The start of act 3 delivered some great matches, as the final push by the 3 Ozeki hopefuls runs squarely into the tougher part of their schedules. Both Wakamotoharu and Hakuoho earned their kachi-koshi today with an 8th win, as the roster of rikishi with winning records grows to 7.

Following the loss by Hokutofuji to give Wakamotoharu that 8th win, Nishikigi stands alone on the leaderboard for the Emperor’s cup. Seriously, what kind of crazy time line / universe are we in right now? One party glorious, one part WTF. This is the sumo I am here for, as we have 4 more matches before someone goes home with the hardware. It could be a screamer down to the wire, and I could not be happier.

Highlight Matches

Ryuden defeats Daishoho – Ryuden keeps it simple, getting a left hand frontal grip at the tachiai which Daishoho manages to break. From there its morozashi and some belly bumping to bounce Daishoho back and then out. Ryuden is now one step closer to kachi-koshi at 7-4.

Bushozan defeats Chiyoshoma – Chiyoshoma was far too focused on Bushozan’s head and face. That included head pulls, face slaps and generally focusing on attacks as high as he could. Bushozan got down to business center-mass and took care of business, still make-koshi, but now 3-8.

Aoiyama defeats Tsurugisho – Battle of the banged up behemoths, it was a classic Aoiyama “stand him up and pull him down” as the hatakikomi hit almost at once. Given Tsurugisho’s poor condition this basho, it was almost certain to work. Tsurugisho is now make-koshi at 3-8, Aoiyama improves to 5-6.

Kotoshoho defeats Kinbozan – Quite the straightforward oshi-zumo match from these two. They spent most of the time standing their ground and shove-hitting each other with as much upper body motion as they could muster while keeping their balance. It was Kinbozan who broke Kotoshoho balance first, but as Kotoshoho stepped away, Kinbozan lunged to finish him. Big gamble there, as he caught Kotoshoho’s hikiotoshi and stepped out. Kotoshoho now 4-7.

Kotoeko defeats Sadanoumi – For a moment I thought that Sadanoumi would dominate this match. He opened strong, set up a good working hand hold and immediately had Kotoeko stepping back. But at the third step, Kotoeko loaded up a sukuinage and laid Sadanoumi out on the clay. This guy cannot catch a break. Kotoeko improves to 5-6.

Hakuoho defeats Takayasu – Whatever is damaged in Takayasu’s body seems to limit him to about 5 seconds of sumo. After that he is easy meat. About about the “5” count, we see Takayasu shift his stance and try some kind of headlock rotation-pull-something. That works so poorly that it sets up an immediate okuridashi, giving Hakuoho his 8th win, and kachi-koshi for July at 8-3.

Hokuseiho defeats Myogiryu – Hokuseiho is still overly reliant on that right hand, but it was good to see him employ a somewhat modified form today. He was able to make some offensive moves with his left to keep Myogiryu from defending against the right, and that led to a workable yorikiri. Good to see. Both end the day 5-6.

Onosho defeats Gonoyama – Ah, youth. Gonoyama seems to want to go power-to-power with Onosho, which granted would be massive fun if you had the body and skill of Gonoyama. But this is not practice, it’s honbasho. Onosho works defense for 2 steps, then pivots and lets Gonoyama eat the sukuinage and a face full of clay. Both end the day 6-5.

Takanosho defeats Hiradoumi – Takanosho’s right hand did the bulk of the work in this fight, one that he very nearly lost. Hiradoumi was giving a lot of pressure back to Takanosho, but that right hand kept connecting high on Hiradoumi’s body, forcing him back. Hiradoumi cleverly deflected as he stepped back, putting Takanosho off balance, but Takanosho had just enough connection to earth to lay one more right on Hiradoumi, sending him out before he hit the clay. Hiradoumi, who has been fighting well, now make-koshi at 3-8. Takanosho improves to 6-5.

Ura defeats Nishikifuji – Good to see Ura continue his absolute dominance over Nishikifuji, and snap his 4 match losing streak today. Once Ura connected a hand to Nishikifuji’s mawashi, it was all forward pressure and quick, small steps to rush Nishikifuji out. Both end the day at 5-6.

