The Choice To “Pull”

“Back, and To the Left”

For the facts and the debate about the Tochinoshin-Asanoyama match, I will refer you to Herouth’s thorough, Oliver Stone-esque, examination of the Zapruder film. There was one more decision that I want to look at, Tochi’s decision to “pull.” When I refer to “pulling,” it’s the act of moving backwards, with the hand cupped around the back of the opponent’s head, in an attempt to drag him down for a hatakikomi victory. For example, Abi used this tactic to defeat Tochinoshin on Day 11, starting this three bout losing streak.

In the bout against Abi, there was no doubt as Abi’s heel remained high in the air when he backed up against the tawara. But in all honesty, when a rikishi makes the decision to pull, he is frequently putting his fate in the hands of video review. Either someone steps out, falls first, or there’s a hair pull. I wish there was a way to query the SumoDB for failed pulls because we’ve all seen them cost Kakuryu and Goeido shots at titles.

The move often begins in the center of the ring, or sometimes even closer to the straw bales. In many instances, the “attacker/retreater” springs off the dohyo hoping the opponent falls before he himself plummets beneath the plane of the dohyo and onto an unlucky ojisan in the front row. This was the case of Abi’s attempt in yesterday’s bout against Aoiyama, immediately prior to the Tochinoshin/Asanoyama bout.

Watch the replay from the opposite, original angle and watch Tochinoshin’s foot twist in recoil immediately after his heel goes over the boundary. From the head on angle you don’t see whether it touches and it’s honestly a moot point. He knows that outside the dohyo is “hot lava” and he got close enough to get singed.

Followers of Tachiai’s reporting will likely be familiar with the rather dimly held view we have of “pulling”…particularly when employed by members of the elite corps of Yokozuna and Ozeki. When it’s used by Goeido, Kakuryu, or even Hakuho and Takayasu, it’s a signal that a nagging injury may have cropped up. Lower ranked guys like Abi get a bit of a pass. In Abi’s case, it is one of his preferred attacks, accounting for nearly a fifth of his wins. This fact will likely keep him from progressing further up the banzuke unless he develops stronger thrusting approaches or adds some belt work to his repertoire.

If Tochinoshin wants to regain his ozeki rank in a few hours, he will use the brand of sumo that got him here. Or, Kakuryu may tempt fate by employing his own disastrous pull as he’s been known to do at times. While Kakuryu dominates their long term head-to-head rivalry, over the last year they’ve been very evenly matched, trading wins over the past few basho, and it may be Tochi’s turn.

The bottom line is, Tochinoshin put himself in great position to get his 10 wins and hopefully he’ll get there. He will have the best chance, doing it on his terms, using the brand of sumo that got him where he is. Clinching his rank against a Yokozuna or Ozeki, when his win against Takakeisho came by fusen, is honestly more deserving and poetic than against a maegashira. He’ll get there. I gotta keep telling myself, “he’ll get there.”

Natsu Day 14 – Ones To Watch

One More Time, Wakaichiro-zeki!

It’s almost all done for the lower ranks, with a handful of rikishi left to face their 7th opponent today or Sunday. Day 13 saw wins by Wakamotoharu, Ichiyamamoto, Wakatakamoto (that means all 3 Onami brothers won on day 13), Naya, Terunofuji, Shoji and Kitanowaka. That’s almost a complete sweep for our list!

For day 14, the roster is lighter, but there are still some great matches yet to come.

Hoshoryu vs Kizenryu – It’s time for a Darwin match with only one exiting the dohyo with a winning record. Hoshoryu won their only prior match, during Hatsu this year. Two high-skill rikishi with everything on the line in a single match. One will be promoted, the other demoted for July. This is what sumo is all about.

Midorifuji vs Sakigake – Another winner take all match. This time it is the challenger, Sakigake, who has won the prior match. The winner gets promoted, the loser gets demoted. At stake is likely a slot in the Makushita joi-jin, with a chance at promotion to Juryo up for grabs July.

