Hatsu Day 9 Highlights

Some oddities today, with Tsurugisho once again trying to go “au natural” during his match, and Ura finally showing us the kind of finger twiddling spells he casts to win matches. Any guesses what his patronus would be?

The leader board took an absolute beating today, leaving Takakeisho in sole possession of the lead, with just Onosho and Kotoshoho one win behind. With his kachi-koshi in place, it’s time to see if he can run up the score and take home the hardware for the first time in about 2 years. There are rumors of a rope for him if he can take the cup, so I think it’s easy to predict he is going to shoot for 14-1 at this point. While I love Onosho’s sumo, I don’t see him keeping pace with Takakeisho if the Grand Tadpole is in good fighting form for all of week 2.

In Juryo, former Ozeki Asanoyama is 9-0, and it’s time to start wondering if he will be back in the top division for Osaka. That would almost be too much to ask of the Great Sumo Cat of the Kokugikan, but I do hope it can come to pass.

Highlight Matches

Chiyomaru defeats Mitoryu – Chiyomaru avoids make-koshi, and finally finds his second win today. He was able to disrupt Mitoryu early, and kept Mitoryu from setting his feet or setting up any kind of counter attack. Chiyomaru now 2-7.

Tsurugisho defeats Atamifuji – Second day in a row, Tsurugisho tempts fate by mounting the dohyo with a terribly loose mawashi, then initiating a yotsu-match. Look, if you have a strong desire for public exhibition of your naked form, please don’t do it on a world wide broadcast. Someone needs to cinch that guy up before they let him out of the dressing room. Atamifuji seems to share this view, and wastes precious focus trying to change his left hand grip to prevent an imminent wardrobe malfunction, but it costs him the match. Both end the day 3-6.

Kagayaki defeats Azumaryu – That was a better match from Kagayaki than we have seen in a few days. He had a good tachiai, got his hands inside early and put all of his force center-mass. The effect was immediate at Azumaryu was unable to keep his stance, and was quickly moved back and out. Kagayaki now 5-4.

Chiyoshoma defeats Takarafuji – Chiyoshoma employing a henka-like leaping move at the tachiai? Is anyone surprised? Sir, it gets old. But there you have it. He was able to get the oshidashi win against Takarafuji, and is now 3-6.

Hiradoumi defeats Kotoshoho – Kotoshoho looked to be in control in the opening moments of this match, with his strong right hand inside grip. He looked to set up a throw at the exact moment Hiradoumi pivoted to his left, putting him terribly off balance and on one foot. Hiradoumi immediately took advantage and put him on the clay. Excellent reaction from Hiradoumi, and the win knocks Kotoshoho out of the lead. Hiradoumi now 6-3.

Ichiyamamoto defeats Aoiyama – A much anticipated battle of the long arm thrusters went to Ichiyamamoto, as he was able to break Aoiyama’s balance before he could fire up the V-Twin and take control. My compliments to Ichiyamamoto for taking out a tough opponent today, both are now 6-3.

Endo defeats Kotoeko – Endo’s left hand finds Kotoeko’s mawashi early, and is able to grab and hold. When Endo can land his grip at the tachiai, he’s quite likely to control the match. He does so today, immediately setting up a throw and putting Kotoeko down with a shitatedashinage. Endo advances to 5-4.

Myogiryu defeats Takanosho – Takanosho gets in one good combo at the tachiai, before Myogiryu breaks Takanosho’s stance and puts him off balance. Myogiryu wastes no time, and presses his advantage, putting his head down and ramming Takanosho back. Takanosho attempts a last minute pull down at the bales, which connects but he is out before Myogiryu tumbles from the ring. Myogiryu up to 3-6.

Onosho defeats Hokutofuji – Another highly anticipated match, Hokutofuji looks like he thought he could stand firm against Onosho’s second step. It almost worked, but only almost. Onosho had Hokutofuji lined up, his shoulders and hips square, and it was time for some tadpole power. By the time Hokutofuji’s heels hit the bales, it was too late for him to recover, and he was out. Onosho stays one behind the leader at 7-2.