Oho defeats Midorifuji – A wild, chaotic and out of control match that had the gyoji on the run trying to stay out of the way. It ended with both off balance and stepping wherever they could, and Midorifuji out. Midorifuji pick up his 8th loss and is now make-koshi, Oho avoids the same fate by improving to 4-7.

Shodai defeats Mitakeumi – This battle of the battered former Ozeki was all Shodai from the tachiai. Mitakeumi never really was able to get his feet set, or get any kind of defense started as Shodai ramped up the pressure and walked him out. Shodai now 5-9.

Tobizaru defeats Meisei – Meisei seemed to be committed to keeping Tobizaru front and center, which is usually a good idea. Tobizaru played along, to his advantage. After about 4 volleys between the two, Tobizaru stepped back, then to the side at the worst possible time for Meisei. The hatakikomi sent Meisei to the clay, and advanced Tobizaru to 6-5.

Nishikigi defeats Endo – One of the things I love about sumo is some of the small, subtle things that happen that you can only enjoy watching the video where you can pause, slow step and rewind as much as you want. One of Endo’s signature moves is that frontal grab at the tachiai. Watch Nishikigi’s block that he rolls into and inside body hold before Endo can defend. Endo breaks Nishikigi’s right hand loose, but the left hand is in play as Nishikigi powers forward and takes Endo out of the ring before Endo can counter. Whatever kami has a hold of Nishikigi, it’s glorious and I hope the whole lovely cinderella story continues. He is now 10-1.

Takarafuji defeats Abi – Long standing sumo fans were in on the joke embedded in this match. Abi’s double arm thrusting attack is always aimed at his opponent’s neck. Takarafuji has no neck, as it was surgically removed following a tragic accident when he was just a boy. Left with nothing to attack, Abi blindly tries to hit something that simply is not there, making him an easy mark for Takarafuji to bodily thrust and slap out of the ring. Takarafuji now 7-4.

Kotonowaka defeats Shonannoumi – Shonannoumi sets up a right hand outside grip early, and after a brief battle for stance, rotates into a throw. But he’s completely overlooked where he is in the ring, and steps well out before he can complete the rotation. Match goes to Kotonowaka, and both end the day 7-4.

Hoshoryu defeats Tamawashi – Tamawashi really wanted that nodowa, he worked to reestablish it after Hoshoryu broke through the first time, and was working for a third one as Hoshoryu put all of his force against Tamawashi’s chest and shoved him out. 9-2 now for Hoshoryu, who need just 3 more wins to get to 33.

Wakamotoharu defeats Hokutofuji – Impressive sumo from Wakamotoharu today. He endured Hokutofuji’s opening attacks, which tend to disrupt his opponents enough to allow him to finish. But Wakamotoharu stayed calm, focused and managed a left hand inside belt grip, which set the terms of the match that followed. Hokutofuji countered, but without more than a couple layers of silk in his hand, he did not have enough purchase to lift or move Wakamotoharu. Wakamotoharu countered with a strong advance and a commanding yorikiri, knocking Hokutofuji off the leader position and giving Wakamotoharu his kachi-koshi victory at 8-3. He needs all of his 4 remaining matches to hit 33.

Kirishima defeats Daieisho – Brilliant defensive strategy by Kirishima, he ensured that Daieisho could not square his shoulders or his hips, and deflected Daieisho’s first two volley attempts. The failed thrusts left Daieisho dangerously off balance, which his feet in the wrong spot as Kirishima delivered a hatakikomi to put Daieisho on the clay. Kirishima now 5-6.

With day 11, we are at the start of the third and final act of the 2023 Nagoya basho. Act 3 is where we sort everyone into make-koshi or kachi-kochi, and someone wins the yusho. We will start to see the schedule include matches with huge rank gaps, as we are going to see a tendency toward “interesting” combinations, or matches to keep the three groups – kachi-koshi, make-koshi, and middle / Darwin, guided toward their outcomes. We also have two story lines that will wrap up in the final 5 days.