Akua vs Nogami – Akua is already kachi-koshi, but he needs a bit more juice to put him into the top of Makushita for July if he wants to make a bid to return to Juryo. These matches on day 14 are going to be fast, hard and brutal.

Roga vs Kaizen – Roga is already kachi-koshi as well, but a 5th win might just break him out of Sandanme if the stars align. Kaizen has already spent a few basho in Makushita, and will bring that experience to bare in today’s match vs Roga’s raw power.

Wakaichiro vs Goshinryu – Our favorite Jonidan rikishi looks to hit escape velocity and return to Sandanme today against Goshinryu, who is fighting at his highest ever rank. Wakaichiro’s sumo seems to have gotten much more efficient this basho, so I am looking for a high energy oshi-battle between these two.

With note…

Kenho vs Sasaki – We have not followed Kenho this tournament, but he also faces a Darwin match on day 14, and could find himself with a winning record if he can overcome youngster and light weight Sasaki. Good luck Kenho!

Natsu Storylines, Day 13

The gyoji is right there, looking directly at the move in question

The Yusho Race

I should be delighted that with two days to go, one of my favorite rikishi, Asanoyama, is the sole leader and in strong position to claim an improbable hiramaku championship. But I can’t be, because after today’s decision, the yusho race is a travesty. We should have three deserving rikishi tied with 10-3 records going into the final weekend, with an exciting series of decisive bouts to look forward to. Instead, we have an 11-2 leader with a giant asterisk, a 10-3 chaser (Kakuryu), and four rikishi in the hunt at 9-4 (Tochinoshin, Goeido, Tamawashi, and Meisei).

Tomorrow, Tochinoshin, who can’t help but wonder along with his fans if Hanlon’s razor is a sufficient explanation for today’s events, faces Kakuryu, while Asanoyama has a date with Goeido. I’m hoping for the only outcome that would restore some fairness to the proceedings: Tochinoshin defeats Kakuryu and Goeido bests Asanoyama. We won’t know the Day 15 schedule until around the time of Day 14 bouts, and possibly later, but we should see Kakuryu vs. Asanoyama and Tochinoshin vs. Takayasu, with the possibility of a playoff involving anywhere from two to six rikishi. The latter would be a fitting ending to this mess of a basho.

Tochinoshin’s Ozeki Chances

I can’t even.

The San’yaku Ranks

Between Aoiyama’s revival, Mitakeumi’s customary late fade, and the Tochinoshin debacle, it is still anyone’s guess how many potential open slots there will be—anything between one and four is still quite possible. Tamawashi is in the lead for the first slot that opens, followed by Asanoyama, Abi, Ryuden, Meisei, and Takarafuji.

The Demotion/Promotion Race

Chiyoshoma (M17e, 4-9) is out of lives and should be going down no matter what after today’s loss. There’s also little chance that they’ll keep Tokushoryu (M14e, 3-10) in the top division with double-digit losses. And the only question with Takagenji (J2e, 12-1) is how high up the maegashira ranks he’ll debut.

Beyond that, nothing is certain. Ishiura (5-8) is now guaranteed a make-koshi record at M16w, but it’s possible he can survive by winning his final two bouts. He seems certain to go down with another loss. Kagayaki (M10e, 3-10) and Terutsuyoshi (M15e, 6-7) should each be safe with another victory, and might be safe anyway given the dearth of legitimate promotion candidates in Juryo.

After Takagenji, the best promotion case belongs to Kotoyuki (J6e, 10-3), the only man still with a chance to deny Takagenji the Juryo yusho. He needs one more victory to clinch a record that normally warrants promotion, but it seems probable that he’ll return to Makuuchi anyway given the high likelihood of at least three demotions. Toyonoshima (J1e, 7-6), who has followed up a 6-1 start with a 1-5 fade, can clinch his own promotion and ensure Ishiura’s demotion when the two meet tomorrow. Finally, Wakatakakage (J2w, 6-7) is still hanging around the outskirts of the promotion race, hoping that a combination of him winning out and others losing might allow him to sneak into the top division with a record that would normally fall short, a la Tokushoryu and Enho last basho.