Nishikigi defeats Oho – Oho launches early, should that have been a matta? Simply put, did not matter, as something is really different with Niskhikigi, who turns on the traction motors and drives Oho out in a hurry, handing him his make-koshi, and improving to join the growing crowd at 6-3.

Ura defeats Nishikifuji – In the category of “What the hell was that?”, we have the most unusual match of the basho so far. First off, While Ura and Nishikifuji are wailing away on each other, Konosuke looses a sandal. Not breaking his focus on the match, he calmly fetches it, and puts it back on his right foot. Ura and Nishikifuji are at it hammer and tongs. Nishikifuji tries to a brutal twisting pull on Ura’s head, but instead twists himself, stumbling away. Ura wants to slap him down, but Nishikifuji is already on the clay, and the net effect is Ura performing some sort of arcane spell or voodoo curse on Nishikifuji’s prostrate form. Ura conjures himself up to 6-3.

Midorifuji defeats Abi – Hopefully nobody was sad as Abi was eliminated from the leader group, and thrust into Darwin territory by a henka. Its a crummy excuse for sumo, but Abi employed it in November in a high stakes match, and as we all know, what comes around, would seem to go around. Both end the day 5-4.

Tamawashi defeats Tobizaru – Tobizaru puts up a strong early offense, but once Tamawashi gets his hands against Tobizaru’s chest, he moves Tobizaru back, and tosses him deftly from the ring. Solid Tamawashi brand sumo there, and he’s now 6-3.

Mitakeumi defeats Meisei – I am glad to see that once in a while, Mitakeumi can still summon that level of power for his sumo. He had a right hand inside on Meisei at the tachiai, and Meisei barred that arm, and tried to rotate into a throw. Mitakeumi just rammed forward with all the strength and momentum he could deliver, and bodily forced Meisei from the ring. Nice work to the former Ozeki, Mitakeumi now 4-5.

Kotonowaka defeats Daieisho – Daieisho seemed solidly intent on his hazu-oshi today (armpit attack), even when presented with two opportunities to open up the gap with Kotonowaka and apply his mega-thrust. Kotonowaka broke the hazu, slapped Daieisho on the head and pushed him out as Daieisho struggled to reset his feet. I am certain Kotonowaka was happy for that win, and he is now 4-5.

Wakatakakage defeats Ryuden – A good amount of back and forth with this match, with control changing hands at least once. I was interested to see that Wakatakakage’s well constructed pull down attempt did not finish Ryuden, but left him off balance enough that he was easy to force out. Not sure where the other 10% to 20% of Wakatakakage’s sumo is, but I hope it comes back soon. Both end the day 5-4.

Shodai defeats Kiribayama – Kiribayama went into this match looking for an early advantage and maybe a fast win. He was surprised when a stronger, more confident Shodai was not really moving back in the face of a strong tsuppari volley. Kiribayama put too much power to the front, and found himself in front of his toes at the moment that Shodai applied the hikiotoshi, sending him to the clay. Shodai now 3-6.

Wakamotoharu defeats Hoshoryu – Hoshoryu has worked hard for the past few days to avoid this 3rd loss. I am sure only he knows why, but today his luck ran out when Wakamotoharu was able to set up a sukuinage in response to Hoshoryu’s throw attempt, and flattens him into the clay. Worse yet, Hoshoryu seems to have been injured as a result (foot?). Wakamotoharu now 5-4.

Takakeisho defeats Sadanoumi – Perhaps I have been looking at Sadanoumi all wrong. Given what has happened the last 3 days, he may in fact be a human salt seeking projectile. The prior 2 days, it was the east side salt baskets. Today it was nearly the west side one. I am almost certain that “Crap, not again!” Goes through his head at the moment the oshidashi connects. Takakeisho now sole leader at 8-1 as he secures his kachi-koshi for Hatsu.