Ozeki Hopefuls – there are three of them: Daieisho, Hoshoryu and Wakamotoharu, all who might possible hit 33 wins and make a bid to be promoted. Daieisho needs 11 wins (must win 3 of his final 5 matches), Hoshoryu needs 12 wins (must win 4 of his 5 remaining matches), and Wakamotoharu needs 12 wins (must win all of his final 5 matches). Odds are best that Daieisho makes it, about even for Hoshoryu, and growing mighty slim for Wakamotoharu. With each of them entering the “hard” part of their schedule, this is where the losses may show up and scuttle their runs. Also, do not be surprised if the NSK decide to make some or all of them who get to 33 wait another tournament for whatever reason they cook up.

Yusho Race – The schedulers now have 2 men with 9-1 records, and ideally they could get dirt on both of them one more time leading into the final weekend to open up the race to Daieisho and Hoshoryu, which would cause the Ozeki run and the yusho race to intersect. I am not sure what kami is powering Nishikigi right now, but it’s on a mission and wants our adorable bottom heavy cinderella to contend until the end.

Nagoya Leaderboard

Nishikigi continues to have the better path to the yusho, having already defeated the san’yaku in week 1. Hokutofuji starts his tour through the named ranks today, and we may see some of the best sumo of his career.

Leaders: Nishikigi, Hokutofuji
Chasers: Hoshoryu, Daieisho, Endo
Hunter Group: Wakamotoharu, Shonannoumi, Hakuoho

5 Matches Remain

What We Are Watching Day 11

Daishoho (4-6) vs Ryuden (6-4) – Ryuden’s straight ahead sumo on day 10 against Myogiryu would be an excellent plan for today. He has a 5-3 career record against the much heavier Daishoho. They will both likely try to go chest to chest, so it will come down to Ryuden getting his preferred grip at the Tachiai, or if Daishoho can shut it down.

Chiyoshoma (5-5) vs Bushozan (2-8) – Bushozan is already make-koshi at 2-8, so he may be set for a trip on the Juryo barge back to the lower division. I look forward to lksumo’s prognostication on the subject in the coming week. Will that motivate him to try and get to a 7-8 final score to ease his drop, or will he let Chiyoshoma take him apart? Hey, isn’t it about time for a henka?

Aoiyama (4-6) vs Tsurugisho (3-7) – A loss today would have make-koshi for Tsurugisho, and I think that with a 5-3 career advantage, Aoiyama has at least a decent chance of getting that result. They are both hurt, moving poorly, and unable to execute the kind of sumo that wins matches for them. Should be a genuine struggle with heaping servings of painful expressions and winces of agony.

Kinbozan (6-4) vs Kotoshoho (3-7) – Kotoshoho’s next loss will be make-koshi for him, but he’s ranked high enough at M13 that he should be safe from the demotion queue. Kinbozan lost their only prior match, day 1 of Natsu, by yorikiri. Expect he will have a better defense set up this time.

Sadanoumi (2-8) vs Kotoeko (4-6) – Sadanoumi is hurt, and not likely to be able to generate much if any sumo offensive power. I have to wonder if he’s being used to “rescue” scores of some other rikishi, or it’s simply a matter of “he has to fight someone”. At 4-6, Kotoeko needs every win he can find. Kotoeko holds a 10-5 career advantage.

Takayasu (5-5) vs Hakuoho (7-3) – First ever match, and I wonder if Takayasu has enough energy and health left to give this guy a solid fight. Normally I criticize Takayasu’s “wild man sumo”, but I think in this match it would be the best approach. I am not sure Hakuoho has ever fought against a bear that has the strength of two bears. A win today for Hakuoho would be kachi-koshi.

Hokuseiho (4-6) vs Myogiryu (5-5) – Time for Myogiryu to try the turn and push trick with Hakuho’s giant. I can’t help but wonder if Hokuseiho was robbed of a win on day 10 against Shodai. I am sure his oyakata told him “Them’s the breaks, kid!” At the end of the day. He beat Myogiryu in their only prior match, which was day 11 of Osaka.

