
Yusho Race
There are three important Day 12 bouts:
- Wakatakakage (10-1) vs. Kotonowaka (9-2)
- Shodai (6-5) vs. Takakeisho (8-3)
- Takayasu (10-1) vs. Mitakeumi (9-2)
Victories by the two leaders would give them a two-win cushion with 3 days to go, all but eliminating others from contention. Losses by both would give us a 4-way tie, potentially with Takakeisho (and … checks notes … Tochinoshin?!) lurking just one win behind.
Ozeki
O2w Mitakeumi has his 8 wins in his debut at the rank. O1w Takakeisho (8-3) has cleared kadoban. O1e Shodai (6-5) needs to go 2-2 or better the rest of the way to avoid dropping to:
Sekiwake
S1e Wakatakakage (10-1) will continue at his current rank. S1w Abi (6-5) needs two wins to hold rank, and one to limit his fall to:
Komusubi
K1e Takanosho (2-9) will be fighting in the maegashira ranks in May. K1w Hoshoryu (5-6) needs a finish of 3-1 or better to avoid joining him.
The leading candidates to claim the 1-3 san’yaku slots that could be available are M7e Takayasu (10-1), M2e Ichinojo (7-4), M6w Kotonowaka (9-2), M4e Kiribayama (7-4), M4w Endo (7-4), and M1e Daieisho (5-6), who would jump to the head of the queue with a kachi-koshi by virtue of his status as the top maegashira. In with a chance are M2w Tamawashi (5-6), M3e Onosho (5-6), and M6e Hokutofuji (6-5).
Makuuchi/Juryo Exchanges
In deep trouble unless they win out: Ichiyamamoto, Kagayaki, Akua.
Still need two wins for safety: Kotokuzan, Chiyonokuni, Chiyomaru.
Needs one win for safety: Ishiura.
Coming up: Oho.
Almost certainly coming up: Azumaryu.
Chance of promotion: Midorifuji, Mitoryu, Tsurugisho.
Long shots: Hidenoumi, Kitanowaka, and a few others who must win out and hope for chaos.
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Looks like the familiar situation of more demotable makuuchi rikishi than promotable from Juryo. I was surprised as well that Tochinoshin is still in the hunt!