Hatsu Day 9 Preview

With the middle day behind us, it’s on to week 2. In Juryo, Asanoyama continues to dominate, now 8-0 and kachi-koshi. He won his day 8 match against Gonoyama handily. While some of his opponents put up a good fight, Asanoyama shows Ozeki level flexibility with plans B and C at the ready. I am starting to think we may just see him at the bottom of the Makuuchi banzuke in March. Fair warning to the lower Maegashira.

Hatsu Leaderboard

Three of the 5 men who had a share of the lead starting day 8 took a loss. This is not at all unexpected, and to be honest I think the eventual yusho winner will have 2 or 3 losses in their final score. Yes, this means I think someone is going to put dirt on Takakeisho in week 2.

Leaders: Takakeisho, Kotoshoho
Chasers: Hoshoryu, Daieisho, Onosho, Aoiyama, Azumaryu, Takarafuji

7 Matches Remain

What We Are Watching Day 9

Chiyomaru vs Mitoryu – Sadly, this could be the day that 1-7 Chiyomaru gets his 8th loss and is both make-koshi, and consigned as the first crew member of the Juryo barge of the damned. He’s been aboard many times before, but it’s always sad to see him go. He’s never lost to Mitoryu (3-5) in 6 matches, but that may not matter for much today, as Chiyomaru is hurt and not fighting well.

Tsurugisho vs Atamifuji – Atamifuji is today’s Juryo vistor. He’s at 3-5, and unlikely to hit his 8 wins and stake any kind of bid for promotion to the top division. His opponent is doing really doing any better. At 2-5, Tsurugisho may find himself spared from the Juryo barge by all the other rikishi in line ahead of him, in spite of what is likely going to be a losing record at Maegashira 15.

Kagayaki vs Azumaryu – I am going to predict now that Kagayaki is on the short list to be part of “Team Darwin” on day 15. His sumo has been lack-luster, and his 4-4 score is right on the line between make and kachi-koshi. His 6-2 opponent, Azumaryu, is now just 2 wins away from his first ever kachi-koshi in the top division. I know it’s silly, but I really want to see the fellow finally have it happen after being in sumo this long, and trying at least 4 times before.

Chiyoshoma vs Takarafuji – Also likely on the road to make-koshi is Chiyoshoma, who seems to be missing something important in his sumo right now: power. Could be he has an injury that keeps him from applying full force. But at 2-6 he’s on the make-koshi trail. As the last man on the banzuke, his opponent Takarafuji has some breathing room at 6-2. But everyone is aware he is nursing an injured hand. Chiyoshoma leads the series 9-7.

Kotoshoho vs Hiradoumi – Kotoshoho has a 7-1 score going into today, which gives him a share of the lead in the yusho race. I don’t expect him to hang onto that spot, as he will get tougher opponents in the coming week if he keeps winning. His sumo caught my eye early, and I am very happy to see him doing well. Hopefully he is focused on kachi-koshi with a win today over 5-3 Hiradoumi, who is likely headed for at least 8 himself. They have split their two prior matches.

Aoiyama vs Ichiyamamoto – Hopefully 6-2 Aoiyama will forego any grappling or battle hugs today, and go straight toe to toe with the V-Twin against 5-3 Ichiyamamoto’s morotsuki. I suspect the V-Twin will prevail, but I would love to see this played out today.

Kotoeko vs Endo – Two more rikishi that I think are headed for Darwin, with their matching 4-4 scores. At this point even a single win won’t be enough to steer them off the shoals of a 7-7 day 15 record. They have split their 4 prior matches 2-2, so this one is statistically at toss up.

Takanosho vs Myogiryu – I truly want Takanosho to bounce back to his previous form, where he was a confirmed member of the San’yaku, and looked certain to stay there for a good while. Now with a 4-4 record, he seems to be struggling at Maegashira 9, which is not where he belongs. If to helps, he has 2-6 Myogiryu, but his fans can’t be sure he will win this one, such is the quality of his sumo this January.