Gonoyama (6-4) vs Onosho (5-5) – This is a high interest match to me. You have two pretty strong rikishi, both with middling records headed for a likely day 15 Darwin match. Onosho will take this if Gonoyama makes the mistake that Wakamotoharu made on day 10 – keeping his hips and his shoulders square to Onosho and just soaking up all of that forward power Onosho can deliver. Word to the wise, hit and move, hit and move. Keep one foot back and keep your hips at 28°

Hiradoumi (3-7) vs Takanosho (5-5) – Takanosho comes in on a hot streak, with a blistering 5 wins in a row. Should he extend his run to 6, he will send plucky Hiradoumi to make-koshi on day 11. Hiradoumi holds a 2-1 career lead, winning both prior matches this year.

Nishikifuji (5-5) vs Ura (4-6) – On paper looks like a clear Ura win. But given how tenderly Ura was moving about after his day 10 loss to Kirishima, I am not even sure we will see Ura in action today. Nishikifuji has been struggling since he started a losing streak on day 4, so maybe a win today against a struggling Ura is just what Nishikifuji needs.

Midorifuji (3-7) vs Oho (3-7) – So a bit of a mini-Darwin here. Both of these guys have 7 losses, and are pretty clearly not up to fighting at the rank to which they were posted. So the loser of today’s match will be make-koshi for July. Midorifuji has won 5 of their 8 prior matches, although Oho won their match during the Natsu basho in Tokyo.

Shodai (4-6) vs Mitakeumi (2-8) – 32 career matches, with Mitakeumi holding a narrow 18-14 lead. Both of them are fighting well below their peak capabilities, and it’s kind of down to who wants the win more. Mitakeumi is already make-koshi, but up until the middle weekend, Shodai did not really seem to have any motivation.

Meisei (4-6) vs Tobizaru (5-5) – Another pair with middling records, both of them are strong candidates for day 15 “Darwin” matches. Tobizaru with a slightly better record at 5-5 has been fighting better this month. But their overall career 6-6 record would indicate they are evenly matched. Both have won a match this year, so this should be a strong head to head contest.

Nishikigi (9-1) vs Endo (8-2) – I adore this match. I love this match. This was a stroke of genius. Endo has beaten Nishikigi in 7 out of their 8 prior matches. But wait – their most recent match, day 2 of Kyushu 2022, was Nishikigi’s win. Both are already kachi-koshi, and lord only knows how this one is going to play out. I am certain they will try to go chest to chest at the tachiai. Hopefully Nishikigi is ready to block Endo’s left hand at the first step.

Takarafuji (6-4) vs Abi (4-6) – The second 15 rank gap match in a row, we have an even 6-6 career head to head between the master of defend and extend and the all out double arm thrusting attack master. Neither one of them are in top form this July, plus its hotter than Satan’s front porch in the venue. But this should be a fun contest.

Kotonowaka (6-4) vs Shonannoumi (7-3) – They could not quite muster another 15 rank gap match, so they had to settle for 14. You might think this one is going the way of the Komusubi, no questions asked. But no sir! These two have fought twice before, and split them 1:1. These were back when Kotonowaka was known as Kotokamatani. They had a match on day 15 of Osaka 2019 that Kotonowaka won, and then all the way back on day 3 of Hatsu 2017, Shonannoumi won. Hey, Act 3 is all about these kind of fights. Bring them on!

Hoshoryu (8-2) vs Tamawashi (6-4) – Ok, the fun stuff is good, but it’s time to torture some Ozeki hopefuls, and maybe a yusho race leader too. Hoshoryu has dominated his matches with Tamawashi at 7-3 over their careers, winning 6 of the last 7 matches. So it’s a fair chance that he will dominate Tamawashi today. That being said, don’t count Tamawashi out. He may want to play spoiler, and give a most potent nodowa to Hoshoryu for good measure.

Hokutofuji (9-1) vs Wakamotoharu (7-3) – As mentioned above, Wakamotoharu has to win all of his final 5 matches to reach 33 wins. Put that up against a surprisingly genki Hokutofuji who needs to win to stay in the leader slot for the yusho race. Make sure you have a big glass of sake and a bowl of popcorn for this one. I predict fireworks.

