Dan” straight out. Aoiyama lost this one before it even started, which is a shame. Both end the day 4-4.

Kotonowaka defeats Ichinojo – The concern following Ichinojo’s first loss on day 7 to Kotonowaka is that it would disrupt his mental state, it might rob him of the “I think I can” that is so important to winning in any human endeavor. Ichinojo, throughout his career, has been especially prone to this, and it seems it may have happened on day 7. Kotonowaka easily gets him standing up, then moves him around with comparative ease given his enormity. This is Ichinojo’s second loss, knocking him out of sole lead of the basho. They both end the day 6-2.

Hoshoryu defeats Kiribayama – I am really grateful for this match. So much of the torikumi is a roster of rikishi doing the best they can through a attenuating shroud of injury. It’s refreshing to see two young, healthy, strong, high-skill rikishi fight with everything they can muster. As is usually the case when these two fight, they end up being “kitchen sink” matches, where both are unleashing multiple attack forms moment by moment in an attempt to overwhelm the other’s defenses. Today it was Hoshoryu who came out on top with a yoritaoshi to hurl Kiribayama into the front row, improving Hoshoryu to 4-4.

Abi defeats Sadanoumi – Traditional Abi-zumo today. Sadanoumi tries to break up the double-arm thrusts, but can’t quite connect at the right tempo, and endures too many broad sides to maintain defensive foot placement. Abi drives him out on the 4th exchange by tsukidashi to end the day 5-3.

Wakatakakage defeats Daieisho – Daieisho opens strong, putting all of his attacks against Wakatakakage’s face. He’s making progress, but Wakatakakage finds an open route to Daieisho’s chest, and returns fire. With a right hand on Daieisho’s mawashi, Wakatakakage dials up the pressure and moves Daieisho first back, and then tumbling out. Wakatakakage takes the win to improve to 5-3 with a hearty oshitaoshi as Daieisho gets a face full of clay.

Takakeisho defeats Endo – Takakeisho played Endo’s desire for a mawashi hold very well. Time and again Endo lunged in to get a hand full of silk, and Takakeisho timed his thrusting to match. By the 4th exchange, Endo was off balance enough that the Ozeki could pull him forward and down. Takakeisho slaps victory number 5 out of Endo, advances to 5-3 by hatakikomi.

Shodai defeats Tamawashi – Great opening combo from Tamawashi. He had Shodai in deep trouble, and maybe that’s what it takes now to get some Shodai sumo. One step short of the tawara, Shodai breaks out the “Wall of Daikon”, and rushes forward to brute Tamawashi back. Where has this been? Stuck in the post from from the stable in Aichi? Did Yutakayama have it under his futon and forgot it was there? Glad to see it back, sir. Please use daily from here on out. Tamawashi gets yorikiri’d out, and Shodai is now 4-4.

Terunofuji defeats Wakamotoharu – Wakamotoharu loves to fight yotsu-zumo style. This is always a tough choice when facing Terunofuji, as he will happily join you in a battle hug, and wear you down. Wakamotoharu has some fine moves, but each time, Terunofuji slows him down, and marches him back to the center of the dohyo. They are fighting well, and I really was impressed by Wakamotoharu’s drive and stamina. After a long lock up, Wakamotoharu tries to drive forward… and WHAT THE HELL WAS THAT? Tate gyoji Inosuke jumps in and tries to stop the match? Wakamotoharu kind of sort of won? They rewind the match? Try.. again? Well, on the re-do(?) Terunofuji uses his enormous strength to bodily throw Wakamotoharu down with a shitatenage, advancing to 6-2.

Day 8’s “Musubi no WTF”

Terunofuji turning appealing eyes to Inosuke (Photo from Nikkan Sports, by Ozawa Hitoshi)

Just when you think that this basho can’t get any crazier, Shikimori Inosuke tells us all to hold his beer.

I’m talking, of course, of what happened in the musubi-no-ichiban on day 8.

This starts out as an exciting match, with Wakamotoharu showing that his win over an Ozeki was not a fluke. The match gets complicated, and two minutes pass. Wakamotoharu gets the Yokozuna pretty close to the edge, shuffles for a position, while the Yokozuna also improves his own hold with a deep left hand grip.

Then Wakamotoharu goes on the attack and the Yokozuna is out! A zabuton flies in. The audience goes “oh!”. But… wait… the gyoji doesn’t point the gunbai. There’s a commotion. A monoii? What is going on?

Here is what is going on.