Hokutofuji vs Onosho – I am surprised to see Onosho at 6-2, as I thought he would keep pace with fellow tadpole Takakeisho a bit longer. But 6-2 still has him firmly headed for kachi-koshi, and maybe even double digits if things go well. He has 5-3 Hokutofuji today, who has proven versatile and tough to defeat. Hokutofuji has been able to endure attacks that would have eliminated others, and pushed through to win. They share a 8-7 career record.

Oho vs Nishikigi – A loss today, and 1-7 Oho may be an early member of the make-koshi club. He has never lost to 5-3 Nishikigi, but something is going on with Nishikigi this month. He’s looking very sharp, strong and confident on the clay. It would be wonderful to see him back in the joi-jin when Terunofuji returns.

Nishikifuji vs Ura – I have hopes that Ura can hit an 8 win kachi-koshi this January. He’s been fighting well enough, and has a workable 5-3 score starting day 9. Nishikifuji is in worse shape at 3-5, and given his rank is probably not done facing san’yaku opponents yet. Ura won their only prior match, on day 1 of Kyushu last year.

Abi vs Midorifuji – Is Abi fading out? Or is he just up against opponents that are able to disrupt and shut down his double arm thrusting attacks? He lost the only prior match to 4-4 Midorifuji, which was on the final day of the basho held in July of 2021, prior to Abi’s suspension. I am pretty sure the back-to-back yusho idea is long gone, but I would like to see him at the top of the rank and file for Osaka.

Tobizaru vs Tamawashi – We have high mobility Tamawashi (5-3) against extreme mobility Tobizaru (3-5). Tamawashi won two of their three matches in 2022, and I think he may be dominant today, too. He comes in with two consecutive wins against former Ozeki: Shodai and Mitakeumi. If that’s not a boost, I don’t know what is.

Meisei vs Mitakeumi – Speaking of the relic that is Mitakeumi, here he is fighting Meisei. Both are 3-5, and at least for Mitakeumi, a make-koshi would further push him down the banzuke. This whole demotion swirl has to be attributable to some kind of injury or illness that has robbed him of this power and drive, and frankly it’s no fun for anyone. Even though Mitakeumi holds a 9-3 career advantage, I favor Meisei to win this one today.

Daieisho vs Kotonowaka – 6-2 Daieisho’s day 8 loss to Meisei knocked him out of a co-leader spot, but I don’t think for a moment he’s lost any of his sumo power. He’s probably still dialed up to “launch mode”, and 3-5 Kotonowaka is the next payload. Kotonowaka managed to put together three wins in a row starting day 5, but other than that it has been loss upon loss, and I think that Daieisho is going to be tough to beat today.

Wakatakakage vs Ryuden – Normally, I would think Wakatakakage (4-4) is the easy choice to win this one. But he has been a far cry from his double digit winning self. Even though ranked much further down the banzuke, I think Ryuden (5-3) has to be slightly favored today, as he is fighting much better than Wakatakakage this January.

Kiribayama vs Shodai – Sadly, the predictions last year that Shodai would follow Mitakeumi down a path of demotion and into the lower reaches of the banzuke are correct. With his 6th loss on day 8, he has not opportunity to resume his Ozeki rank, and if he does not win 5 of the last 7 matches, he will be make-koshi and may have to vacate the san’yaku all together. Kiribayama, at 5-3, is fighting well enough to give Shodai, even if Shodai were genki right now. Which he is not.

Wakamotoharu vs Hoshoryu – Hoshoryu’s 6-2 features that dopey day 8 henka, which was not a boss move at all. “But he won, and henkas are permitted in the rules!” I can hear the chorus now. Yes, correct. But not the kind of sumo that should be on offer from a man who hopes to convince the sumo elders he should be given a higher, more permanent rank. I think that if 4-4 Wakamotoharu can get a grip, he has a fair chance of giving him a black star today.