Daieisho (8-2) vs Kirishima (4-4-2) – Daieisho comes up against the lone, partially functioning Ozeki. He needs 3 wins out of his final 5 to hit 33, and I wonder how much sumo Kirishima can deliver. He needs 4 of his last 5 to avoid kadoban for September, which is most likely why he came back to competition after going kyujo, and still appearing to be hurt. The career score is 7-6, narrowly in Kirishima’s favor, with Kirishima winning the majority of their prior matches this year.

Act 2 starts with fireworks as we see one of the leaders take a loss, two of the Ozeki hopefuls take losses, and some high energy / high creativity sumo in nearly every match. The heat is crushing everyone this summer in Japan, but its fantastic to see the rikishi corps fight with everything they have for their wins. For those looking for new Ozeki to be minted following the tournament, the next 4 days are where the prove their merit or go down hard trying. Fingers crossed at least one of them makes it.

Highlight Matches

Shonannoumi defeats Bushozan – A super sweaty Shonannoumi absorbs Bushozan’s tachiai from a high stance, and immediately thrusts him down. They listed the kimarite as uwatedashinage, but that looked like a tsukiotoshi to me. Ah well. Simple but effective and Shonannoumi is now one win away from kachi-koshi at 7-3. For Bushozan, that is loss #8 and he is make-koshi.

Gonoyama defeats Takarafuji – Takarafuji takes his second consecutive loss as Gonoyama stops his losing streak at 4. I think it came down to Takarafuji trying to change up his grip, and leaving himself open to Gonoyama’s attacks center-mass. Both end the day 6-4.

Aoiyama defeats Kotoshoho – Kotoshoho allowed his initial stance to be disrupted by Aoiyama’s immediate pull attempt after the tachiai. Caught without a foot in front to steady himself against the pull, he stumbled forward and out. Aoiyama picks up the white star and is now 4-6.

Endo defeats Chiyoshoma – Chiyoshoma’s plan seems to have centered around a strong pull with the left hand on the second step. It brought Endo forward, but also brought him full force into Chiyoshoma’s chest. A quick shove followed, and Chiyoshoma was out. Endo now kachi-koshi at 8-2 and escapes any peril he might have been in ranked so far down the banzuke.

Hakuoho defeats Kotoeko – In this first ever match, I am quite sure Kotoeko was not quite sure what to expect from Hakuoho. There seems to have been an assumption that he might be able to plant a foot and set up some kind of defense to allow himself to get a grip. Instead Hakuoho goes in hard, breaks Kotoeko’s stance and butsugari’s his shapely behind right out of the ring. Hakuoho now 7-3. Note to future Hakuoho opponents, he has a lot of power forward.

Ryuden defeats Myogiryu – Ryuden executes an outstanding impersonation of Terunofuji with that double arm lock / kimidashi hold, and even finishes in one of Terunofuji’s preferred moves, the kotenage. Myogiryu takes a tumble, and Ryuden is now 6-4.

Takanosho defeats Daishoho – Takanosho has now won 5 straight matches, and this is the rally I am here for sumo fans. This guy has a lot of headroom if he’s healthy, and I pray he can stay healthy for a while now. The far more massive Daishoho made him work for it, and I really liked his defensive stance and that finishing move looked like it won the match by dropping Takanosho on the clay. But a monoii ensued and a rematch was declared. The second run – Daishoho dials up the power at the tachiai, but the two settle into almost the exact same grip and stance as the first try. But this time Takanosho has far better foot placement, and is able to drive Daishoho out three steps later. Takanosho earns his star today and is 5-5.

Tsurugisho defeats Sadanoumi – My compliments to Tsurugisho, for finding a way to defeat someone while barley having to move your feet. It was a rapid push – pull – turn – toss that let him stay more or less in the same place and put Sadanoumi out of the ring. Sadanoumi now 2-8 and make-koshi while Tsurugisho improves to 3-7.