At exactly 2:54 in the video above, Wakamotoharu’s back knot gives in and gets untied. Shikimori Inosuke, who is standing far away on the other side of the dohyo, notices this, and runs in to call a mawashi matta. He shouts “matta, matta”, and attempts to tap both rikishi’s backs. Terunofuji complies and relaxes his hold, at which point Wakamotoharu, who was already starting an attack, completes it and the Yokozuna is out.

To understand what a mawashi-matta is, you can refer to my older article about gyoji calls (scroll down a bit). If the back knot is untied, the whole mawashi can get unraveled, at which point the front part may also loosen enough to show the rikishi’s family jewels – and that’s a “shameful disqualification”, and definitely not considered a good thing to watch on prime time TV.

So a gyoji has to stop the match, re-tie the knot, and start it from the position where it was stopped. It was unfortunate, though, that Wakamotoharu did not stop when the gyoji called it.

The shimpan discussion was not your usual monoii discussion, therefore, but a discussion about a rare if not unprecedented situation. A mawashi matta itself is not a problem, but continuing to move after that is, and there was also the issue of the Yokozuna going out.

The rules say that after the time limit (when the rikishi throw their last salt and enter the ring), exiting it is a loss. There was a famous case in a 1968 match between Katsuhikari and Asaarashi, in which Asaarashi picked a bit of trash that somehow got into the dohyo, and left the ring to throw it away. The shimpan stopped the match and a foul was called (loss by hansoku). So you are not supposed to leave the dohyo. But clearly the Yokozuna should not be punished for complying with the gyoji’s instruction, nor should Wakamotoharu be rewarded for not complying.

The shimpan had a consultation, and decided to proceed as if he never left the dohyo. That is, from the point of the mawashi-matta. The problem was getting the two rikishi back into their positions. So more than a mawashi-matta, this resembled a mizu-iri situation (see the same article!). But this turned out to be a bit difficult.

You see this sort of situation in Snooker sometimes. A foul and a miss is called, and the opponent requests a reset. The referee then consults with an overlay of the video and the table, and adjusts the balls until they are back to their original position.

But this is sumo, and what followed was a farcical adjustment of positions, arms and feet, with the spectators having a commotion in the background. You can see it in the video above from 4:24, when Shikimori Inosuke calls Sadogatake up to adjust the rikishi, as he is the only one with a video link. Only, of course, he can’t see the video, just hear instructions from the Fujishima oyakata, who was at the video room, and serve as a proxy.

I really hope the NSK will learn from this situation and equip the shimpan-cho with a tablet through which he’ll be able to see the overlay (or other video situations) with his own eyes rather than go through the “tell him to tell them that I was told that…” hoops.

Going back to the point of the call, though, there is argument that Inosuke’s call came at a bad timing. Sadogatake oyakata, in an interview, said the consultation was mainly to establish that it really was a mawashi-matta situation, but he wasn’t very clear about whether it was made at an appropriate time. Usually a mawashi-matta is only called when the rikishi are at an impasse. However, some shifting and shuffling do not prevent a mawashi-matta from being called. Inosuke clearly believed this was an impasse, as he stopped calling “nokotta” shortly before the incident.

His positioning can also be questioned, as if he stood closer to the pair, he’d probably have been able to react more quickly.

Another point for argument is whether it would have been better to call a yarinaoshi (redo, not a torinaoshi (rematch), which is the call made when two rikishi lose a match at the exact same time). Bear in mind there was also the question of time, because this was past 6 O’Clock Japan time and a yarinaoshi would have required the whole shikiri process again. It’s also debatable whether or not it would be fairer.

Kudos to Wakamotoharu for giving the yokozuna an excellent fight. Next time, though, make sure your mawashi is tied properly. Also, a nod to Shodai who fixed the knot for him though it’s clearly not his duty.

Oshoma COVID-positive, Naruto beya out of basho

Following his match today, Oshoma, the newcomer to Juryo, from Naruto beya, had a PCR test. The result came back positive.

Naruto beya, including Naruto oyakata, who is one of the shimpan, will go kyujo.

This follows Mitakeumi’s positive result yesterday, and it will be no surprise if more cases turn up in the following days.

Oshoma’s current standing is 5-3, and it will be a shame if he is kept in the same rank because of the kyujo. This makes the situation more challenging for the banzuke committee after the basho. If they don’t upgrade his position, it’s unfair to Oshoma. If they do, then by rights they should demote Mitakeumi.

But first and foremost, we wish the young man a quick and full recovery.