Sadanoumi vs Takakeisho – I am starting to feel a bit sorry for 2-6 Sadanoumi. The guy has had some rough matches, and has been to visit that salt basket twice already. Takakeisho 7-1 has a habit of getting opponents moving at speed, and I sure hope he does not toss him back down the hanamichi again today. A win today for Takakeisho would be kachi-koshi, likely on his way to double digit wins for January.

Hatsu Day 8 Highlights

Did the Hatsu basho take a pause, or a day off to celebrate the mid-point at Nakabi? Oh hell no! The quality sumo keeps rolling, as the Yokozuna is on holiday, and the promotion lanes are wide open. I must give special mention to Ozeki Takakeisho. The lone survivor of a crop of Ozeki that have all fallen to wreck and ruin, he is now holding court at the top of the banzuke. The Isegahama squad has given him a set of tough matches, and he showed surprisingly versatile sumo in the past two days, defeating Midorifuji and Nishkifuji in intense matches that left the crowd screaming for more.

In the course of day 8, most of the 6-1 crowd took their second loss, leaving just Takakeisho and Kotoshoho at 7-1. Both of them are on the cusp of hitting their 8th win, and their kachi-koshi on day 9.

Highlight Matches

Hokuseiho defeats Mitoryu – It was another day in the park for Hokuseiho. He calmly grabbed Mitoryu, jostled him a bit to consolidate his grip, and then lifted and walked ahead. Yeah, that’s some big sumo. He returns to Juryo 6-2. I want to see him fight Asanoyama.

Kotoshoho defeats Chiyomaru – Chiyomaru has nothing to offer, the poor fellow. It’s a shame that he gets to come back to the top division, but shows up hurt. His initial attack does not even land, and he gets dominated by Kotoshoho, who is now 7-1 and owns a share of the lead.

Takarafuji defeats Kotoeko – Takarafuji inches closer to his rescue kachi-koshi to affirm his place in the top division. A quick “stand him up, pull him down” combo from Takarafuji was all that was needed today. He’s 6-2.

Ichiyamamoto defeats Chiyoshoma – Classic Ichiyamamoto sumo today, he keeps Chiyoshoma at distance, and under fire. Chiyoshoma tries a couple of moves in closer, but just cannot get into range to grab any part of Ichiyamamoto’s body. Chiyoshoma falls to a hatakikomi as Ichiyamamoto improves to 5-3.

Azumaryu defeats Aoiyama – Aoiyama executed his normal attack plan, albeit with less of the V-Twin than I would like to see. He was perhaps a bit too eager in his pull down attempt, catching Azumaryu firmly planted on his feet, but putting him self too far forward. The reciprocal hatakikomi the match, with Aoiyama face first into the bales. Both end the day 6-2, with Azumaryu needing just 2 more wins for his first ever top division kachi-koshi.

Hiradoumi defeats Tsurugisho – It was a battle to see if Hiradoumi would get Tsurugisho out, or if his mawashi would fall off first. Rightly fearing what kind of horror such an incident might unleash Hiradoumi doubled and tripled his effort. It only made Tsurugisho’s tenuously fastened garment dismantle more rapidly. I was certain the HNK cameramen were about to pan to the ceiling, when Hiradoumi heroically saved us all by placing Tsurugisho out, trailing a substantial fraction of his mawashi. Hiradoumi now 5-3, with all of our gratitude as a bonus.

Kagayaki defeats Takanosho – Takanosho supplied all of the offense for the first part of this match, pushing hard into Kagayaki. Kagayaki waited for Takanosho to put his hands inside, then clamped down with his elbows, trapping him. Some nice butsugari followed, and Kagayaki ended by releasing forward pressure slapping Takanosho down. Both end the day 4-4.

Ura defeats Endo – Endo really flubbed the tachiai here, he could not get any hand placement, and tried to slap Ura’s hands away. Instead he opened his chest to attack. Ura responded with a solid attack, and Endo could not recover. Ura improves to 5-3.