Kinbozan defeats Takayasu – As a long suffering Takayasu fan, it’s clear the man is back to being injured. Maybe he never stopped, but his big power sumo is nowhere to be found right now. Kinbozan deflects or dodges at the tachiai, gets enough of a hand on Takayasu to escort him past and then shoves him out. Simply, kind of ugly, but a win. Kinbozan is 6-4 and Takayasu looks angry.

Hokutofuji defeats Tamawashi – One of the big matches of the day, Hokutofuji successfully defends his spot at the front of the yusho race. I had been hoping for much more brutal oshizumo today, but Tamawashi lost traction and took a fall. They called it oshitaoshi, but yeah.. ok. Hokutofuji takes the win and is 9-1.

Nishikifuji defeats Oho – Oho tries a thrust-thrust-pull combo a couple of times in a row. It nearly works the first time, and after that it was just slop. With no defensive sumo coming from Oho, Nishikifuji finds center mass and pushes with everything he can land. The result was a tsukidashi that sent Oho off to visit Nishikigi waiting ring side. Nishikifuji improves to 5-5.

Shodai defeats Hokuseiho – I am really glad to see Shodai attempt a “wall of daikon” against Hokuseiho, because I was curious if it would work. Short answer – I bet it could be made to work, but it came up a bit short today. Hokuseiho tossed Shodai from the ring, but rather than a victory, there was a monoii. The shimpan ruled that Hokuseiho’s size 18 gunboats were over the tawara, and the win went to Shodai. Frankly, I did not see it, and they should have had them fight it again. Both end the day 4-6.

Nishikigi defeats Meisei – Meisei brought a lot of power and skill into the match today, and twice he nearly had Nishikigi ready to fall. But that makikae from Nishikigi instantly set up the grip that he used to yoritaoshi Meisei for a 9th win. Wow, the Nishikigi magical mystery tour rolls on at 9-1.

Midorifuji defeats Tobizaru – In the preview, we had guessed that we would get an even match between these two high mobility, rapid combo throwing rikishi, and they really poured it on. Midorifuji eventually found a clear lane to center mass, and finished Tobizaru three steps later. Excellent fight, and Midorifuji really needed that win. He is now 3-7.

Mitakeumi defeats Abi – Mitakeumi rides out the initial volley of Abi-zumo, closes the gap and uses a body hold to turn Abi around and walk him out. Ah, I miss Ozeki Mitakeumi. Already make-koshi, Mitakeumi improves to 2-8.

Onosho defeats Wakamotoharu – Wakamotoharu’s Ozeki bid takes a torpedo amidships as Onosho gets the right conditions to bring his full sumo power to bare. This was a shortcoming of Wakamotoharu’s sumo or just his approach to today. He left his shoulders and hips square to Onosho at both the tachiai, and the first step, allowing Onosho to go to full power forward immediately, and connect that power through Wakamotoharu’s body into the clay. Two steps later, Wakamotoharu is off the dohyo and into the front row. Onosho now 5-5.

Daieisho defeats Hiradoumi – I know he lost, but damn sir, look at Hiradoumi’s sumo today. He brings the fire with a tachiai that may have knocked a filling loose, then he ramps up the pressure into a flurry of Daieisho’s favorite attacks. Does Hiradoumi go down? Oh hell no! He keeps pressing forward into Daieisho, who finally resorts to a grab, spin and toss to win by tsukiotoshi. Brilliant match, and I wish I could give Hiradoumi some kind of award for that. Daieisho kachi-koshi at 8-2, and he keep his Ozeki dreams alive.

Kotonowaka defeats Hoshoryu – Another Ozeki hopeful takes a knock as Kotonowaka reverses the trend and beats Hoshoryu for the first time in 10 matches (since 2020!). Kotonowaka was more potent and genki today than we have seen for some time, and he bruted his way to owning control of the match in the opening seconds. Hoshoryu found himself without a working grip, and attempted a makikae, only to find himself at the bales and without a way to counter. Kotonowaka now 6-4 by oshidashi.

