We have less than a week left before the Kyushu basho, and I’m starting to get excited! I’m also impatient, and the Day 1 torikumi won’t be posted for a few days yet, so I figured I’d try to forecast it based on past patterns. Specifically, I looked at the Day 1 torikumi from Haru, which had all four Yokozuna start the tournament, and also had 3 Sekiwake, and assumed the same ranks would be matched up at Kyushu. One could use the same approach to look at the first few days, but let’s get pumped for the tournament by looking at likely Day 1 bouts!
|Y1e Harumafuji||K1w Onosho|
|K1e Kotoshogiku||Y1w Hakuho|
|Y2e Kisenosato||S2e Terunofuji|
|M1e Tamawashi||Y2w Kakuryu|
|O1e Goeido||M1w Takakeisho|
|M2e Chiyotairyu||O1w Takayasu|
|S1e Mitakeumi||M2w Tochiozan|
|M3e Shohozan||S1w Yoshikaze|
|M4e Chiyonokuni||M3w Hokutofuji|
From there, simply fill in alternating East-West maegashira rikishi in order.
A few bouts that jump out at me: we’ll find out a lot about the health and fitness of both Kisenosato and Terunofuji if those two match up on Day 1. Chiyotairyu will be a big test of Takayasu’s recovery. In grudge matches, Onosho got his first kinboshi at Aki courtesy of Harumafuji during Onosho’s red-hot 5-0 start and Harumafuji’s run of 3 straight losses, while Goeido’s loss to Takakeisho on Day 13 at Aki set up his ultimate loss of the basho on Senshuraku. Hakuho and Kotoshogiku have faced each other 57 times, with Hakuho winning 52! And Shohozan–Yoshikaze is always a war.