Hokutofuji defeats Oho – At least we can tell from this match that Oho is not completely helpless. He was able to absorb Hokutofuji’s initial combo, and even rallied to push Hokutofuji back, and crank on Hokutofuji’s head a bit to make sure it was properly attached. Silly Oho, you should now you can attack Hokutofuji’s upper body all you want, but his lower body will still be working on its own. Hokutofuji recovers, gets hand placement, and that lower body goes to work moving Oho out of the ring and into the front row. Hokutofuji up to 5-3, Oho one loss from make-koshi at 1-7.

Ryuden defeats Myogiryu – Myogiryu came in fast and got both hands inside. Ryuden responded by locking down his elbows, trapping Myogiryu in a kimedashi. They dance about for a short time, but Ryuden gets him out, and is now 5-3.

Nishikigi defeats Onosho – Onosho gets the advantage early, and turns on the power. To my surprise, Nishikigi captures him well, pulls him in, and then ramps up the forward power himself. It’s Onosho who breaks his balance first, allowing Nishikigi to run him out. Nice power struggle, and Nishikigi improves to 5-3.

Tamawashi defeats Mitakeumi – Tamawashi employed a unique combo of a right hand outside grip and a left hand nodowa at the same time. I wonder if part of the win was Mitakeumi’s surprise that you could turn those two into a combo. Tamawashi stampeded the original tadpole out in a hurry, and is now 5-3.

Meisei defeats Daieisho – As potent as Daieisho is right now, I was floored that Meisei was able to pace Daieisho, but actually overpowered him. I think the key was that Meisei focused on entangling Daieisho’s arms, and keeping that thrusting attack offline. Excellent match plan, and a well earned win. Meisei now 3-5.

Tobizaru defeats Kotonowaka – Another match where Tobizaru is an agent of chaos? Nobody should be the least bit surprised. A wild start that saw both men lose contact for a moment, they settled in chest to chest, with Kotonowaka too high, and in trouble. Kotonowaka was starting to get an offense together, when a Tobizaru leg sweep put him on the clay. Fantastic move from Tobizaru, and both end the day 3-5.

Kiribayama defeats Abi – Interesting opening from Kiribayama. He absorbs the initial double arm thrust, leaps forward to clear Abi’s targeting area, and immediately thrusts Abi back. It works quite well, and Abi is out by oshidashi. Surprising, inventive and effective. Good show Kiribayama! Both are now 5-3.

Wakamotoharu defeats Shodai – Shodai’s path to return to Ozeki is now gone. With his 6th loss, he can no longer reach the 10-5 record he would need to resume his post in sumo’s second highest rank. Shodai nearly had him. A solid tachiai, a good grapple and a powerful forward rush. But Wakamotoharu was able to stop him, reverse him and walk him out. Something got rid of Shodai’s forward power months ago, and this is the culmination of that. Wakamotoharu is now 4-4.

Hoshoryu defeats Sadanoumi – A henka from Hoshoryu sends Sadanoumi into that same salt basket he visited yesterday when Daieisho launched him down range. Not quite what I was hoping for, but ok… Hoshoryu now 6-2.

Wakatakakage defeats Midorifuji – Midorifuji’s grip on Wakatakakage is nothing like what he thought it was, and as he went to rotate into some kind of throw, he instead presented his back to Wakatakakage, and lost by okuridashi as a result. Both are now 4-4.

Takakeisho defeats Nishikifuji – Another big brawl in the final match of the day, I love it. We got to see the wave-action tsuppari, we got to see Nishikifuji rally and drive Takakeisho back. And that finish! How does a 185kg ur-dumpling do that? It was glorious, and Takakeisho is now 7-1.