Kirishima defeats Ura – Not sure what Ura tweaked during this match, but he is clearly not ok when it ends. Rather than a quick attack on some unexpected vector, Ura fights Kirishima using solid fundamentals mixed with his gift of agility and creativity. Respect to Kirishima for riding out some of Ura’s combos that would have upended most other rikishi, and sticking it out to get the yorikiri. Both end the day 4-6.

With the start of day 10, we are at the conclusion of the second act of the 2023 Nagoya basho. At Tachiai, we divide a 15 day tournament up into 3 acts of 5 days. Each act has its own goals and purpose in the grand scheme of the tournament. Act 2 is where we narrow the field to find out who has what it takes to compete for the yusho, and to start sorting the survivors from the damned. The three rikishi who are tied for the lead in the race for the Emperor’s Cup have been holding strong since the middle weekend, and stand a reasonable chance of making it through today with 9 wins. Then the fun will start.

For the three rikishi who are hoping to rack up their 33rd win this July, and make a bid to be promoted to Ozeki, the warm ups are coming to a close, and the brutal zero-sum game will begin. Some readers have taken exception to my suggestion that all 3 of them reaching 33 is mathematically unlikely. It’s not impossible mind you, just unlikely. Given the lack of anyone fighting at Yokozuna or Ozeki power to test them against, this is the best time ever to try and run up the score, so maybe all 3 of them can manage to thread the needed without knocking each other out of the race.

Nagoya Leaderboard

All 3 of the leaders have a strong chance to win their day 10 matches, advancing them to 9-1. Not quite double digits yet, but all 3 are already kachi-koshi. Barring something very odd, the hunt group would be unlikely to contest at this point, as we would need to see losses among all 3 leaders to open things up. I am certain the scheduling team is working on solutions to try and bring that about in act 3.

Leadesr: Hoshoryu, Nishikigi, Hokutofuji
Chasesr: Daieisho, Wakamotoharu, Endo
Hunt Group: Tamawashi, Shonannoumi, Takarafuji, Hakuoho

6 Matches Remain

What We Are Watching Day 10

Bushozan (2-7) vs Shonannoumi (6-3) – Bushozan really surprised on day 9 against Takarafuji, but unless he found some useful reserve of sumo power in the bottom of his akene, he’s going to end up make-koshi some time in the coming week. His match today against Shonannoumi is a real opportunity for Shonannoumi, as he is fighting at a pace that might see him clear double digits for his 3rd time in the last 4 tournaments. They share a 2-2 career record, with Bushozan taking the last match on day 5 of Natsu.

Gonoyama (5-4) vs Takarafuji (6-3) – I really want to see Gonoyama not go through a horrible, Goeido-style out of the blue losing streak. But here we are. At the same time, I would prefer to see Takarafuji reach the safety of 8, and avoid a demotion to Juryo, This is their first ever match.

Aoiyama (3-6) vs Kotoshoho (3-6) – Both start the day 3-6, in the make-koshi bracket, Normally I would think Aoiyama would just pound the stuffing out of a smaller guy like Kotoshoho, but “Big Dan” is lacking most of his power right now. He holds a 4-2 career lead against Kotoshoho, who might be less hurt than Aoiyama today.

Chiyoshoma (5-4) vs Endo (7-2) – A win today would give Endo his 8th, and kachi-koshi for Nagoya. He has a 7-7 record with Chiyoshoma, so it will be a tough and even match. Chiyoshoma has won 3 of his last 4, so he’s coming in to day 10 in fighting form.

Kotoeko (4-5) vs Hakuoho (6-3) – First ever match, and I think Kotoeko is going to have his hands full. Fresh off a loss to Daishoho on day 9, Hakuoho has 3 losses now, and appears to be getting some tough exposure to just how good the men in the top division actually are. It’s possible that he’s thrilled about it, as greatness often struggles to find worthy competition or anyone to pace against.

Ryuden (5-4) vs Myogiryu (5-4) – Both rikishi are 5-4, and in the middle or “Darwin” lane for today. They also share an even 5-5 career record, making this a highly balanced match.

