Nagoya Promotion/Demotion Picture, Day 12

There’s not much to say about the yusho race that hasn’t been said already. Let’s look at what is at stake further down the banzuke.

Ozeki Shodai (7-5) needs one more win to avoid going kadoban, and unless he can upset one of the two leaders, he may have to get it against Takayasu on senshuraku.

Takayasu (7-3-2) similarly needs one more win to stay Sekiwake, and may also be in a must-win position on Day 15. On the bright side, he is guaranteed to fall no lower than Komusubi. Fellow Sekiwake Mitakeumi (6-6) needs two victories to hold rank, and one to stay in san’yaku. Shin-Komusubi Meisei (6-6) is looking for two wins to avoid an immediate return to the rank-and-file, while the other newcomer to the rank, Wakatakakage (3-9), has already failed to stave off demotion.

M2w Ichinojo (8-4) is the front-runner for the open Komusubi slot. Should he falter, or should more slots open up, the other promotion candidates include M5w Hoshoryu (8-4), M3e Hokutofuji (7-5), M2e Takanosho (6-6), and M6w Kiribayama (8-4).

At the other end of the scale, several rikishi have yet to do enough to ensure a stay in the top division. In the worst shape are M14e Daiamami (3-9) and M15w Tokushoryu (4-8), who need to win out. J1e Yutakayama (9-3) is assured of promotion, and Juryo co-leader J6w Mitoryu (10-2) is one win away. At the moment, J2e Kyokutaisei (7-5) sits on the promotion/demotion bubble with M13e Chiyomaru (4-8). The promotion hopes of J2w Akua (6-6) and J3 Wakamotoharu (6-6) rest on piling up wins and hoping for losing streaks by M12e Tochinoshin (4-8) and M17e Ichiyamamoto (7-5).

At the bottom of Juryo, injured Akiseyama and suspended Ryuden will be falling to Makushita along with J13w Kotokuzan (2-10). J12e Daishoho (4-8) is the other most-endangered sekitori. The race for promotion from the third division to the second should get clearer tomorrow, but one thing is for certain: Hakuho’s protege Ms2w Hokuseiho (6-0) will be making his much-awaited sekitori debut after only six professional tournaments (not counting the one he sat out with the rest of his stable due to the virus). Ahead of his yusho-deciding bout against collegiate sensation Ishizaki, Hokuseiho’s record in the lower divisions stands at 38-3, with 7-0 yusho in Jonokuchi, Jonidan, and Sandanme.

2 thoughts on “Nagoya Promotion/Demotion Picture, Day 12

  1. Two bleak stories

    We started this basho going Takayasu could be Ozeki!
    Then it was Takayasu has started late but could still get 10 or 11 wins to extend the run for another basho!
    Then it was Takayasu could get enough wins to maybe form the first basho of a run if he does well later this year!
    Then it was Takayasu should get enough wins to keep his Sekiwake rank!
    Then it was Takayasu has at least done enough to be Komusubi next time, but he’s going to have to find a win against a couple zensho guys and the Ozeki to do any better!

    Woof

    …. And then the other one being the fact we’re talking about how Tochinoshin could be in Juryo #yikes

    • That’s about the size of it. I haven’t crunched all the numbers yet, but at least Tochinoshin ought to be safe after today.

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