Hatsu Day 8 Preview

It’s Nakabi! The middle day of the basho. It’s a magical time when everyone still has a chance, and anything can happen. We are one week away from the final day, and the awarding of the Emperor’s Cup. This middle day fight card has plenty of interest, as it seems the upper Maegashira ware taking it to the San’yaku in glorious style. In most tournaments, it’s the named ranks that extract wins from the rest of the joi-jin. But this time, it seems that a handful of rikishi in the top Maegashira ranks are out for the cup, and are taking the fight to anyone who stands in their way.

Part of this is what is making this tournament a cut above some of the other recent basho in terms of excitement, for me.

Because everyone has at least one loss, and at least one win, nobody will get their make-koshi or kachi-koshi today, though we might see that tomorrow. Today is a day where all options are still open. It’s also the day we get our first look at the yusho race, with the leader board.

Hatsu Leaderboard

The leader group is 5 men wide, with 4 in the chasers. I have my hopes that this boils down to a final weekend brawl to end it all, with multiple options for the yusho on the final day of the tournament. With this many strong contenders, I think it just might happen.

Leaders: Takakeisho, Daieisho, Onosho, Aoiyama, Kotoshoho
Chasers: Hoshoryu, Abi, Azumaryu, Takarafuji

8 Matches Remain

What We Are Watching Day 8

Hokuseiho vs Mitoryu – Today’s Juryo visitor is Hokuseiho (5-2), a protoge of the former dai-Yokozuna, Hakuho. He’s been in professional sumo for just under 3 years, and a kachi-koshi this month should give me a fair chance of making his top division debut in March. Wow. He started his career with three consecutive yusho, clearing Jonokuchi, Jonidan and Sandanme in a single tournament each. Interestingly enough, Mitoryu (3-4) has fought him once before, and won! Could be a real kick to see these two fight to start the day.

Kotoshoho vs Chiyomaru – Chiyomaru won’t get his make-koshi today, but it can’t be too far down the road. At 1-6, he’s injured and not really able to fight at top division power. He’s up against 6-1 Kotoshoho, who has beaten him in both of their prior matches. I think this one could be ugly.

Takarafuji vs Kotoeko – Takarafuji (5-2) has already beaten his terrible record from Kyushu, where he had only 3 wins at the end of the tournament. But to remain in the top division, he’s going to need to find 3 more over the last 8 days. I think he has a strong chance over 4-3 Kotoeko, who is perennially part of the Darwin group on day 15.

Chiyoshoma vs Ichiyamamoto – I would love to see 2-5 Chiyoshoma deliver a few more strong, straight forward sumo matches this tournament. He’s high enough at M11 that he would not likely worry about demotion if he should fall short of his 8, but I know this guy has a lot of unused potential right now. He’s 2-2 against Ichiyamamoto (4-3), who is likewise starting to look a bit frayed around the edges as we cross the middle of the 15 day basho.

Aoiyama vs Azumaryu – Folks probably recognize that I am pulling for grizzled veteran Azumaryu (5-2) to finally get his first top division kachi-koshi after multiple attempts over the last few years. Something about it just speaks to me. But he’s got 6-1 Aoiyama today, and Aoiyama has tuned up the V-Twin and is going to ride that sumo as far as he can. Do not be surprised if he is in the running for the up in the middle of week 2.

Tsurugisho vs Hiradoumi – Tsurugisho (2-5) still as a long shot change of making it to 8, but it is a long shot. The good news is that with people retiring, people going kyujo and getting booted back to Juryo and a host of other one-off conditions, even a mild make-koshi at M15 this time may keep him around. He should still try to get his first ever career win over 4-3 Hiradoumi today.

Takanosho vs Kagayaki – I think both of these guys are headed straight for the Darwin pool at the end of day 14. We have 4-3 Takanosho, and 3-4 Kagayaki. Neither one of them have been able to distinguish themselves from the crowd this January, and I would encourage them to crank up the intensity.

Endo vs Ura – High interest match here. Both come into today 4-3. Endo will be looking for a bounce back win after losing day 7 to Kotoshoho. Ura may be ready to re-embrace his grab-and-tug sumo, as it’s been what has been working for him this tournament. Endo, tighten and lubricate your fittings!