Takanosho (4-5) vs Daishoho (4-5) – Another middle or “Darwin” lane match up, this time it features a resurgent Takanosho who has won the last 4 in a row. He’s against Daishoho who has won 4 of his last 5. This means two rikishi on a hot surge are going to try and break the other’s streak, with Daishoho having a 7-2 career advantage.

Sadanoumi (2-7) vs Tsurugisho (2-7) – A “make-koshi” pair, with the loser today scoring their 8th loss of July. Tsurugisho is visibly in pain, and is unable to move very much at all, so I see him as an easy mark for Sadanoumi, who had a solid win against Takayasu on day 9.

Takayasu (5-4) vs Kinbozan (5-4) – I am still trying to understand how Takayasu can go 5-0, then 0-4. I can only come up with a renewed injury to one of his multiple problems. It’s tough to watch, and I am certain that Kinbozan is looking forward to fighting a hurt Takayasu.

Hokutofuji (8-1) vs Tamawashi (6-3) – First match featuring one of the leaders. Hokutofuji has been showing us a refined and incredibly sharp version of this familiar technique, and it’s laying waste to everyone he’s using it against. He has an 8-10 record against Tamawashi, who has now lost 2 in a row.

Nishikifuji (4-5) vs Oho (3-6) – Oho has won 5 of their 8 prior matches, and I am certain he is looking to score a win of some kind today to try and pull himself away from the make-koshi lane. His sumo has not been flashy or noteworthy since he joined the top division, but it has brought him a pair of double digit kachi-koshi in the past year. Where that sumo is today, nobody knows, but word on the street his deshi are looking everywhere for it.

Shodai (3-6) vs Hokuseiho (4-5) – First ever match between Shodai and Hakuho’s giant. I hope Shodai has noticed the move that Takanosho employed day 9. When the giant goes to reach over your body and get a right hand grip, just help him keep turning. Works a treat to set up okuridashi.

Nishikigi (8-1) vs Meisei (4-5) – I think of the leader team, this may be the tougher match. Meisei is not starting day 10 with a blazing score, but he has won 2 of the last 3, and seems to be more dialed into his sumo now than he was the first week. But I keep thinking of that look that Tobizaru gave Nishikigi following their match, a clear “Where did that come from?” if ever I saw one.

Midorifuji (2-7) vs Tobizaru (5-4) – Tobizaru has an opportunity to deliver an 8th loss to Midorifuji and render him make-koshi for July. He has only beaten Midorifuji twice in their 6 prior matches, so the flying monkey has his work cut out for him. Both are high-mobility, high-strength fighters that can make surprising moves during a fight. Let the fireworks fly.

Mitakeumi (1-8) vs Abi (4-5) – Not sure what to say about this match. I am pretty sure Mitakeumi is going to lose this one. I wish he wouldn’t, but I think he’s got too much going on in his personal life this week for him to execute top form sumo.

Onosho (4-5) vs Wakamotoharu (7-2) – Wakamotoharu should be able to take this win, as long as he can keep Onosho from getting a clear shot at center mass. Wakamotoharu’s goal will be to take Onosho to his chest and shut down Onosho’s thrusting attacks. If he can do that, should be a straightforward win. They share an even 1-1 career record.

Hiradoumi (3-6) vs Daieisho (7-2) – Daieisho’s in firm command of his sumo right now, so I don’t much of an opportunity for Hiradoumi to try and forge a win out of this match. Daieisho won their only prior fight, on day 13 of Hatsu. That being mentioned, Hiradoumi has the power to surprise, if he can get the right set up for his sumo.

Hoshoryu (8-1) vs Kotonowaka (5-4) – On paper this is a clear Hoshoryu win, but Kotonowaka is big enough, strong enough, and skilled enough that he can take this match. Sure Hoshoryu has won 10 of their prior 13 matches, and Kotonowaka has not won against him since Kyushu… of 2020, but hey, it could happen!

Ura (4-5) vs Kirishima (3-4-2) – Normally, Kirishima would trash Ura in a moment. But we can all see that Kirishima’s sumo is suffering because of his injuries, and he is not moving quite as well as he normally does. That gives the master of crazy combos a chance to take one from the shin-Ozeki if he can create an opening.