
Apologies for the lack of mid-basho posts; things got in the way. Well, it was much more of a close-run thing than any of us expected just a couple of days ago, but he did it! Congratulations to our sole Yokozuna Terunofuji on taking the yusho and reaching his long-stated career goal of 10 top-division championships. Now that the Nagoya results are in the books, let’s take our customary preliminary look at how they’re likely to reshuffle the rankings.
Juryo-Makushita Exchanges
Since I wasn’t able to provide my usual Makushita updates, let’s start there. The yusho went to Ms2e Daiseizan (7-0), who will make his sekitori debut at Aki. He will be joined by Ms1w Kiryuko (6-1), who was extremely unlucky to miss out on a Juryo debut after Natsu and made certain this time, as well as by Ms3w Oshoumi (5-2), who won his exchange bout with J11e Tochitaikai (5-10) on the final day. So Oshoumi makes an immediate return to the paid ranks after his May demotion, while Tochitaikai drops out after two basho in the second division. Making room for Daiseizan and Kiryuko will be J12w Tsushimanada (1-14) and J14w Nabatame (4-11), whose Juryo debut … did not go well.
Makuuchi-Juryo Exchanges
Unlike the neat picture above, this is very messy. A combination of absences and poor performances left six Makuuchi rikishi with records that could warrant demotion, while only two Juryo rikishi were able to secure strong promotion claims. The two are J1w Onokatsu (9-6) and Juryo champion J8e Shirokuma (12-3), who should add some youth and excitement to the top division when they debut in September. They will replace injury victim M12e Asanoyama (3-2-10) and M17e Nishikifuji (6-9). M15e Chiyoshoma’s final-day loss to Nishikifuji left him with a 5-10 record and very likely headed back to Juryo. His spot would go to J3e Kitanowaka, whose 8-7 record from that rank doesn’t really warrant promotion, but there isn’t a better alternative. Next, we come to another injury victim, M5e Onosho (0-4-11). All seven winless M5 rikishi this century ended up in Juryo, but who is there to bring up? It would have to be either J10e Shishi (11-4) or J6w Tamashoho (9-6), each of whom would have needed two more wins for a proper promotion claim. This’ll be a tough call for the banzuke committee, and Onosho may be fortunate enough to survive. As for the other two men facing potential demotion, the lack of promotion candidates should keep M13w Takarafuji (5-10) and M3e Takayasu (0-2-13) safely in the top division.
Upper Maegashira
The bad news is that all six rikishi ranked M1-M3, and all nine rikishi not named Tobizaru ranked M1-M5, had losing records. However, enough of them went 7-8 or 6-9, and there were sufficient good performances lower down, that filling out this part of the banzuke isn’t too difficult. Our runner-up, M6e Takanosho (12-3), is a shoo-in for the top maegashira slot, unless the banzuke committee decides to go wild and create an extra Komusubi rank for him (as explained below, there are no openings in san’yaku). M4e Tobizaru (9-6) will move up to M1w, the 7-8 trio (Atamifuji, Mitakumi, Shonannoumi) should see minimal if any demotions, I expect the 6-9 duo of Wakamotoharu and Ura to be treated leniently, and kachi-koshi Oho, Shodai, Kotoshoho, Wakatakakage, and Churanoumi will receive generous bumps in rank.
San’yaku
In a rare feat, all five incumbents finished with winning records. This means that S1e Abi (8-7), S1w Onosato (9-6), S2e Kirishima (8-7), K1e Daieisho (8-7) and K1w Hiradoumi (10-5) should keep their ranks; the only question is whether there’ll be any E-W reshuffling based on record. And we’ll have a fourth Sekiwake after O2w Takakeisho (5-10) came up 3 wins short of the 8 he needed to save his Ozeki rank. Like Kirishima this time, he’ll have one chance at Aki to reclaim his rank with double-digit wins, though this seems like a long shot. After failing to hit double-digits, Kirishima is now just a regular Sekiwake, and would have to re-earn Ozeki the hard way. I don’t think Onosato’s 9-6 ends the Ozeki run he started with his 12-3 Natsu yusho, but he’ll need at least 12 wins in September to stake a promotion claim.
Barring a sudden retirement announcement, Terunofuji will make it 3 straight years as the sole East Yokozuna. East Ozeki Kotozakura (10-5) and West Ozeki Hoshoryu (9-4-2) both posted winning records and will maintain their ranks at Aki; Tachiai hopes that Hoshoryu recovers from his injury and is fully fit to fight for the yusho in September. And with that, I think we’re done. Please let me know what you think in the comments.