Hokutofuji vs Oho – Like Chiyomaru, Oho (1-6) is a make-koshi walking right now. I don’t know what is plaguing him, but he needs to get it sorted out. He can still move quite well, but his sumo lacks power and focus. Because of that, I think that 4-3 Hokutofuji is going to have his way with Oho today.

Ryuden vs Myogiryu – What I am enjoying about Ryuden (4-3) this tournament is that he seems to be able to put up a good fight against anyone he faces right now. Even if he does not win, he’s always giving them a tough match. I think today he has the upper hand against 2-5 Myogiryu, who gave Oho his only win, yesterday.

Onosho vs Nishikigi – Oh, here is a lovely bit of sumo! We have two guys who have shown significant forward power this tournament, going head to head. Onosho (6-1) showed us some yotsu-sumo on day 7, and won. Nishikigi (4-3) will usually only fight chest to chest. Which way will this one go? Who will dictate the form of this match?

Mitakeumi vs Tamawashi – Thirty two (32) prior matches favor Mitakeumi 27-5. But that does not tell the entire story. At 3-4, Mitakeumi is in real danger for a fifth consecutive losing record, which is just brutal given that prior to 2022, he was quite consistently producing winning scores. Tamawashi (4-3) has lost 3 of the last 4, but may be able to rally for this match against his old nemesis.

Meisei vs Daieisho – Let’s see, who is training ballast for 6-1 Daieisho today… It’s 2-5 Meisei, who may be small enough that Daieisho can get him farther down range than he did Sadanoumi on day 7. With an 11-2 career lead against Meisei, this could be an ugly match.

Tobizaru vs Kotonowaka – As the top man in the rank-and-file, Tobizaru has been having a rough tournament. He’s only won twice (2-5), and many of his acrobatic tricks of the past are not paying off this time. Is it the sumo? Is it the man? We may ever know. He’s going to try and find his 3rd win today against 3-4 Kotonowaka.

Kiribayama vs Abi – Abi (5-2) lost his second match on day 7, dropping out of the leader group. The chances that the yusho winner will only have a single loss are rather thin at this point, so if he can return to winning day to day, he will likely have a chance to take a second turn in the leader group. He has 4-3 Kiribayama today, who seems to be struggling a bit to deliver consistent, good sumo right now.

Wakamotoharu vs Shodai – Sure, let’s see who else can beat Shodai (2-5) right now. Did we ever hear any rumors about what is broken or busted on Shodai? It’s just not right that he would hit the skids like this, his training buddy Yutakayama would call it quits, and the whole top end of that stable fall to ruin. I would give an edge today to 3-4 Wakamotoharu, just because his life is not a dumpster fire, and he can probably deliver quality sumo today.

Sadanoumi vs Hoshoryu – Sadanoumi (2-5) going out of the frying pan and into the fire. After his ejection at the hands of Daieisho on day 7, he’s going to take a turn with 5-2 Hoshoryu. He has a 3-3 career record against him, but in spite of two losses, I think Hoshoryu is fighting some of his best sumo ever right now.

Wakatakakage vs Midorifuji – After the fight 4-3 Midorifuji delivered on day 7, Wakatakakage (3-4) should be careful. Already on the path to Darwin, he’s got to consolidate and get back to good balance, good stance, and forward sumo in control. It’s a pain that he’s not been able to produce much the last two basho, but then again he may be hurt. Tear him up Midorifuji.

Nishikifuji vs Takakeisho – Having shocked the world by winning with a throw, I think Takakeisho should go the route, and win today with a flying henka. Not just a regular one, a full “in the air” style one that Chiyoshoma or Harumafuji might use. Oh, that’s right, you are 6-1 and trying to make the case you might want to be Yokozuna one day, and that would not help. Ok, so be it. Just toss 3-4 Nishikifuji out of the ring instead, please.